The intensity and frequency of drought have increased considerably during the last decades in southeastern Europe, and projected scenarios suggest that southern and central Europe will be affected by more drought events by the end of the 21st century. In this context, assessing the intraspecific genetic variation of forest tree species and identifying populations expected to be best adapted to future climate conditions is essential for increasing forest productivity and adaptability. Using a tree-ring database from 60 populations of 38-year-old silver fir (Abies alba) in five trial sites established across Romania, we studied the variation of growth and wood characteristics, provenance-specific response to drought, and climate-growth relationships during the period 1997–2018. The drought response of provenances was determined by four drought parameters: resistance, recovery, resilience, and relative resilience. Based on the standardized precipitation index, ten years with extreme and severe drought were identified for all trial sites. Considerable differences in radial growth, wood characteristics, and drought response parameters among silver fir provenances have been found. The provenances’ ranking by resistance, recovery, and resilience revealed that a number of provenances from Bulgaria, Italy, Romania, and Czech Republic placed in the top ranks in almost all sites. Additionally, there are provenances that combine high productivity and drought tolerance. The correlations between drought parameters and wood characters are positive, the most significant correlations being obtained between radial growth and resilience. Correlations between drought parameters and wood density were non-significant, indicating that wood density cannot be used as indicator of drought sensitivity. The negative correlations between radial growth and temperature during the growing season and the positive correlations with precipitation suggest that warming and water deficit could have a negative impact on silver fir growth in climatic marginal sites. Silvicultural practices and adaptive management should rely on selection and planting of forest reproductive material with high drought resilience in current and future reforestation programs.

The recent climate change scenarios show significant increases in temperature and extreme drought events in Southern and Eastern Europe by the end of the 21st century, which will have a serious impact on forest growth and adaptation, and important consequences for forest management. The system of provenance regions, according to the OECD Scheme and EU Directive, was thought to encourage the use of the local seed sources, under the concept ‘local is the best’. However, climate is changing faster than some species or populations can adapt or migrate, which raises some uncertainties with respect to the future performance of local populations. In Romania, as in other countries, the delimitation of provenance regions is based on geographical, ecological and vegetation criteria. The aim of this study is to evaluate: (1) the climate change that has occurred at the level of the provenance regions; (2) which regions will be most vulnerable to climate change; (3) which forest types will be the most vulnerable in a certain region; and (4) changes in the climatic envelope of forest species. Several climatic parameters and an ecoclimatic indices have been calculated and analyzed at the level of provenance regions, subregions and ecological sectors (forest types) in Romania, during the period 1951–2020. The results highlight a general shift towards warmer and drier conditions in the last 30 years, the mean annual temperature increasing with 0.3–1.1 °C across the provenance subregions. The De Martonne aridity index for the vegetation season shows that 86% of the ecological sectors fell into the arid and semiarid categories, which indicates a very high degree of vulnerability for forest species. On the Lang rainfall index, forest steppe climatic conditions occurred in all pure or mixed pedunculate oak forests, thermophile oak species, meadow forests, poplar and willow, Turkey oak and Hungarian oak forests. The Ellenberg coefficient highlights that the warming process is more evident along the altitude and the degree of vulnerability increase at lower altitude or at the edge of species distribution. The climate envelopes of many forest species have already shifted to another ecosystem’s climate. This paper presents the importance of re-delineation the provenance regions for the production and deployment of forest reproductive materials according to the climate change occurred in the last decades, as a fundamental tool for an adaptive forest management.

Provenance trials replicated in multiple environments allow the selection of populations with high and stable performances. In this study, two methods have been applied to select stable Norway spruce provenances with high performances in three provenance trials established in Romania in 1972, where 81 provenances have been tested. Four traits were assessed: total and pruned height, diameter at breast height and survival rate. Two multi-trait indices have been used: multi-trait genotype-ideotype distance index (MGIDI) for each provenance trial and multi-trait stability index (MTSI) across provenance trials. The selection differential was between 0.2 and 17.8% better than each site means. Several Norway spruce provenances showed stability and high performances, as confirmed by both selection indices. Our results provide valuable information for the genetic improvement program and seed transfer guidelines based on assisted migration in this ecologically and economically important forest tree species.

Peer-reviewed, open access journal of forestry & environmental sciences

The most recent climate change scenarios show that Southern and Eastern Europe will be affected by a significant increase in temperature and drought frequency by the end of the 21st century. Romania has already recorded very high temperatures and long periods of drought over recent decades, the most affected regions being the south, west and east of the country. Considering that successful forest management requires suitable species and high-quality reproductive material for reforestation, the aim of this study was to evaluate and compare the growth and drought response of Douglas fir (Pseudotsuga menziessi var. menziesii) and Norway spruce (Picea abies) in two stands installed at the end of the 19th century in western Romania. The growth traits, wood characteristics and drought parameters (resistance, recovery, resilience and relative resilience) of Douglas fir and Norway spruce trees have been analyzed and compared. The climate–growth relationship was determined using growth response functions over the period 1938–2017. Additionally, to simulate the potential impact of climate change on Douglas fir in this region, the RCP4.5 scenario was used over two periods: 2041–2070 and 2071–2100. The results reveal that Douglas fir has an exceptional growth capacity, overcoming the Norway spruce since the early ages in both site conditions. The highest growth performances were seen in the low-productivity site. From analyzing the responses to drought events, considerable differences were found between species. The results highlight the high resistance and relative resilience to extreme droughts of Douglas fir compared to Norway spruce. However, autumn–winter temperatures play an important role in the adaptation of Douglas fir to site conditions in Romania. The use of appropriate provenances of Douglas fir in mixed stands with native broadleaved species may be an option for climatically exposed sites, thus increasing the value of these stands.