Zezheng Zhao

Mr. Zezheng Zhao

The university of sydney

Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

6Years (2021-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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10 December 2021 in Information
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
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ZZZezheng Zhao
Zezheng Zhao
CXChunqiu Xia
Chunqiu Xia
LCLian Chi
Lian Chi
XCXiaomin Chang
Xiaomin Chang
Wei LiWei Li
Wei Li
Albert ZomayaAlbert Zomaya
Albert Zomaya
From the perspective of energy providers, accurate short-term load forecasting plays a significant role in the energy generation plan, efficient energy distribution process and electricity price strategy optimisation. However, it is hard to achieve a satisfactory result because the historical data is irregular, non-smooth, non-linear and noisy. To handle these challenges, in this work, we introduce a novel model based on the Transformer network to provide an accurate day-ahead load forecasting service. Our model contains a similar day selection approach involving the LightGBM and k-means algorithms. Compared to the traditional RNN-based model, our proposed model can avoid falling into the local minimum and outperforming the global search. To evaluate the performance of our proposed model, we set up a series of simulation experiments based on the energy consumption data in Australia. The performance of our model has an average MAPE (mean absolute percentage error) of 1.13, where RNN is 4.18, and LSTM is 1.93.