Our aim in this paper is to clarify the notion of independence for imprecise probabilities. Suppose that two marginal experiments are each described by an imprecise probability model, i.e., by a convex set of probability distributions or an equivalent model such as upper and lower probabilities or previsions. Then there are several ways to define independence of the two experiments and to construct an imprecise probability model for the joint experiment. We survey and compare six definitions of independence. To clarify the meaning of the definitions and the relationships between them, we give simple examples which involve drawing balls from urns. For each concept of independence, we give a mathematical definition, an intuitive or behavioural interpretation, assumptions under which the definition is justified, and an example of an urn model to which the definition is applicable. Each of the independence concepts we study appears to be useful in some kinds of application. The concepts of strong independence and epistemic independence appear to be the most frequently applicable.
7 September 2001 in International Journal of Intelligent Systems
This paper considers two measures of entropy for the Theory of Evidence and studies their properties. The first measure is based on the measures of entropy and specificity as defined by Yager. The other one may easily be applied to more general classes of fuzzy measures.
17 January 2003 in International Journal of Intelligent Systems
Directed graphic models based on conditional independence provide a compact and concise representation of an expert's subjective belief about existing relationships between variables. Faced with the task of building a greater model, each expert must be a specialist in some subset of the whole knowledge domain. It would be desirable to aggregate the knowledge provided by those specialists under the form of graphical models into a single and more general representation. This article studies the consensus model that would be obtained by combining two graphs associated with Bayesian networks and applying the union and intersection of their independencies.