Scott W. McCoy

Dr. Scott W. McCoy


Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

12Years (2015-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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25 January 2022 in The Cryosphere
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
BRBrianna Rick
Brianna Rick
DMDANIEL MCGRATH
DANIEL MCGRATH
WAWilliam Armstrong
William Armstrong
SMScott W. McCoy
Scott W. McCoy
Ice-marginal lakes impact glacier mass balance, water resources, and ecosystem dynamics and can produce catastrophic glacial lake outburst floods (GLOFs) via sudden drainage. Multitemporal inventories of ice-marginal lakes are a critical first step in understanding the drivers of historic change, predicting future lake evolution, and assessing GLOF hazards. Here, we use Landsat-era satellite imagery and supervised classification to semi-automatically delineate lake outlines for four ∼5-year time periods between 1984 and 2019 in Alaska and northwest Canada. Overall, ice-marginal lakes in the region have grown in total number (+183 lakes, 38 % increase) and area (+483 km2, 59 % increase) between the time periods of 1984–1988 and 2016–2019. However, changes in lake numbers and area were notably unsteady and nonuniform. We demonstrate that lake area changes are connected to dam type (moraine, bedrock, ice, or supraglacial) and topological position (proglacial, detached, unconnected, ice, or supraglacial), with important differences in lake behavior between the sub-groups. In strong contrast to all other dam types, ice-dammed lakes decreased in number (six fewer, 9 % decrease) and area (−51 km2, 40 % decrease), while moraine-dammed lakes increased (56 more, 26 % and +479 km2, 87 % increase for number and area, respectively) at a faster rate than the average when considering all dam types together. Proglacial lakes experienced the largest area changes and rate of change out of any lake position throughout the period of study and moraine-dammed lakes which experienced the largest increases are associated with clean-ice glaciers (<19 % debris cover). By tracking individual lakes through time and categorizing lakes by dam type, subregion, and topological position, we are able to parse trends that would otherwise be aliased if these characteristics were not considered. This work highlights the importance of such lake characterization when performing ice-marginal lake inventories and provides insight into the physical processes driving recent ice-marginal lake evolution.

21 January 2017 in Geophysical Research Letters
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
PDF file
JJJ. Jacquet
J. Jacquet
SMScott W. McCoy
Scott W. McCoy
DMDANIEL MCGRATH
DANIEL MCGRATH
DND. A. Nimick
D. A. Nimick
MFM. Fahey
M. Fahey
JLJ. Leidich
J. Leidich

26 June 2025 in Science
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
BYBrian J. Yanites
Brian J. Yanites
MCMarin K. Clark
Marin K. Clark
JRJoshua Roering
Joshua Roering
AWA. Joshua West
A. Joshua West
DZDimitrios Zekkos
Dimitrios Zekkos
JPJennifer Pierce
Jennifer Pierce
This Review synthesizes progress and outlines a new framework for understanding how land surface hazards interact and propagate as sediment cascades across Earth’s surface, influenced by interactions among the atmosphere, biosphere, hydrosphere, and solid Earth. Recent research highlights a gap in understanding these interactions on human timescales, given rapid climatic change and urban expansion into hazard-prone zones. We review how surface processes such as coseismic landslides and post-fire debris flows form a complex sequence of events that exacerbate hazard susceptibility. Moreover, innovations in modeling, remote sensing, and critical zone science can offer new opportunities for quantifying cascading hazards. Looking forward, societal resilience can increase by transforming our understanding of cascading hazards through advances in integrating data into comprehensive models that link across Earth systems.

23 May 2023 in Geophysical Research Letters
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
MTMatthew A. Thomas
Matthew A. Thomas
DLDonald N. Lindsay
Donald N. Lindsay
DCDavid B. Cavagnaro
David B. Cavagnaro
JKJason Kean
Jason Kean
SMScott W. McCoy
Scott W. McCoy
AGAndrew P. Graber
Andrew P. Graber
Increased wildfire activity in the western United States has exposed regional gaps in our understanding of postfire debris‐flow generation. To address this problem, we characterized flows in an unstudied area to test the rainfall intensity‐duration control of the hazard. Our rainfall measurements and field observations from the northern Sierra Nevada (California, USA) show that debris flows resulted from a short burst rainfall during a low‐accumulation storm. In contrast, a much higher accumulation storm (∼10 times more rainfall) with lower short‐duration rainfall rates only produced low‐hazard flooding. We conclude that total storm rainfall is not an ideal metric for identifying the rainfall conditions that initiate runoff‐generated debris flows in the first year after wildfire. Rather, a focus on short‐duration (<1 hr), high‐intensity rainfall that can occur during localized thunderstorms, or bands of intense rainfall during prolonged rainstorms, is more beneficial for the purposes of hazard assessment and warning.

18 September 2021 in Earth and Space Science
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
AEAmy E. East
Amy E. East
JLJoshua B. Logan
Joshua B. Logan
PDPeter Dartnell
Peter Dartnell
OLOren Lieber‐Kotz
Oren Lieber‐Kotz
DCDavid B. Cavagnaro
David B. Cavagnaro
DLDonald N. Lindsay
Donald N. Lindsay
Wildfire risk has increased in recent decades over many regions, due to warming climate and other factors. Increased sediment export from recently burned landscapes can jeopardize downstream infrastructure and water resources, but physical landscape response to fire has not been quantified for some at‐risk areas, including much of northern California, USA. We measured sediment yield from three watersheds (13–29 km2) that drain to Whiskeytown Lake, California, within the area burned by the 2018 Carr Fire. Structure‐from‐Motion photogrammetry on aerial images combined with sonar bathymetric mapping of submerged areas indicated first‐year post‐fire sediment yields of 4,080 ± 598 t/km2 (Brandy Creek), 2,700 ± 527 t/km2 (Boulder Creek), and 305 ± 58.0 t/km2 (Whiskey Creek)—some of the first post‐fire yields measured in northern California and 64, 42, and 4.8 times greater than pre‐fire yields, respectively. These were measured during a wet year and resulted largely from rilling erosion and fluvial sediment transport, without post‐fire debris flows. Rilling preferentially developed in contact with dirt roads, aided by thin soils and exposed bedrock, and on slopes vegetated by chaparral pre‐fire. The second post‐fire year (a dry year) was characterized by fluvial reworking and delta progradation of the first‐year deposits and relatively little new sediment export. First‐year sedimentation of 111,000 m3 represented minor loss of storage capacity in Whiskeytown Lake but would be detrimental to smaller reservoirs; in general, increased sediment yields from western US watersheds as fire and extreme rainfall increase will likely pose risks to water quality and storage.

2 October 2023 in Nature Communications
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
BRBrianna Rick
Brianna Rick
DMDANIEL MCGRATH
DANIEL MCGRATH
SMScott W. McCoy
Scott W. McCoy
WAW. H. Armstrong
W. H. Armstrong
Glacial lakes can form and grow due to glacial retreat, and rapid lake drainage can produce destructive floods. Outburst flood compilations show a temporal increase in frequency; however, recent studies highlight the role of observational bias, creating uncertainty about current and future glacial-lake hazards. Here, we focus on the Alaska region, which generated a third of previously documented outbursts globally. Using multitemporal satellite imagery, we documented 1150 drainages from 106 ice-dammed lakes between 1985 and 2020. Documented events became more frequent over time, however, accounting for increasing image availability reveals no significant increase occurred. Most lakes decreased in area and volume, suggesting a reduction in regional flood hazard. Our satellite-based approach documented 60% more events in a 35-year period than had previously been documented over 100 years. This suggests that outburst floods have historically been underreported and warrants systematic study of other regions.