The emergence of Omicron variants coincided with declining vaccine-induced protection against SARS-CoV-2. Two bivalent mRNA vaccines, mRNA-1273.222 (Moderna) and BNT162b2 Bivalent (Pfizer-BioNTech), were developed to provide greater protection against the predominate circulating variants by including mRNA that encodes both the ancestral (original) strain and BA.4/BA.5. We estimated their relative vaccine effectiveness (rVE) in preventing COVID-19-related outcomes in the US using a nationwide dataset linking primary care electronic health records and pharmacy/medical claims data. The study population (aged ≥18 years) received either vaccine between 31 August 2022 and 28 February 2023. We used propensity score weighting to adjust for baseline differences between groups. We estimated the rVE against COVID-19-related hospitalizations (primary outcome) and outpatient visits (secondary) for 1,034,538 mRNA-1273.222 and 1,670,666 BNT162b2 Bivalent vaccine recipients, with an adjusted rVE of 9.8% (95% confidence interval: 2.6–16.4%) and 5.1% (95% CI: 3.2–6.9%), respectively, for mRNA-1273.222 versus BNT162b2 Bivalent. The incremental relative effectiveness was greater among adults ≥ 65; the rVE against COVID-19-related hospitalizations and outpatient visits in these patients was 13.5% (95% CI: 5.5–20.8%) and 10.7% (8.2–13.1%), respectively. Overall, we found greater effectiveness of mRNA-1273.222 compared with the BNT162b2 Bivalent vaccine in preventing COVID-19-related hospitalizations and outpatient visits, with increased benefits in older adults.

This study aimed to evaluate the vaccine effectiveness (VE) of mRNA-1273.815, a 2023-2024 Omicron XBB.1.5-containing mRNA COVID-19 vaccine, at preventing COVID-19-related hospitalizations and any medically attended COVID-19 in adults. In a linked EHR-claims dataset, we identified US adults (≥18 years) who received the mRNA-1273.815 vaccine (exposed cohort) between September 12 and December 15, 2023, matched 1:1 to individuals who did not receive a 2023-2024 updated COVID-19 vaccine (unexposed cohort). Cohorts were balanced using inverse probability of treatment weighting on demographics, vaccination and infection history, and underlying medical conditions. Study cohorts were followed until December 31, 2023 for COVID-19-related hospitalizations and medically attended COVID-19. Cox regression was used to estimate hazard ratios (HR) and VE. Subgroup analyses were performed for adults ≥50, adults ≥65, and individuals with underlying medical conditions. Overall, 859,335 matched pairs of mRNA-1273.815 recipients and unexposed adults were identified. The mean (SD) age was 63 (16) years. More than 60% of individuals in both cohorts had an underlying medical condition. Among the overall adult population, VE was 60.2% (95% CI: 53.4-66.0%) against COVID-19-related hospitalization and 33.1% (30.2%-35.9%) against medically attended COVID-19 over a median follow-up of 63 (IQR: 44-78) days. VE estimates by age and underlying medical conditions were similar. These results demonstrate the significant protection provided by mRNA-1273.815 against COVID-19-related hospitalizations and any medically attended COVID-19 in adults, regardless of vaccination history, and support CDC recommendations to stay up-to-date with COVID-19 vaccination to prevent COVID-19-related outcomes, including hospitalizations.

Real-world evidence (RWE) increasingly informs public health and healthcare decisions worldwide. A large database has been created (“Integrated Dataset”) that integrates primary care electronic medical records with pharmacy and medical claims data on >123 million US patients since 2014. This article describes the components of the Integrated Dataset and evaluates its representativeness to the US population and its potential use in evaluating influenza vaccine effectiveness. Representativeness to the US population (2014–2019) was evaluated by comparison with demographic information from the 2019 US census and the National Ambulatory Medical Care Survey (NAMCS). Variables included in the Integrated Dataset were evaluated against World Health Organization (WHO) defined key and non-critical variables for evaluating influenza vaccine performance. The Integrated Dataset contains a variety of information, including demographic data, patient medical history, diagnoses, immunizations, and prescriptions. Distributions of most age categories and sex were comparable with the US Census and NAMCS populations. The Integrated Dataset was less diverse by race and ethnicity. Additionally, WHO key and non-critical variables for the estimation of influenza vaccine effectiveness are available in the Integrated Dataset. In summary, the Integrated Dataset is generally representative of the US population and contains key variables for the assessment of influenza vaccine effectiveness.

Few head-to-head comparisons have been performed on the real-world effectiveness of COVID-19 booster vaccines. We evaluated the relative effectiveness (rVE) of a primary series of mRNA-1273 versus BNT162b2 and Ad26.COV2.S and a homologous mRNA booster against any medically-attended, outpatient, and hospitalized COVID-19. A dataset linking primary care electronic medical records with medical claims data was used for this retrospective cohort study of US patients ≥18 years vaccinated with a primary series between February and October 2021 (Part 1) and a homologous mRNA booster between October 2021 and January 2022 (Part 2). Adjusted hazard ratios (HR) were derived from 1:1 matching adjusted across potential covariates. rVE was (1-HR_adjusted) x 100. Additional analysis was performed across regions and age groups. Following adjustment, Part 1 rVE for mRNA-1273 versus BNT162b2 was 23% (95% CI: 22%–25%), 23% (22%–25%), and 19% (14%–24%) whilst the rVE for mRNA-1273 versus Ad26.COV2.S was 50% (48%–51%), 50% (48%–52%), and 57% (53%–61%) against any medically-attended, outpatient, and hospitalized COVID-19, respectively. The adjusted rVE in Part 2 for mRNA-1273 versus BNT162b2 was 14% (10%–18%), 13% (8%–17%), and 19% (1%–34%) against any medically-attended, outpatient, and hospitalized COVID-19, respectively. rVE against medically-attended COVID-19 was higher in adults ≥65 years (35%; 24%–47%) than those 18–64 years (13%; 9%–17%) after the booster. In this study, mRNA-1273 was more effective than BNT162b2 or Ad26.COV2.S following primary series during a Delta-dominant period, and than BNT162b2 as a booster during an Omicron-dominant period.

Background: Egg-based influenza vaccine production can lead to the accumulation of mutations that affect antigenicity. The mammalian cell-based inactivated quadrivalent influenza vaccine (IIV4c) may improve effectiveness compared with egg-based vaccines. This study estimated the relative vaccine effectiveness (rVE) of IIV4c versus egg-based inactivated quadrivalent influenza vaccine (IIV4e) in preventing influenza-related medical encounters (IRME) among children and adolescents during the 2019–2020 US influenza season. Methods: This retrospective cohort study used a dataset linking primary and specialty care electronic medical records with medical and pharmacy claims data from US residents 4 through 17 years of age vaccinated with IIV4c or IIV4e during the 2019–2020 influenza season. Odds ratios (ORs) were derived from a doubly robust inverse probability of treatment-weighted approach adjusting for age, sex, race, ethnicity, region, index week, health status and two proxy variables for healthcare accessibility and use. Adjusted rVE was estimated by (1-OR_adjusted)*100, and an exploratory analysis evaluated IRMEs separately for outpatient and inpatient settings. Results: The final study cohort included 60,480 (IIV4c) and 1,240,990 (IIV4e) vaccine recipients. Fewer IRMEs were reported in subjects vaccinated with IIV4c than IIV4e. The rVE for IIV4c versus IIV4e was 12.2% [95% confidence interval (CI): 7.5–16.6] for any IRME and 14.3% (9.3–19.0) for outpatient IRMEs. Inpatient IRMEs were much less frequent, and effectiveness estimates were around the null. Conclusions: Fewer IRMEs occurred in pediatric subjects vaccinated with IIV4c versus IIV4e. These results support the greater effectiveness of IIV4c over IIV4e in this population during the 2019–2020 US influenza season.

MF59^®-adjuvanted trivalent inactivated influenza vaccine (aIIV3) and high-dose trivalent inactivated influenza vaccine (HD-IIV3) elicit an enhanced immune response in older adults compared to standard, quadrivalent inactivated influenza vaccines (IIV4). We sought to determine the relative vaccine effectiveness (rVE) of aIIV3 versus IIV4 and HD-IIV3 in preventing influenza-related medical encounters in this retrospective cohort study involving adults ≥65 years with ≥1 health condition during the 2017–2018 and 2018–2019 influenza seasons. Data were obtained from primary and specialty care electronic medical records linked with pharmacy and medical claims. Adjusted odds ratios (OR) were derived from an inverse probability of treatment-weighted sample adjusted for age, sex, race, ethnicity, geographic region, vaccination week, and health status. rVE was determined using the formula (% rVE = 1 − OR_adjusted) × 100. Analysis sets included 1,755,420 individuals for the 2017–2018 season and 2,055,012 for the 2018–2019 season. Compared to IIV4, aIIV3 was 7.1% (95% confidence interval 3.3–10.8) and 20.4% (16.2–24.4) more effective at preventing influenza-related medical encounters in the 2017–2018 and 2018–2019 seasons, respectively. Comparable effectiveness was observed with HD-IIV3 across both seasons. Our results support improved effectiveness of aIIV3 vs IIV4 in a vulnerable population of older adults at high risk of influenza and its complications.