Many Chinese cities currently are facing increased urban fire risks particularly at places such as urban villages, high-rise buildings and large warehouses. Using a unique historical fire incident dataset (2002–2013), this paper is intended to explore the urban fire dynamics and its association with urban growth in Nanjing, China, with a geographical information system (GIS)-based spatial analytics and remote sensing (RS) techniques. A new method is proposed to define a range of fire hot spots characterizing different phases of fire incident evolution, which are compared with the urban growth in the same periods. The results suggest that the fire events have been largely concentrated in the city proper and meanwhile expanding towards the suburbs, which has a similar temporal trend to the growth of population and urban land at the city level particularly since 2008. Most intensifying and persistent fire hot spots are found in the central districts, which have limited urban expansion but high population densities. Most new hot spots are located in the suburban districts, which have seen both rapid population growth and urban expansion in recent years. However, the analysis at a finer spatial scale (500 m × 500 m) shows no evidences of an explicit connection between the locations of new fire hot spots and recently developed urban land. The findings can inform future urban and emergency planning with respect to the deployment of fire and rescue resources, ultimately improving urban fire safety.

Gridded gross domestic product (GDP) data are a crucial land surface parameter for many geoscience applications. Recently, machine learning approaches have become powerful tools in generating gridded GDP data. However, most machine learning approaches for gridded GDP estimation seldom consider the geographical properties of input variables. Therefore, in this study, a geographically weighted stacking ensemble learning approach was developed to generate gridded GDP data. Three algorithms—random forest, XGBoost, and LightGBM—were used as base models, and the linear regression in stacking ensemble learning was replaced by geographically weighted regression to locally fuse the three predictions. A case study was conducted in China to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed approach. The results showed that the proposed GDP downscaling approach outperformed the three base models and traditional stacking ensemble learning. Meanwhile, it had good predictive power on county-level GDP test data with R² of 0.894, 0.976, and 0.976 for the primary, secondary, and tertiary sectors, respectively. Moreover, the predicted 1 km gridded GDP data had a high accuracy (R² = 0.787) when evaluated by town-level GDP data. Hence, the proposed GDP downscaling approach provides a valuable option for generating gridded GDP data. The generated 1 km gridded GDP data of China from 2020 are of great significance for other applications.

Urban fire occurs within the built environment, usually involving casualties and economic losses, and affects individuals and socioeconomic activities in the surrounding neighborhoods. A good understanding of the spatiotemporal dynamics of fire incidents can offer insights into potential determinants of various fire events, therefore enabling better fire risk estimation which can assist with future allocation of prevention resources and strategic planning of mitigation programs. Using a twelve-year (2002–2013) dataset containing the urban fire events in Nanjing, China, this research explores the spatiotemporal dynamics of urban fires using a range of exploratory spatial data analysis (ESDA) approaches. Of particular interest here are the fire incidents involving residential properties and local facilities due to their relatively higher occurrence frequencies. The results indicate that the overall amount of urban fires has greatly increased in the last decade and the spatiotemporal distribution of fire events varies among different incident types. The identified spatiotemporal patterns of urban fires in Nanjing can be linked to the urban development strategies and how they have been reflected in reality in recent years.

HIGHLIGHTS. Catchments as basic study units.Producing flash flood susceptibility maps using machine learning approaches.An improved Blending approach.