The global COVID-19 spread has forced countries to implement non-pharmacological interventions (NPI) (i.e., mobility restrictions and testing campaigns) to preserve health systems. Spain is one of the most severely impacted countries, both clinically and economically. In an effort to support policy decision-making, we aimed to assess the impacts of different NPI on COVID-19 epidemiology, healthcare costs and Gross Domestic Product (GDP). A modified Susceptible-Exposed-Infectious-Removed epidemiological model was created to simulate the pandemic evolution. Its output was used to populate an economic model to quantify healthcare costs and GDP variation through a regression model which correlates NPI and GDP change from 42 countries. Thirteen scenarios combining different NPI were consecutively simulated in the epidemiological and economic models. Both increased testing and stringency could reduce cases, hospitalizations and deaths. While policies based on increased testing rates lead to higher healthcare costs, increased stringency is correlated with greater GDP declines, with differences of up to 4.4% points. Increased test sensitivity may lead to a reduction of cases, hospitalizations and deaths and to the implementation of pooling techniques that can increase throughput testing capacity. Alternative strategies to control COVID-19 spread entail differing economic outcomes. Decision-makers may utilize this tool to identify the most suitable strategy considering epidemiological and economic outcomes.

Purpose: To perform a cost-effectiveness analysis of radium-223 plus Best Supportive Care (BSC) compared to BSC in the treatment of patients with metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC) and without previous docetaxel treatment in Spain. Design and methods: A Markov model was developed to compare radium-223 versus BSC and to accrue the health outcomes and costs of a simulated cohort of mCRPC patients. Quality-adjusted life year (QALY) and life year (LY) were selected as health outcomes to measure the effectiveness of treatment alternatives. Main health resource use and efficacy inputs were obtained from a randomized controlled trial comparing radium-223 versus placebo. Unit costs were retrieved from Spanish databases and published sources. One-way and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were carried out to assess uncertainty. Results: Total costs and QALYs were €65 067 and 1.12 QALYs for radium-223 and €55 437 and 0.77 QALYs for BSC. Therefore, incremental costs per QALY were €27 606. The sensitivity analysis showed that with a willingness-to-pay threshold of €30 000 per QALY, radium-223 would have a probability of 48% of being cost-effective compared to BSC. Conclusions: Although results must be assessed with caution, from the Spanish National Health System perspective and based on the results of the present analysis, radium-223 could be a suitable option of health resources’ utilization for end of life mCRPC without previous docetaxel treatment, subject to a moderate level of uncertainty.