Dengue has become a challenge for many countries. Arboviruses transmitted by Aedes aegypti spread rapidly over the last decades. The emergence chikungunya fever and zika in South America poses new challenges to vector monitoring and control. This situation got worse from 2015 and 2016, with the rapid spread of chikungunya, causing fever and muscle weakness, and Zika virus, related to cases of microcephaly in newborns and the occurrence of Guillain-Barret syndrome, an autoimmune disease that affects the nervous system. The objective of this work was to construct a tool to forecast the distribution of arboviruses transmitted by the mosquito Aedes aegypti by implementing dengue, zika and chikungunya transmission predictors based on machine learning, focused on multilayer perceptrons neural networks, support vector machines and linear regression models. As a case study, we investigated forecasting models to predict the spatio-temporal distribution of cases from primary health notification data and climate variables (wind velocity, temperature and pluviometry) from Recife, Brazil, from 2013 to 2016, including 2015’s outbreak. The use of spatio-temporal analysis over multilayer perceptrons and support vector machines results proved to be very effective in predicting the distribution of arbovirus cases. The models indicate that the southern and western regions of Recife were very susceptible to outbreaks in the period under investigation. The proposed approach could be useful to support health managers and epidemiologists to prevent outbreaks of arboviruses transmitted by Aedes aegypti and promote public policies for health promotion and sanitation.
19 December 2010 in International Journal of Reconfigurable Computing
The design of complex circuits as SoCs presents two great challenges to designers. One is the speeding up of system functionality modeling and the second is the implementation of the system in an architecture that meets performance and power consumption requirements. Thus, developing new high-level specification mechanisms for the reduction of the design effort with automatic architecture exploration is a necessity. This paper proposes an Electronic-System-Level (ESL) approach for system modeling and cache energy consumption analysis of SoCs called PCacheEnergyAnalyzer. It uses as entry a high-level UML-2.0 profile model of the system and it generates a simulation model of a multicore platform that can be analyzed for cache tuning. PCacheEnergyAnalyzer performs static/dynamic energy consumption analysis of caches on platforms that may have different processors. Architecture exploration is achieved by letting designers choose different processors for platform generation and different mechanisms for cache optimization. PCacheEnergyAnalyzer has been validated with several applications of Mibench, Mediabench, and PowerStone benchmarks, and results show that it provides analysis with reduced simulation effort.
1 January 2022 in Research, Society and Development
Accelerated population growth in the 21st century and increased demand for energy sources, associated with climate change, have resulted in two main challenges: the search for sustainable energy sources and the need to find more efficient ways to use extant sustainable sources. The forecasting module provides an estimate of the future usage of these appliances and it is the source of the recommended module’s suggestion. Time Series Forecasting techniques, such as Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average, LongShort Term Memory (LSTM), Gated Recurrent Units, Echo State Networks (ESN), and Support Vector Regression, were tested for the predictive module. Multiobjective optimization techniques such as NonSorted Genetic Algorithm II (NSGA II), MultiObjective Particle Swarm Optimization (MOPSO), Speed constrained Multi-objective Particle Swarm Optimization (SMOPSO), and Strength Pareto Evolutionary Algorithm two (SPEA2), for example, were tested for the Recommendation Module. The Forecasting and Recommendation module experiments were performed independently. In the Forecasting Module, the results and statistical tests revealed LSTM as the best suited technique for forecasting the loads of the majority of the appliances tested (in this case seven) in terms of root mean square error. In the experiments performed for the recommendation module, NSGA II showed a higher overall performance compared to other metrics in terms of hyper volume of the Pareto Front generated. This work presents the potential of using both Predictive Models and MultiObjective Optimization Techniques combined to reduce energy usage in household environments.