James Haywood

Prof. Dr. James Haywood

Met Office, Exeter, UK

Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

20Years (2007-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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16 March 2020 in Reviews of Geophysics
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Journal Article
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NBN. Bellouin
N. Bellouin
JQJ. Quaas
J. Quaas
EGEdward Gryspeerdt
Edward Gryspeerdt
SKS. Kinne
S. Kinne
PSP. Stier
P. Stier
BSB. Stevens
B. Stevens
Aerosols interact with radiation and clouds. Substantial progress made over the past 40 years in observing, understanding, and modeling these processes helped quantify the imbalance in the Earth's radiation budget caused by anthropogenic aerosols, called aerosol radiative forcing, but uncertainties remain large. This review provides a new range of aerosol radiative forcing over the industrial era based on multiple, traceable, and arguable lines of evidence, including modeling approaches, theoretical considerations, and observations. Improved understanding of aerosol absorption and the causes of trends in surface radiative fluxes constrain the forcing from aerosol‐radiation interactions. A robust theoretical foundation and convincing evidence constrain the forcing caused by aerosol‐driven increases in liquid cloud droplet number concentration. However, the influence of anthropogenic aerosols on cloud liquid water content and cloud fraction is less clear, and the influence on mixed‐phase and ice clouds remains poorly constrained. Observed changes in surface temperature and radiative fluxes provide additional constraints. These multiple lines of evidence lead to a 68% confidence interval for the total aerosol effective radiative forcing of ‐1.6 to ‐0.6 W m−2, or ‐2.0 to ‐0.4 W m−2 with a 90% likelihood. Those intervals are of similar width to the last Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change assessment but shifted toward more negative values. The uncertainty will narrow in the future by continuing to critically combine multiple lines of evidence, especially those addressing industrial‐era changes in aerosol sources and aerosol effects on liquid cloud amount and on ice clouds.

31 March 2013 in Nature Climate Change
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JHJames Haywood
James Haywood
AJAndy Jones
Andy Jones
NBNicolas Bellouin
Nicolas Bellouin
DSDavid Stephenson
David Stephenson

13 September 2018 in Nature Communications
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Journal Article
Open access
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MLMark Lawrence
Mark Lawrence
SSStefan Schäfer
Stefan Schäfer
HMHelene Muri
Helene Muri
VSVivian Scott
Vivian Scott
AOAndreas Oschlies
Andreas Oschlies
Jürgen ScheffranJürgen Scheffran
Jürgen Scheffran
Current mitigation efforts and existing future commitments are inadequate to accomplish the Paris Agreement temperature goals. In light of this, research and debate are intensifying on the possibilities of additionally employing proposed climate geoengineering technologies, either through atmospheric carbon dioxide removal or farther-reaching interventions altering the Earth’s radiative energy budget. Although research indicates that several techniques may eventually have the physical potential to contribute to limiting climate change, all are in early stages of development, involve substantial uncertainties and risks, and raise ethical and governance dilemmas. Based on present knowledge, climate geoengineering techniques cannot be relied on to significantly contribute to meeting the Paris Agreement temperature goals.

27 January 2021 in Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics
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JHJames Haywood
James Haywood
SASteven J. Abel
Steven J. Abel
PBPaul A. Barrett
Paul A. Barrett
NBNicolas Bellouin
Nicolas Bellouin
ABAlan Blyth
Alan Blyth
ZPZuidema Paquita
Zuidema Paquita
The representations of clouds, aerosols, and cloud–aerosol–radiation impacts remain some of the largest uncertainties in climate change, limiting our ability to accurately reconstruct past climate and predict future climate. The south-east Atlantic is a region where high atmospheric aerosol loadings and semi-permanent stratocumulus clouds are co-located, providing an optimum region for studying the full range of aerosol–radiation and aerosol–cloud interactions and their perturbations of the Earth's radiation budget. While satellite measurements have provided some useful insights into aerosol–radiation and aerosol–cloud interactions over the region, these observations do not have the spatial and temporal resolution, nor the required level of precision to allow for a process-level assessment. Detailed measurements from high spatial and temporal resolution airborne atmospheric measurements in the region are very sparse, limiting their use in assessing the performance of aerosol modelling in numerical weather prediction and climate models. CLARIFY-2017 was a major consortium programme consisting of five principal UK universities with project partners from the UK Met Office and European- and USA-based universities and research centres involved in the complementary ORACLES, LASIC, and AEROCLO-sA projects. The aims of CLARIFY-2017 were fourfold: (1) to improve the representation and reduce uncertainty in model estimates of the direct, semi-direct, and indirect radiative effect of absorbing biomass burning aerosols; (2) to improve our knowledge and representation of the processes determining stratocumulus cloud microphysical and radiative properties and their transition to cumulus regimes; (3) to challenge, validate, and improve satellite retrievals of cloud and aerosol properties and their radiative impacts; (4) to improve the impacts of aerosols in weather and climate numerical models. This paper describes the modelling and measurement strategies central to the CLARIFY-2017 deployment of the FAAM BAe146 instrumented aircraft campaign, summarizes the flight objectives and flight patterns, and highlights some key results from our initial analyses.

1 August 2022 in Nature Geoscience
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Ying ChenYing Chen
Ying Chen
JHJames Haywood
James Haywood
YWYu Wang
Yu Wang
FMFlorent Malavelle
Florent Malavelle
GJGeorge Jordan
George Jordan
ULUlrike Lohmann
Ulrike Lohmann

9 August 2024 in Nature Geoscience
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PSPhilip Stier
Philip Stier
SHSusan C. van Den Heever
Susan C. van Den Heever
MCMatthew W. Christensen
Matthew W. Christensen
EGEdward Gryspeerdt
Edward Gryspeerdt
GDGuy Dagan
Guy Dagan
WTWei-Kuo Tao
Wei-Kuo Tao