Shiyuan Hu

Ms. Shiyuan Hu

School of Environment, Harbin Institute of Technology

Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

6Years (2021-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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24 February 2021 in Water
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
Shiyuan HuShiyuan Hu
Shiyuan Hu
JGJin liang Gao
Jin liang Gao
Dan ZhongDan Zhong
Dan Zhong
LDLiqun Deng
Liqun Deng
COChenhao Ou
Chenhao Ou
PXPing Xin
Ping Xin
Accurate forecasting of hourly water demand is essential for effective and sustainable operation, and the cost-effective management of water distribution networks. Unlike monthly or yearly water demand, hourly water demand has more fluctuations and is easily affected by short-term abnormal events. An effective preprocessing method is needed to capture the hourly water demand patterns and eliminate the interference of abnormal data. In this study, an innovative preprocessing framework, including a novel local outlier detection and correction method Isolation Forest (IF), an adaptive signal decomposition technique Complete Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition with Adaptive Noise (CEEMDAN), and basic forecasting models have been developed. In order to compare a promising deep learning method Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) as a basic forecasting model with the conventional forecasting models, Support Vector Regression (SVR) and Artificial Neural Network (ANN) have been used. The results show that the proposed hybrid method can utilize the complementary advantages of the preprocessing methods to improve the accuracy of the forecasting models. The root-mean-square error of the SVR, ANN, and GRU models has been reduced by 57.5%, 27.8%, and 30.0%, respectively. Further, the GRU-based models developed in this study are superior to the other models, and the IF-CEEMDAN-GRU model has the highest accuracy. Hence, it is promising that this preprocessing framework can improve the performance of the water demand forecasting models.