Juan Calvo

Dr. Juan Calvo

orcid

Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

12Years (2015-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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1 February 2019 in Computers & Mathematics with Applications
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
JCJuan Calvo
Juan Calvo

18 May 2022 in Epidemics
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
FSFabio Sanchez
Fabio Sanchez
JCJuan Calvo
Juan Calvo
GMGustavo Mery
Gustavo Mery
YGYury E. García
Yury E. García
PVPaola Vásquez
Paola Vásquez
TRTania Rivas
Tania Rivas
Successful partnerships between researchers, experts, and public health authorities have been critical to navigate the challenges of the Covid-19 pandemic worldwide. In this collaboration, mathematical models have played a decisive role in informing public policy, with findings effectively translated into public health measures that have shaped the pandemic in Costa Rica. As a result of interdisciplinary and cross-institutional collaboration, we constructed a multilayer network model that incorporates a diverse contact structure for each individual. In July 2020, we used this model to test the effect of lifting restrictions on population mobility after a so-called “epidemiological fence” imposed to contain the country’s first big wave of cases. Later, in August 2020, we used it to predict the effects of an open and close strategy (the Hammer and Dance). Scenarios constructed in July 2020 showed that lifting restrictions on population mobility after less than three weeks of epidemiological fence would produce a sharp increase in cases. Results from scenarios in August 2020 indicated that the Hammer and Dance strategy would only work with 50% of the population adhering to mobility restrictions. The development, evolution, and applications of a multilayer network model of Covid-19 in Costa Rica has guided decision-makers to anticipate implementing sanitary measures and contributed to gain valuable time to increase hospital capacity.

19 June 2018 in Mathematical Models and Methods in Applied Sciences
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
JCJuan Calvo
Juan Calvo

1 July 2022 in Numerical Algorithms
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
PDF file
CHCésar Herrera
César Herrera
RCRicardo Corrales-Barquero
Ricardo Corrales-Barquero
JAJorge Arroyo-Esquivel
Jorge Arroyo-Esquivel
JCJuan Calvo
Juan Calvo

19 October 2023 in PLOS Global Public Health
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
YGYury E. García
Yury E. García
SCShu Wei Chou-Chen
Shu Wei Chou-Chen
LBLuis A. Barboza
Luis A. Barboza
MDMaria L. Daza-Torres
Maria L. Daza-Torres
JMJ. Cricelio Montesinos-López
J. Cricelio Montesinos-López
FSFabio Sanchez
Fabio Sanchez
Dengue transmission poses significant challenges for public health authorities worldwide due to its susceptibility to various factors, including environmental and climate variability, affecting its incidence and geographic spread. This study focuses on Costa Rica, a country characterized by diverse microclimates nearby, where dengue has been endemic since its introduction in 1993. Using wavelet coherence and clustering analysis, we performed a time-series analysis to uncover the intricate connections between climate, local environmental factors, and dengue occurrences. The findings indicate that multiannual dengue frequency (3 yr) is correlated with the Oceanic Niño Index and the Tropical North Atlantic Index. This association is particularly prominent in cantons located along the North and South Pacific Coast, as well as in the Central cantons of the country. Furthermore, the time series of these climate indices exhibit a leading phase of approximately nine months ahead of dengue cases. Additionally, the clustering analysis uncovers non-contiguous groups of cantons that exhibit similar correlation patterns, irrespective of their proximity or adjacency. This highlights the significance of climate factors in influencing dengue dynamics across diverse regions, regardless of spatial closeness or distance between them. On the other hand, the annual dengue frequency was correlated with local environmental indices. A persistent correlation between dengue cases and local environmental variables is observed over time in the North Pacific and the Central Region of the country’s Northwest, with environmental factors leading by less than three months. These findings contribute to understanding dengue transmission’s spatial and temporal dynamics in Costa Rica, highlighting the importance of climate and local environmental factors in dengue surveillance and control efforts.

1 December 2019 in Computers & Mathematics with Applications
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
FSFabio Sanchez
Fabio Sanchez
JCJuan Calvo
Juan Calvo
ESEsteban Segura
Esteban Segura
ZFZhilan Feng
Zhilan Feng