Prognostics and remaining useful life (RUL) estimation for lithium-ion batteries play an important role in intelligent battery management systems (BMS). The capacity is often used as the fade indicator for estimating the remaining cycle life of a lithium-ion battery. For spacecraft requiring high reliability and long lifetime, in-orbit RUL estimation and reliability verification on ground should be carefully addressed. However, it is quite challenging to monitor and estimate the capacity of a lithium-ion battery on-line in satellite applications. In this work, a novel health indicator (HI) is extracted from the operating parameters of a lithium-ion battery to quantify battery degradation. Moreover, the Grey Correlation Analysis (GCA) is utilized to evaluate the similarities between the extracted HI and the battery’s capacity. The result illustrates the effectiveness of using this new HI for fading indication. Furthermore, we propose an optimized ensemble monotonic echo state networks (En_MONESN) algorithm, in which the monotonic constraint is introduced to improve the adaptivity of degradation trend estimation, and ensemble learning is integrated to achieve high stability and precision of RUL prediction. Experiments with actual testing data show the efficiency of our proposed method in RUL estimation and degradation modeling for the satellite lithium-ion battery application.

Hyperspectral image (HSI) based detection has attracted considerable attention recently in agriculture, environmental protection and military applications as different wavelengths of light can be advantageously used to discriminate different types of objects. Unfortunately, estimating the background distribution and the detection of interesting local objects is not straightforward, and anomaly detectors may give false alarms. In this paper, a Deep Belief Network (DBN) based anomaly detector is proposed. The high-level features and reconstruction errors are learned through the network in a manner which is not affected by previous background distribution assumption. To reduce contamination by local anomalies, adaptive weights are constructed from reconstruction errors and statistical information. By using the code image which is generated during the inference of DBN and modified by adaptively updated weights, a local Euclidean distance between under test pixels and their neighboring pixels is used to determine the anomaly targets. Experimental results on synthetic and recorded HSI datasets show the performance of proposed method outperforms the classic global Reed-Xiaoli detector (RXD), local RX detector (LRXD) and the-state-of-the-art Collaborative Representation detector (CRD).

Lithium-ion battery packs are critical to ensure the operational reliability and service life of spacecraft. The battery pack health diagnosis is meaningful for reasonable mission plan and proper control actions of spacecraft. However, the characters of space application scenarios include periodic charge and discharge, nearly-constant discharge current, low electric current rate and fixed depth-of-discharge which bring challenges to battery pack state-of-health estimation. Considering these characters, this paper proposes a health diagnosis approach for lithium-ion battery pack based on an improved-equivalent-circuit-model. Firstly, an empirical model is introduced into the standard first-order equivalent-circuit-model to improve the accuracy of discharge process modeling under constant current. Further, a parameter look-up-table is developed to simulate the complete discharge based on the in-orbit partial discharge. Finally, the battery pack complete discharge process is virtually conducted to realize battery pack capacity estimation. The proposed method just satisfies the special operating conditions in space applications. The proposed method is validated based on a real tested lithium-ion battery pack. And the results indicate that the proposed method can realize the high-accurate health diagnosis for both battery pack and its inner cells under space operating conditions, which illustrate the adaptability and applicability of the proposed method in space applications.

The accurate prognostics of lithium-ion battery state of health (SOH) and remaining useful life (RUL) have great significance for reducing the costs of maintenance. The methods based on the physical models cannot perform satisfactorily as the systems become more and more complex. With the development of digital acquisition and storage technology, the data of battery cells can be obtained. This makes the data-driven methods get more and more attention. In this paper, to overcome the problem that the trend fitting deteriorates rapidly when test data are far from the training data for multiple-step-ahead estimation, a prognostic method fusing the wavelet de-noising (WD) method and the hybrid Gaussian process function regression (HGPFR) model for predicting the RUL of the lithium-ion battery is proposed. Gaussian process regression (GPR) is a typical representative for the Bayesian structure with non-parameter expression and uncertainty presentation. In this case, the effects on predictive results are compared and analyzed using the proposed method and the HGPFR model with different lengths of training data. Besides, in consideration of the degradation characteristics for the lithium-ion battery data set, the selections of the wavelet de-noising method are performed with corresponding experimental analyses. Furthermore, we set the hype-parameter for the mean function and co-variance function, and then develop a method for parameter optimization to make the proposed model suitable for the data. Moreover, a numerical simulation based on the data repository of Department of Engineering Science (DES) university of Oxford and Center for Advanced Life Cycle Engineering (CALCE) of University of Maryland is carried out, and the results are analyzed. For the data repository, an accuracy of 2.2% is obtained compared with the same value of 6.7% for the HGPFR model. What is more, the applicability and stability are verified with the prognostic results by the proposed method.

Effective anomaly detection of sensing data is essential for identifying potential system failures. Because they require no prior knowledge or accumulated labels, and provide uncertainty presentation, the probability prediction methods (e.g., Gaussian process regression (GPR) and relevance vector machine (RVM)) are especially adaptable to perform anomaly detection for sensing series. Generally, one key parameter of prediction models is coverage probability (CP), which controls the judging threshold of the testing sample and is generally set to a default value (e.g., 90% or 95%). There are few criteria to determine the optimal CP for anomaly detection. Therefore, this paper designs a graphic indicator of the receiver operating characteristic curve of prediction interval (ROC-PI) based on the definition of the ROC curve which can depict the trade-off between the PI width and PI coverage probability across a series of cut-off points. Furthermore, the Youden index is modified to assess the performance of different CPs, by the minimization of which the optimal CP is derived by the simulated annealing (SA) algorithm. Experiments conducted on two simulation datasets demonstrate the validity of the proposed method. Especially, an actual case study on sensing series from an on-orbit satellite illustrates its significant performance in practical application.