Following decades of ecologic and economic impacts from a growing list of nonindigenous and invasive species, government and management entities are committing to systematic early- detection monitoring (EDM). This has reinvigorated investment in the science underpinning such monitoring, as well as the need to convey that science in practical terms to those tasked with EDM implementation. Using the context of nonindigenous species in the North American Great Lakes, this article summarizes the current scientific tools and knowledge - including limitations, research needs, and likely future developments - relevant to various aspects of planning and conducting comprehensive EDM. We begin with the scope of the effort, contrasting target-species with broad-spectrum monitoring, reviewing information to support prioritization based on species and locations, and exploring the challenge of moving beyond individual surveys towards a coordinated monitoring network. Next, we discuss survey design, including effort to expend and its allocation over space and time. A section on sample collection and analysis overviews the merits of collecting actual organisms versus shed DNA, reviews the capabilities and limitations of identification by morphology, DNA target markers, or DNA barcoding, and examines best practices for sample handling and data verification. We end with a section addressing the analysis of monitoring data, including methods to evaluate survey performance and characterize and communicate uncertainty. Although the body of science supporting EDM implementation is already substantial, research and information needs (many already actively being addressed) include: better data to support risk assessments that guide choice of taxa and locations to monitor; improved understanding of spatiotemporal scales for sample collection; further development of DNA target markers, reference barcodes, genomic workflows, and synergies between DNA-based and morphology-based taxonomy; and tools and information management systems for better evaluating and communicating survey outcomes and uncertainty.
Indicators based on nutrient-biota relationships in streams can inform water quality restoration and protection programs. Bacterial assemblages could be particularly useful indicators of nutrient effects because they are species-rich, important contributors to ecosystem processes in streams, and responsive to rapidly changing conditions. Here, we sampled 25 streams weekly (12–14 times each) and used 16S rRNA gene metabarcoding of periphyton-associated bacteria to quantify the effects of total phosphorus (TP) and total nitrogen (TN). Threshold indicator taxa analysis identified assemblage-level changes and amplicon sequence variants (ASVs) that increased or decreased with increasing TP and TN concentrations (i.e., low P, high P, low N, and high N ASVs). Boosted regression trees confirmed that relative abundances of gene sequence reads for these four indicator groups were associated with nutrient concentrations. Gradient forest analysis complemented these results by using multiple predictors and random forest models for each ASV to identify portions of TP and TN gradients at which the greatest changes in assemblage structure occurred. Synthesized statistical results showed bacterial assemblage structure began changing at 24 µg TP/L with the greatest changes occurring from 110 to 195 µg/L. Changes in the bacterial assemblages associated with TN gradually occurred from 275 to 855 µg/L. Taxonomic and phylogenetic analyses showed that low nutrient ASVs were commonly Firmicutes, Verrucomicrobiota, Flavobacteriales, and Caulobacterales, Pseudomonadales, and Rhodobacterales of Proteobacteria, whereas other groups, such as Chitinophagales of Bacteroidota, and Burkholderiales, Rhizobiales, Sphingomonadales, and Steroidobacterales of Proteobacteria comprised the high nutrient ASVs. Overall, the responses of bacterial ASV indicators in this study highlight the utility of metabarcoding periphyton-associated bacteria for quantifying biotic responses to nutrient inputs in streams.