Brad Seely

Dr. Brad Seely

Faculty of Forestry, University of British Columbia, 4625-2424 Main Mall, Vancouver, BC V6T 1Z4, Canada

Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

17Years (2010-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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12 August 2015 in PLOS ONE
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
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Brad SeelyBrad Seely
Brad Seely
CWClive Welham
Clive Welham
KSKim Scoullar
Kim Scoullar
Climate change introduces considerable uncertainty in forest management planning and outcomes, potentially undermining efforts at achieving sustainable practices. Here, we describe the development and application of the FORECAST Climate model. Constructed using a hybrid simulation approach, the model includes an explicit representation of the effect of temperature and moisture availability on tree growth and survival, litter decomposition, and nutrient cycling. The model also includes a representation of the impact of increasing atmospheric CO2 on water use efficiency, but no direct CO2 fertilization effect. FORECAST Climate was evaluated for its ability to reproduce the effects of historical climate on Douglas-fir and lodgepole pine growth in a montane forest in southern British Columbia, Canada, as measured using tree ring analysis. The model was subsequently used to project the long-term impacts of alternative future climate change scenarios on forest productivity in young and established stands. There was a close association between predicted sapwood production and measured tree ring chronologies, providing confidence that model is able to predict the relative impact of annual climate variability on tree productivity. Simulations of future climate change suggest a modest increase in productivity in young stands of both species related to an increase in growing season length. In contrast, results showed a negative impact on stemwood biomass production (particularly in the case of lodgepole pine) for established stands due to increased moisture stress mortality.

1 April 2010 in Forest Ecology and Management
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
JDJulia Dordel
Julia Dordel
SSSuzanne W. Simard
Suzanne W. Simard
JBJürgen Bauhus
Jürgen Bauhus
Brad SeelyBrad Seely
Brad Seely
LPLuciano J. Pozas
Luciano J. Pozas
HHHermann Hampel
Hermann Hampel