An increased systemic and local inflammation plays a key role in the pathophysiology of acute coronary syndrome (ACS). This review will discuss the role of hematological indices: white blood cells (WBC), neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR), red cell distribution width (RDW), and platelet indices, that is, platelet to lymphocyte ratio (PLR), mean platelet volume (MPV), and platelet distribution width (PDW) in the case of ACS. In recent years, a strong interest has been drawn to these indices, given that they may provide independent information on pathophysiology, risk stratification, and optimal management. Their low-cost and consequent wide and easy availability in daily clinical practice have made them very popular in the laboratory testing. Furthermore, many studies have pointed at their effective prognostic value in all-cause mortality, major cardiovascular events, stent thrombosis, arrhythmias, and myocardial perfusion disorders in terms of acute myocardial infarction and unstable angina. The most recent research also emphasizes their significant value in the combined analysis with other markers, such as troponin, or with GRACE, SYNTAX, and TIMI scores, which improve risk stratification and diagnosis in ACS patients.
Lipoprotein(a) [Lp(a)] is made up of a low-density lipoprotein (LDL) particle and a specific apolipoprotein(a). The blood concentration of Lp(a) is approximately 90% genetically determined, and the main genetic factor determining Lp(a) levels is the size of the apo(a) isoform, which is determined by the number of KIV2 domain repeats. The size of the apo(a) isoform is inversely proportional to the blood concentration of Lp(a). Lp(a) is a strong and independent cardiovascular risk factor. Elevated Lp(a) levels ≥ 50 mg/dl (≥ 125 nmol/l) are estimated to occur in more than 1.5 billion people worldwide. However, determination of Lp(a) levels is performed far too rarely, including Poland, where, in fact, it is only since the 2021 guidelines of the Polish Lipid Association (PoLA) and five other scientific societies that Lp(a) measurements have begun to be performed. Determination of Lp(a) concentrations is not easy due to, among other things, the different sizes of the apo(a) isoforms; however, the currently available certified tests make it possible to distinguish between people with low and high cardiovascular risk with a high degree of precision. In 2022, the first guidelines for the management of patients with elevated lipoprotein(a) levels were published by the European Atherosclerosis Society (EAS) and the American Heart Association (AHA). The first Polish guidelines are the result of the work of experts from the two scientific societies and their aim is to provide clear, practical recommendations for the determination and management of elevated Lp(a) levels.
Inflammation, oxidative stress, myocardial injury biomarkers and clinical parameters (longer AF duration, left atrial enlargement, the metabolic syndrome) are factors commonly related to AF recurrence. This study aims to assess the predictive value of laboratory and clinical parameters responsible for early recurrence of atrial fibrillation (ERAF) following cryoballoon ablation (CBA) using statistical assessment and machine learning algorithms. This study group comprised 118 consecutive patients (mean age, 62.5 ± 7.8 years; women 36%) with paroxysmal (54.1%) and persistent (45.9%) AF who underwent their first pulmonary vein isolation (PVI) performed by CBA (Arctic Front Advance 2nd generation 28 mm). The biomarker concentrations were measured at baseline and after CBA in a 24-h follow-up. ERAF was defined as at least a 30-s episode of arrhythmia registered by a 24 h-Holter monitor within the 3 months following the procedure. 56 clinical, laboratory and procedural variables were collected from each patient. We used two classification algorithms: support vector machines, gradient boosted tree. The synthetic minority over-sampling technique (SMOTE) was used to provide a balanced training data set. Within a period of 3 months 21 patients (17.8%) experienced ERAF. The statistical analysis indicated that the lowered levels of post-ablation TnT (p = 0.043) and CK-MB (p = 0.010) with the TnT elevation (p = 0.044) were the predictors of ERAF following CBA. In addition, diabetes and statin treatment were significantly associated with ERAF after CBA (p < 0.05). The machine learning algorithms confirmed the results obtained in the univariate analysis.
Introduction. Hematological indices including red cell distribution width and neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio are proven to be associated with outcomes of acute coronary syndrome. The usefulness of machine learning techniques in predicting mortality after acute coronary syndrome based on such features has not been studied before. Objective. We aim to create an alternative risk assessment tool, which is based on easily obtainable features, including hematological indices and inflammation markers. Patients and Methods. We obtained the study data from the electronic medical records of 5053 patients hospitalized with acute coronary syndrome during a 5-year period. The time of follow-up ranged from 12 to 72 months. A machine learning classifier was trained to predict death during hospitalization and within 180 and 365 days from admission. Our method was compared with the Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events (GRACE) Score 2.0 on a test dataset. Results. For in-hospital mortality, our model achieved a -statistic of 0.89 while the GRACE score 2.0 achieved 0.90. For six-month mortality, the results of our model and the GRACE score on the test set were 0.77 and 0.73, respectively. Red cell distribution width (HR 1.23; 95% CL 1.16-1.30; ) and neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (HR 1.08; 95% CL 1.05-1.10; ) showed independent association with all-cause mortality in multivariable Cox regression. Conclusions. Hematological markers, such as neutrophil count and red cell distribution width have a strong association with all-cause mortality after acute coronary syndrome. A machine-learned model which uses the abovementioned parameters can provide long-term predictions of accuracy comparable or superior to well-validated risk scores.
Aims: Transoesophageal echocardiography (TOE) is often performed before catheter ablation or cardioversion to rule out the presence of left atrial appendage thrombus (LAT) in patients on chronic oral anticoagulation (OAC), despite associated discomfort. A machine learning model [LAT-artificial intelligence (AI)] was developed to predict the presence of LAT based on clinical and transthoracic echocardiography (TTE) features. Methods and results: Data from a 13-site prospective registry of patients who underwent TOE before cardioversion or catheter ablation were used. LAT-AI was trained to predict LAT using data from 12 sites (n = 2827) and tested externally in patients on chronic OAC from two sites (n = 1284). Areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of LAT-AI were compared with that of left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) and CHA2DS2-VASc score. A decision threshold allowing for a 99% negative predictive value was defined in the development cohort. A protocol where TOE in patients on chronic OAC is performed depending on the LAT-AI score was validated in the external cohort. In the external testing cohort, LAT was found in 5.5% of patients. LAT-AI achieved an AUC of 0.85 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.82–0.89], outperforming LVEF (0.81, 95% CI 0.76–0.86, P < .0001) and CHA2DS2-VASc score (0.69, 95% CI: 0.63–0.7, P < .0001) in the entire external cohort. Based on the proposed protocol, 40% of patients on chronic OAC from the external cohort would safely avoid TOE. Conclusion: LAT-AI allows accurate prediction of LAT. A LAT-AI-based protocol could be used to guide the decision to perform TOE despite chronic OAC.
Late recurrence of atrial fibrillation (LRAF) in the first year following catheter ablation is a common and significant clinical problem. Our study aimed to create a machine-learning model for predicting arrhythmic recurrence within the first year since catheter ablation. The study comprised 201 consecutive patients (age: 61.8 ± 8.1; women 36%) with paroxysmal, persistent, and long-standing persistent atrial fibrillation (AF) who underwent cryoballoon (61%) and radiofrequency ablation (39%). Five different supervised machine-learning models (decision tree, logistic regression, random forest, XGBoost, support vector machines) were developed for predicting AF recurrence. Further, SHapley Additive exPlanations were derived to explain the predictions using 82 parameters based on clinical, laboratory, and procedural variables collected from each patient. The models were trained and validated using a stratified fivefold cross-validation, and a feature selection was performed with permutation importance. The XGBoost model with 12 variables showed the best performance on the testing cohort, with the highest AUC of 0.75 [95% confidence interval 0.7395, 0.7653]. The machine-learned model, based on the easily available 12 clinical and laboratory variables, predicted LRAF with good performance, which may provide a valuable tool in clinical practice for better patient selection and personalized AF strategy following the procedure.