Emily Alyssa Baker

Dr. Emily Alyssa Baker

Department of Civil Engineering and Architecture (DICAr) and Reseach Centre on Water (CRA), University of Pavia, 27100 Pavia, Italy
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Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

11Years (2016-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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1 June 2017 in Environmental Modelling & Software
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
AGAnneMarie Glose
AnneMarie Glose
LLLaura K. Lautz
Laura K. Lautz
Emily Alyssa BakerEmily Alyssa Baker
Emily Alyssa Baker


1 April 2019 in Journal of Hydrology
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Journal Article
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Emily Alyssa BakerEmily Alyssa Baker
Emily Alyssa Baker
LLLaura K. Lautz
Laura K. Lautz
JMJeffrey M. McKenzie
Jeffrey M. McKenzie
CACaroline Aubry-Wake
Caroline Aubry-Wake

5 August 2018 in Hydrological Processes
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Journal Article
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Emily Alyssa BakerEmily Alyssa Baker
Emily Alyssa Baker
LLLaura K. Lautz
Laura K. Lautz
CKChrista A. Kelleher
Christa A. Kelleher
JMJeffrey M. McKenzie
Jeffrey M. McKenzie

17 April 2023 in GEM - International Journal on Geomathematics
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Journal Article
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Emily Alyssa BakerEmily Alyssa Baker
Emily Alyssa Baker
SAURO MANENTISAURO MANENTI
SAURO MANENTI
Alessandro RealiAlessandro Reali
Alessandro Reali
GSGiancarlo Sangalli
Giancarlo Sangalli
LTLorenzo Tamellini
Lorenzo Tamellini
Sara TodeschiniSara Todeschini
Sara Todeschini
Groundwater flow modeling is commonly used to calculate groundwater heads, estimate groundwater flow paths and travel times, and provide insights into solute transport processes within an aquifer. However, the values of input parameters that drive groundwater flow models are often highly uncertain due to subsurface heterogeneity and geologic complexity in combination with lack of measurements/unreliable measurements. This uncertainty affects the accuracy and reliability of model outputs. Therefore, parameters’ uncertainty must be quantified before adopting the model as an engineering tool. In this study, we model the uncertain parameters as random variables and use a Bayesian inversion approach to obtain a posterior, data-informed, probability density function (pdf) for them: in particular, the likelihood function we consider takes into account both well measurements and our prior knowledge about the extent of the springs in the domain under study. To keep the modelistic and computational complexities under control, we assume Gaussianity of the posterior pdf of the parameters. To corroborate this assumption, we run an identifiability analysis of the model: we apply the inversion procedure to several sets of synthetic data polluted by increasing levels of noise, and we determine at which levels of noise we can effectively recover the “true value” of the parameters. We then move to real well data (coming from the Ticino River basin, in northern Italy, and spanning a month in summer 2014), and use the posterior pdf of the parameters as a starting point to perform an uncertainty quantification analysis on groundwater travel-time distributions.

15 April 2020 in Nature Reviews Earth & Environment
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Emily Alyssa BakerEmily Alyssa Baker
Emily Alyssa Baker