Hourly flood flow estimation for gauged and ungauged catchments is a prerequisite for planning and water management. Various methods have been applied in a multitude of studies to calculate the peak flow for ungauged catchments. However, it is not simple for engineers to use the existing methods in practical applications. An easier method is suggested for this purpose in this study. The authors estimated the relationship between the runoff coefficient, intensity of rainfall, and curve number, and then utilized the relationship to calculated the peak flow using the rational method for ungauged catchments. Rainfall and flood time series for ungauged study catchments were generated by a simple data generation method and a distributed rainfall–runoff model. Results showed that the runoff coefficients simulated using the estimated relationship reasonably agree with the runoff coefficients in the studied ungauged catchments. In addition, the peak flow simulated using the rational method and the relationship highly agree with the peak flow in the ungauged catchments. Therefore, the peak flow in ungauged catchments can be easily calculated by this method, which is more pragmatic for engineers.
Rainfall–runoff models are not perfect, and the suitability of a model structure depends on catchment characteristics and data. It is important to investigate the pros and cons of a rainfall–runoff model to improve both its high- and low-flow simulation. The production and routing components of the GR4J and IHACRES models were combined to create two new models. Specifically, the GR_IH model is the combination of the production store of the GR4J model and the routing store of the IHACRES model (vice versa in the IH_GR model). The performances of the new models were compared to those of the GR4J and IHACRES models to determine components improving the performance of the two original models. The suitability of the parameters was investigated with sensitivity analysis using 40 years’ worth of spatiotemporally different data for five catchments in Australia. These five catchments consist of two wet catchments, one intermediate catchment, and two dry catchments. As a result, the effective rainfall production and routing components of the IHACRES model were most suitable for high-flow simulation of wet catchments, and the routing component improved the low-flow simulation of intermediate and one dry catchments. Both effective rainfall production and routing components of the GR4J model were suitable for low-flow simulation of one dry catchment. The routing component of the GR4J model improved the low- and high-flow simulation of wet and dry catchments, respectively, and the effective rainfall production component improved both the high- and low-flow simulations of the intermediate catchment relative to the IHACRES model. This study provides useful information for the improvement of the two models.
This study aimed to assess the suitability of the parameters of a physically based, distributed, grid-based rainfall-runoff model. We analyzed parameter sensitivity with a dataset of eight rainfall events that occurred in two catchments of South Korea, using the Sobol’ method. Parameters identified as sensitive responded adequately to the scale of the rainfall events and the objective functions employed. Parameter sensitivity varied depending on rainfall scale, even in the same catchment. Interestingly, for a rainfall event causing considerable runoff, parameters related to initial soil saturation and soil water movement played a significant role in low flow calculation and high flow calculation, respectively. The larger and steeper catchment exhibited a greater difference in parameter sensitivity between rainfall events. Finally, we found that setting an incorrect parameter range that is physically impossible can have a large impact on runoff simulation, leading to substantial uncertainty in the simulation results. The proposed analysis method and the results from our study can help researchers using a distributed rainfall-runoff model produce more reliable analysis results.
Various uncertainty analysis methods have been used in various studies to analyze the uncertainty of rainfall-runoff models; however, these methods are difficult to apply immediately as they require a long learning time. In this study, we propose a simple uncertainty-screening method that allows modelers to investigate relatively easily the uncertainty of rainfall-runoff models. The 100 best parameter values of three rainfall-runoff models were extracted using the efficient sampler DiffeRential Evolution Adaptive Metropolis (DREAM) algorithm, and the distribution of the parameter values was investigated. Additionally, the ranges of the values of a model performance evaluation statistic and indicators of hydrologic alteration corresponding to the 100 parameter values for the calibration and validation periods was analyzed. The results showed that the Sacramento model, which has the largest number of parameters, had uncertainties in parameters, and the uncertainty of one parameter influenced all other parameters. Furthermore, the uncertainty in the prediction results of the Sacramento model was larger than those of other models. The IHACRES model had uncertainty in one parameter related to the slow flow simulation. On the other hand, the GR4J model had the lowest uncertainty compared to the other two models. The uncertainty-screening method presented in this study can be easily used when the modelers select rainfall-runoff models with lower uncertainty.
The hydrological model assessment and development (hydromad) modeling package is an R-based package that can be applied to simulate hydrological models and optimize parameters. As the hydromad package is incompatible with hydrological models outside the package, the parameters of such models cannot be directly optimized. Hence, we proposed a method of optimizing the hydrological-model parameters by combining the executable (EXE) file of the hydrological model with the shuffled complex evolution (SCE) algorithm provided by the hydromad package. A physically based, spatially distributed, grid-based rainfall–runoff model (GRM) was employed. By calibrating the parameters of the GRM, the performance of the model was found to be reasonable. Thus, the hydromad can be used to optimize the hydrological-model parameters outside the package if the EXE file of the hydrological model is available. The time required to optimize the parameters depends on the type of event, even for the same catchment area.
3 January 2020 in KSCE Journal of Civil Engineering
This paper presents an algorithm that can efficiently simulate a grid-based one-dimensional distributed rainfall-runoff model by performing parallel computations using flow accumulation values for individual grid cells, which are calculated through an eight flow direction method. This parallel computation algorithm uses information about flow accumulation to automatically find parallel computation target grid cells within the overall area and perform parallel computation on the grid by unit. The Microsoft.NET Parallel class was used to apply and evaluate the parallel computation algorithm independently on two machines. The results showed that the time reduction effect of parallel computation differed for each target domain, because flow accumulation values varied depending on the domain. Parallel computation reduced computation time by around 40% to 78% in virtual domains and around 63% in the real domain compared to sequential computation. The results of this study can be utilized to reduce the computation time of distributed models.