Anemia is a major public health problem in Africa, affecting an increasing number of children under five years. Guinea is one of the most affected countries. In 2018, the prevalence rate in Guinea was 75% for children under five years. This study sought to identify the factors associated with anemia and to map spatial variation of anemia across the eight (8) regions in Guinea for children under five years, which can provide guidance for control programs for the reduction of the disease. Data from the Guinea Multiple Indicator Cluster Survey (MICS5) 2016 was used for this study. A total of 2609 children under five years who had full covariate information were used in the analysis. Spatial binomial logistic regression methodology was undertaken via Bayesian estimation based on Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) using WinBUGS software version 1.4. The findings in this study revealed that 77% of children under five years in Guinea had anemia, and the prevalences in the regions ranged from 70.32% (Conakry) to 83.60% (NZerekore) across the country. After adjusting for non-spatial and spatial random effects in the model, older children (48–59 months) (OR: 0.47, CI [0.29 0.70]) were less likely to be anemic compared to those who are younger (0–11 months). Children whose mothers had completed secondary school or above had a 33% reduced risk of anemia (OR: 0.67, CI [0.49 0.90]), and children from household heads from the Kissi ethnic group are less likely to have anemia than their counterparts whose leaders are from Soussou (OR: 0.48, CI [0.23 0.92]).
28 April 2022 in Computational Intelligence and Neuroscience
A long testing period is usually required for the life testing of high-reliability products or materials. It is possible to shorten the testing process by using ALTs (accelerated life tests). Due to the fact that ALTs test products in harsher settings than are typical use conditions, the life expectancy of the objects they evaluate is reduced. Censored data in which the specific failure timings of all units assigned to test are not known, or all units assigned to test have not failed, may arise in ALTs for a variety of reasons, including operational failure, device malfunction, expense, and time restrictions. In this paper, we have considered the step stress partially accelerated life test (SSPALT) under two different censoring schemes, namely the type-I progressive hybrid censoring scheme (type-I PHCS) and the type-II progressive censorship scheme (type-II PCS). The failure times of the items are assumed to follow NH distribution, while the tampered random variable (TRV) model is used to explain the effect of stress change. In order to obtain the estimates of the unknown parameters, the maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) approach is adopted. Furthermore, based on the asymptotic theory of MLEs, the approximate confidence intervals (ACIs) are also constructed. The point estimates under two censoring schemes are compared in terms of root mean squared errors (RMSEs) and relative absolute biases (RABs), while ACIs are compared in terms of their lengths and coverage probabilities (CPs). The performance of the estimators has been evaluated and compared under two censoring schemes with various sample sizes through a simulation study. Simulation results show that estimates with type-I PHCS outperform estimates with type-II PCS in terms of RMSEs, RABs, lengths, and CPs. Finally, a real-world numerical example of insulating fluid failure times is presented to show how the approaches will work in reality.
1 January 2021 in Computational Intelligence and Neuroscience
In this paper, the exponentiated gamma distribution (EGD) with generalized Type‐I hybrid censored data under constant‐stress partially accelerated life test (CSPALT) model is considered. The Bayesian and E‐Bayesian estimation methods, as well as the maximum likelihood estimation method, are discussed for the parameter of the distribution and the acceleration factor. The E‐Bayesian and Bayesian estimates are derived by using the squared error loss (SEL) and the LINEX loss functions. The MCMC method is applied for deriving the Bayesian and then E‐Bayesian estimates. Moreover, a real data set is given for the illustrative purpose. After all, an evaluation is performed for the results of the proposed methods.
11 August 2022 in Mathematical Problems in Engineering
Diseases have been studied separately, but two diseases have inherent dependencies on each other, modelling them separately negates practical reality. The authors’ modelling processes are based on univariate separate regressions, which connect each illness to covariates separately. Therefore, the focus of this article is to estimate the spatial correlation within geographic regions using latent variables. Individual and areal-level information, as well as spatially dependent random effects for each spatial unit, are incorporated into the models developed using a hierarchical structure. Simulation techniques provide to assess the models’ performance using Bayesian computing approaches (INLA and MCMC). The findings show a reasonable performance of the DIC and RMSE values of the proposed latent model. From that, the model can be considered as the best compared to the shared component model, multivariate conditional autoregressive model, and univariate models.
In sub-Saharan Africa, anemia and malaria are the leading causes of morbidity and mortality among children under the age of five years. Guinea is one of the countries where the two diseases have devastating effects. Both of these diseases have been studied separately, but the two diseases exhibit inherent dependence between them, therefore, modelling them in isolation negates practical reality. This study aims at jointly estimating the spatial linear correlation between anemia and malaria, as well as to investigate the differences in contextual, socioeconomic and demographic factors affecting morbidity among children under five years in Guinea. Statistical approaches are used to handle modelling of binary outcomes with allowance for spatial components and joint responses. In particular, a latent model approach is proposed in the methodology to investigate the linear correlation between anemia and malaria allowing for spatial and non-spatial effects. All the parameters are estimated using Bayesian approach based on Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) technique. According to the findings, 76.15% of children under the age of five years in Guinea were anemic, and 14.31% had malaria. Furthermore, the results showed that the child's malaria status is significantly associated with the place of residence, his/her age and ownership of television as an indicator of well being. In terms of anemia in children, there was a significant association with age, mother's education level and ethnicity group of the household head. The Nzerekore region, had both high malaria and anemia prevalences in children under five years. The latent model results showed that there was weak positive correlation between anemia and malaria in Nzerekore and Boke regions. Based on the shared component model, there was a significant unobserved risk factor that both diseases share.