Jeff Morgan

Prof. Jeff Morgan


Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

38Years (1989-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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27 March 2017 in Theoretical Biology and Medical Modelling
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WFW. E. Fitzgibbon
W. E. Fitzgibbon
Jeff MorganJeff Morgan
Jeff Morgan
Glenn WebbGlenn Webb
Glenn Webb
A deterministic model is developed for the spatial spread of an epidemic disease in a geographical setting. The disease is borne by vectors to susceptible hosts through criss-cross dynamics. The model is focused on an outbreak that arises from a small number of infected hosts imported into a subregion of the geographical setting. The goal is to understand how spatial heterogeneity of the vector and host populations influences the dynamics of the outbreak, in both the geographical spread and the final size of the epidemic. Partial differential equations are formulated to describe the spatial interaction of the hosts and vectors. The partial differential equations have reaction-diffusion terms to describe the criss-cross interactions of hosts and vectors. The partial differential equations of the model are analyzed and proven to be well-posed. A local basic reproduction number for the epidemic is analyzed. The epidemic outcomes of the model are correlated to the spatially dependent parameters and initial conditions of the model. The partial differential equations of the model are adapted to seasonality of the vector population, and applied to the 2015–2016 Zika seasonal outbreak in Rio de Janeiro Municipality in Brazil. The results for the model simulations of the 2015–2016 Zika seasonal outbreak in Rio de Janeiro Municipality indicate that the spatial distribution and final size of the epidemic at the end of the season are strongly dependent on the location and magnitude of local outbreaks at the beginning of the season. The application of the model to the Rio de Janeiro Municipality Zika 2015–2016 outbreak is limited by incompleteness of the epidemic data and by uncertainties in the parametric assumptions of the model.

1 January 2004 in Discrete and Continuous Dynamical Systems-Series B
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WFW. E. Fitzgibbon
W. E. Fitzgibbon
MLM. Langlais
M. Langlais
Jeff MorganJeff Morgan
Jeff Morgan
We study the global existence and approximation of the solutions to a reaction diffusion system coupled with an ordinary differential equation modeling direct transmission between individuals and indirect transmission via a contaminated environment of an epidemic disease.

24 January 2015 in Bulletin of Mathematical Biology
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MGMarcus R. Garvie
Marcus R. Garvie
JBJohn Burkardt
John Burkardt
Jeff MorganJeff Morgan
Jeff Morgan

30 April 2007 in Mathematical Biosciences
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WFW.E. Fitzgibbon
W.E. Fitzgibbon
MLM. Langlais
M. Langlais
Jeff MorganJeff Morgan
Jeff Morgan

1 January 2021 in Discrete and Continuous Dynamical Systems - S
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KFKlemens Fellner
Klemens Fellner
Jeff MorganJeff Morgan
Jeff Morgan
BTBao Quoc Tang
Bao Quoc Tang
Uniform-in-time bounds of nonnegative classical solutions to reaction-diffusion systems in all space dimension are proved. The systems are assumed to dissipate the total mass and to have locally Lipschitz nonlinearities of at most (slightly super-) quadratic growth. This pushes forward the recent advances concerning global existence of reaction-diffusion systems dissipating mass in which a uniform-in-time bound has been known only in space dimension one or two. As an application, skew-symmetric Lotka-Volterra systems are shown to have unique classical solutions which are uniformly bounded in time in all dimensions with relatively compact trajectories in $ C(\overline{\Omega})^m $.

28 July 2021 in Proceedings of the Royal Society of Edinburgh: Section A Mathematics
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LDLaurent Desvillettes
Laurent Desvillettes
VGValeria Giunta
Valeria Giunta
Jeff MorganJeff Morgan
Jeff Morgan
BTBao Quoc Tang
Bao Quoc Tang
We consider a system of reaction–diffusion equations including chemotaxis terms and coming out of the modelling of multiple sclerosis. The global existence of strong solutions to this system in any dimension is proved, and it is also shown that the solution is bounded uniformly in time. Finally, a nonlinear stability result is obtained when the chemotaxis term is not too big. We also perform numerical simulations to show the appearance of Turing patterns when the chemotaxis term is large.