Three-dimensional (3D) geological property modeling is used to quantitatively characterize various geological attributes in 3D space based on geostatistics with the help of computer visualization technology, and the results are often stored in grid data. The 3D geological property modeling includes two main components, grid model generation and property interpolation. In this review article, the existing grid generation methods are systematically investigated, and both traditional and multiple-point geostatistical algorithms involved in interpolation methods are comprehensively analyzed. It is shown that considering the numerical simulation of oil reservoirs, the orthogonal hexahedral grid remains the most suitable grid model for simulations in petroleum exploration and development. For the interpolation methods aspect, most geological phenomena are nonstationary, to simulate various types of reservoirs; the main development trends are increasing geological constraints and reducing the limitation of stationarity. Both methods have certain constraints, and the multiscale problem of multiple-point geostatistics poses a main challenge to the field. In addition, the deep-learning based method is a new trend in geological property modeling.
As an emerging unconventional energy resource, shale gas has great resource potential and developmental prospects. The effective evaluation of geological sweet spots (GSS), engineering sweet spots (ESS) and comprehensive sweet spots (CSS) is one of the main factors for a high-yield scale and economic production of shale gas. Sweet spot evaluation involves a comprehensive analysis based on multiple parameters. Conventional evaluation methods consider relatively simple or single factors. Although the main influencing factors are understood, the influence of different factors is as of yet unknown, and a comprehensive consideration may strongly affect the evaluation results. In this paper, the fuzzy mathematics method is introduced for shale gas sweet spot evaluation. With the help of fuzzy mathematics tools, such as membership function, the objective of comprehensive sweet spots evaluation based on multiple parameters is realized. Additionally, the reliability of the evaluation of sweet spots is improved. Firstly, previous research results are used for reference, and the evaluation factor system of geological and engineering sweet spots of shale gas is systematically analyzed and established. Then, the basic principle of the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method is briefly introduced, and a geological engineering integrated shale gas sweet spots evaluation method, based on the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method, is designed and implemented. Finally, the data from HB blocks in the Z shale gas field in China are adopted. According to the evaluation results, the modified method is tested. The results show that the method proposed in this paper can synthesize a number of evaluation indices, quickly and effectively evaluate the GSS, ESS and CSS in the target area, and the results have high rationality and accuracy, which can effectively assist in well-pattern deployment and fracture design.
The estimated ultimate recovery (EUR) of shale gas is an important index for evaluating the production capacity of horizontal wells. The Weiyuan shale gas field has wells with considerable EUR differentiation, which hinders the prediction of the production capacity of new wells. Accordingly, 121 wells with highly differentiated production are used for analysis. First, the main control factors of well production are identified via single-factor and multi-factor analyses, with the EUR set as the production capacity index. Subsequently, the key factors are selected to perform the multiple linear regression of EUR, accompanied by the developed method for well production prediction. The thickness and drilled length of Long 111 (Substratum 1 of Long 1 submember, Lower Silurian Longmaxi Formation) are demonstrated to have the uttermost effects on the well production, while several other factors also play important roles, including the fractured horizontal wellbore length, gas saturation, brittle mineral content, fracturing stage quantity, and proppant injection intensity. The multiple linear regression method can help accurately predict EUR, with errors of no more than 10%, in wells that have smooth production curves and are free of artificial interference, such as casing deformation, frac hit, and sudden change in production schemes. The results of this study are expected to provide certain guiding significances for shale gas development.
In recent years, big data and artificial intelligence technology have developed rapidly and are now widely used in fields of geophysics, well logging, and well test analysis in the exploration and development of oil and gas. The development of shale gas requires a large number of production wells, so big data and artificial intelligence technology have inherent advantages for evaluating the productivity of gas wells and analyzing the influencing factors for a whole development block. To this end, this paper combines the BP neural network algorithm with random probability analysis to establish a big data method for analyzing the influencing factors on the productivity of shale gas wells, using artificial intelligence and in-depth extraction of relevant information to reduce the unstable results from single-factor statistical analysis and the BP neural network. We have modeled and analyzed our model with a large amount of data. Under standard well conditions, the influences of geological and engineering factors on the productivity of a gas well can be converted to the same scale for comparison. This can more intuitively and quantitatively reflect the influences of different factors on gas well productivity. Taking 100 production wells in the Changning shale gas block as a case, random BP neural network analysis shows that maximum EUR can be obtained when a horizontal shale gas well has a fracture coefficient of 1.6, Type I reservoir of 18 m thick, optimal horizontal section of 1600 m long, and 20 fractured sections.
Low-permeability reservoirs are important to the future growth of oil and gas reserves and production in China. Predicting the effective stress, σe, in reservoirs is vitally important due to its considerable impact on reservoir development through hydraulic fracturing. This paper presents methods for predicting the σe field in ultralow-permeability reservoirs through reservoir–geomechanics coupling, which involve the simulation and coupling of the tectonic stress σ and pore pressure Pp fields based on three-dimensional (3D) geological models. First, 3D geological models were constructed based on basic data for the oilfield where the reservoir of interest is located. Then, finite element and finite difference simulations were performed to construct the σ and Pp fields, respectively, in the reservoir. Different types of initial σe were coupled based on 3D geological models. Subsequently, a dynamic σe field in the reservoir was established based on oilfield production data in conjunction with the transformation, optimization, and coupling of specific grid property parameters obtained from different numerical methods. Finally, the proposed methods were tested on real-world data acquired from well area X in an oilfield in Shaanxi Province, China. The results show that the proposed methods can be used to establish the σ and Pp fields in a reservoir based on 3D geological models combined with different numerical methods, and subsequently predict the σe value in the reservoir.
The boost of shale gas production in the last decade has reformed worldwide energy structure. The macroscale modeling of shale gas production becomes particularly important as the economic development of such resources relies on the deployment of expensive hydraulic fracturing and the reasonable planning of well schedules. A flood of literature was therefore published focused on accurately and efficiently simulating the production performance of shale gas and better accounting for the various geological features or flow mechanisms that control shale gas transport. In this regard, this paper presents a holistic review of the macroscopic modeling of gas transport in shale. The review is carried out from three important points of view, which are the modeling of the gas flow mechanisms, the representation of multiscale transport, and solution techniques for the mathematical models. Firstly, the importance of gas storage and flow mechanisms in shale is discussed, and the various theoretical models used to characterize these effects in the continuum scale are introduced. Then, based on the intricate pore structure and various pore types of shale gas reservoirs, this review summarizes the multiple-porosity models in the literature to represent multiscale gas transport, and discusses the applicability of each model. Finally, the numerical and analytical/semi-analytical approaches used to solve the macroscopic mathematical model governing shale gas production are reviewed, with a focus on the treatment of the complex fracture network formed after multistage hydraulic fracturing.