Limited data are available on the long-term outcomes in recent years for late HIV diagnosis (LD). All subjects with HIV enrolled in the ICONA cohort in 2009-2022 who started antiretroviral treatment (ART) within 4 months from diagnosis were included and divided into: (i) pre-ART CD4 count ≥350/mm³ without AIDS (non-LD), (ii) pre-ART CD4 count <350/mm³ without AIDS (LD asymptomatic), and (iii) with AIDS events pre-ART (LD-AIDS). The estimated probability and independent risk for mortality (all-cause and cause-specific) and treatment failure were evaluated. Of 6813 participants (2448 non-LD, 3198 LD asymptomatic, and 1167 LD-AIDS), 161 (2.4%) died after ART initiation. At survival analysis, a higher probability of all-cause mortality has been identified for LD than non-LD (P <0.001) and within the former, for LD-AIDS over LD asymptomatic (P <0.001). After adjusting for confounders, LD showed a higher risk of all-cause mortality (vs non-LD adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) 5.51, P <0.001) and, in particular, being an AIDS presenter predicted a greater risk of all-cause (aHR = 4.42, P <0.001), AIDS-related (adjusted subhazard ratio [aSHR] = 16.86, P <0.001), and non-AIDS-related mortality (aSHR = 1.74, P = 0.022) than the rest of the late presenters. Among the short-term survivors in the LD-AIDS group, the long-term mortality was mediated by the lack of immune recovery at 2 years. Finally, LD compared with non-LD and, particularly, among the former, LD-AIDS over LD asymptomatic showed a greater risk of treatment failure. In recent years, LD subjects, particularly, AIDS presenters, remained at a higher risk of poorer outcomes. Public health strategies for early HIV diagnosis are urgently needed to constrain the mortality gap.

Background: Our aim was to estimate the rates of not achieving a robust/above-average humoral response to the COVID-19 mRNA vaccine in people living with HIV (PLWH) who received ≥2 doses and to investigate the role of the CD4 and CD4/CD8 ratio in predicting the humoral response. Methods: We evaluated the humoral anti-SARS-CoV-2 response 1-month after the second and third doses of COVID-19 mRNA vaccine as a proportion of not achieving a robust/above-average response using two criteria: (i) a humoral threshold identified as a correlate of protection against SARS-CoV-2 (<90% vaccine efficacy): anti-RBD < 775 BAU/mL or anti-S < 298 BAU/mL, (ii) threshold of binding antibodies equivalent to average neutralization activity from the levels of binding (nAb titer < 1:40): anti-RBD < 870 BAU/mL or anti-S < 1591 BAU/mL. PLWH were stratified according to the CD4 count and CD4/CD8 ratio at first dose. Logistic regression was used to compare the probability of not achieving robust/above-average responses. A mixed linear model was used to estimate the mean anti-RBD titer at various time points across the exposure groups. Results: a total of 1176 PLWH were included. The proportions of participants failing to achieve a robust/above-average response were significantly higher in participants with a lower CD4 and CD4/CD8 ratio, specifically, a clearer gradient was observed for the CD4 count. The CD4 count was a better predictor of the humoral response of the primary cycle than ratio. The third dose was pivotal in achieving a robust/above-average humoral response, at least for PLWH with CD4 > 200 cells/mm³ and a ratio > 0.6. Conclusions: A robust humoral response after a booster dose has not been reached by 50% of PLWH with CD4 < 200 cells mm³. In the absence of a validated correlate of protections in the Omicron era, the CD4 count remains the most solid marker to guide vaccination campaigns in PLWH.

We aimed to study whether people living with HIV (PLWH) are at higher risk of in-hospital COVID-19 mortality compared to the general population (GenPop). This was a retrospective study in 19 Italian centers (February 2020 to November 2022) including hospitalized PLWH and GenPop with SARS-CoV-2 infection. The main outcome was in-hospital mortality. Competing risk analyses by Fine-Gray regression model were used to estimate the association between in-hospital mortality and HIV status/age. A total of 7399 patients with COVID-19 were included, 239 (3.2%) PLWH, and 7160 (96.8%) GenPop. By day 40, in-hospital death occurred in 1283/7160 (17.9%) among GenPop and 34/239 (14.2%) among PLWH. After adjusting for potential confounders, compared to GenPop <65 years, a significantly higher risk of death was observed for GenPop ≥65 (adjusted subdistribution hazard ratio [aSHR] 1.79 [95% CI 1.39-2.31]), PLWH ≥65 (aSHR 2.16 [95% CI 1.15-4.04]), PLWH <65 with CD4 ≤200 (aSHR 9.69 [95% CI 5.50-17.07]) and PLWH <65 with CD4 201-350 (aSHR 4.37 [95% CI 1.79-10.63]), whereas no evidence for a difference for PLWH 350 (aSHR 1.11 [95% CI 0.41-2.99]). In PLWH aged <65 years a CD4 ≤350 rather than HIV itself seems the driver for the observed higher risk of in-hospital mortality. We cannot however rule out that HIV infection per se is the risk factor in those aged ≥65 years.

Background: Phase 3 studies have shown long-acting (LA) cabotegravir/rilpivirine to be effective and tolerable as maintenance therapy in people with HIV (PWH). However, real-life data on their effectiveness are limited. Methods: All PWH enrolled in the Icona Cohort who started LA cabotegravir/rilpivirine with HIV-RNA < 50 copies/mL were included. Times to treatment discontinuation (TD) and to virological failure (VF50, two consecutive HIV-RNA >50 copies/mL or one >1000 copies/mL followed by ART switch) were estimated by the Kaplan–Meier method. Cox regression models, adjusted for age, sex and mode of HIV transmission and stratified by the centre, were employed. Results: Overall, 583 PWH started LA cabotegravir/rilpivirine. Six VF50 were observed, with a 1 year estimated cumulative probability of virological failure of 1.2% (95% CI, 0.5%–3.0%). Resistance-associated mutations for rilpivirine and cabotegravir were detected in 3/4 and 4/4 participants with VF50, respectively, for which the genotypic resistance test was performed. The 1 year cumulative probability of TD was 11.4% (95% CI, 8.6%–14.9%), mainly caused by toxicity/adverse events (73.2%). Multivariable analysis identified heterosexual intercourse and IV drug use as significant risk factors for TD compared with MSM. Conclusions: This analysis demonstrated the short-term effectiveness of cabotegravir/rilpivirine in a real-life setting showing minimal incidence of virological failure but a notable probability of discontinuation due to toxicity or adverse events.

Severe and prolonged mpox courses have been described during the 2022-2023 outbreak. Identifying predictors of severe evolution is crucial for improving management and therapeutic strategies. We explored the predictors of mpox severity and tested the association between mpox severity and viral load in biological fluids. We also analysed the predictors of disease duration and kinetics of inflammatory markers and described the viral presence and duration of shedding in biological fluids. This multicentre historical cohort study included adults diagnosed with laboratory-confirmed mpox diagnosis between May 2022 and September 2023 at 15 Italian centres. Patients were followed up from the day of diagnosis until clinical recovery. Biological fluids (blood, urine, saliva, and oropharyngeal and rectal swabs) were collected from each subgroup during the course of the disease and after healing. The primary outcomes were disease severity (presence of mucosal involvement, extended rash, or need for hospitalisation) and its association with the cycle threshold value (Ct-value, surrogate of viral load) in biological fluids, using standard linear and linear mixed-effect logistic regression models. Among the secondary outcomes, predictors of disease duration were assessed using a linear regression model. A total of 541 patients were enrolled, including four (0.74%) women, with a median age of 38 years (IQR 33-44). Among the 235 people living with HIV (PLWH) (43.44%), 22 (4.07%) had a CD4 count lower than 350 cells/μL. Severe mpox was reported in 215 patients (39.74%). No patient died. Multivariable analysis showed that, severe mpox was more likely among Caucasians (OR 1.82; 95% CI 1.14-2.90, p = 0.012) and patients who had an onset of fever (1.95; 1.27-2.99, p = 0.002), lymphadenopathy (2.30; 1.52-3.48, p < 0.001), sore throat (2.14; 1.27-3.59, p = 0.004), and peri-anal lesions (2.91; 1.93-4.37, p < 0.001). There was a significant difference (p = 0.003) between the median Ct-value in the upper respiratory tract for patients presenting with either mild (35.15; IQR 28.77-42.01) or severe infection (31.00; 25.00-42.01). The risk of developing severe disease decreased by approximately 5% per Ct increase (0.95; 0.91-0.98; p = 0.005). The disease lasted longer in the case of proctitis (+4.78 days; 1.95-7.61, p = 0.001), sore throat (+3.12; 0.05-6.20, p = 0.046), extended rash (+3.42; 0.55-6.28, p = 0.020), as well as in PLWH with a low CD4 count (+12.51; 6.79-18.22, p < 0.001). The identification of predictors of severe or prolonged disease and the direct association MPXV Ct-value in the upper respiratory tract and disease severity could be useful in establishing proper management and early treatment of new mpox cases. ICONA Foundation; Italian Ministry of Health "Ricerca Corrente Linea 2", INMI Lazzaro Spallanzani IRCCS.

Background: Italian oral pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) implementation faced challenges until the drug reimbursement approval in 2023. National real-life data on effectiveness are lacking. This study aimed to report incidence rates (IR) of HIV and other sexually transmitted infections (STIs), along with probabilities and predictors of poor adherence and PrEP discontinuation. Methods: Prospective national cohort study (ItaPrEP) on oral PrEP users (PrUs) in eight Italian centers (September 2017–November 2023) that could partially provide free drug supplies. IRs of HIV and STIs, and Kaplan–Meier estimated probabilities of poor adherence and discontinuation were evaluated. Mixed-effect logistic models with random intercept on the center were used to explore the association between risk factors and poor adherence and discontinuation. Results: About 1758 PrUs were included, 98% MSM; five HIV seroconversions were observed with an IR 0.187/100 person-year follow-up (PYFU; 95% CI: 0.061–0.436). IR/100 PYFU were 13.1 (95%CI:11.7–14.5) for syphilis, 23.8 (95% CI: 22–25.7) for chlamydia, and 24.2 (95% CI: 22.4–26.1) for gonorrhea. The 2-year probability of poor adherence and discontinuation was 57.9% (95% CI: 54.8–61.0) and 37.1% (95% CI: 34.3–40.1), respectively. Chemsex and switching schedule were associated with poor adherence, unlike a high educational level. Age >40 years, free drug supplies, and laboratory monitoring were associated with a lower risk of discontinuation, while chemsex was associated with a higher risk. Conclusions: In this Italian oral PrEP program, the HIV incidence was lower than that observed in pivotal clinical trials in high-risk populations and close to that of observational real-life studies. Identifying fragile groups (youngest, low educational level, and chemsex users) and addressing barriers (free drugs and monitoring) are key to targeting strategies to improve oral PrEP implementation.