We explore the long-term demand and supply potentials of rare earth elements in alternative energy vehicles (AEVs) in the United States until 2050. Using a stock-flow model, we compare a baseline scenario with scenarios that incorporate an exemplary technological innovation: a novel aluminum–cerium–magnesium alloy. We find that the introduction of the novel alloy demonstrates that even low penetration rates can exceed domestic cerium production capacity, illustrating possible consequences of technological innovations to material supply and demand. End-of-life vehicles can, however, overtake domestic mining as a source of materials, calling for proper technologies and policies to utilize this emerging source. The long-term importing of critical materials in manufactured and semi-manufactured products shifts the location of material stocks and hence future secondary supply of high-value materials, culminating in a double benefit to the importing country. This modeling approach is adaptable to the study of varied scenarios and materials, linking technologies with supply and demand dynamics in order to understand their potential economic and environmental consequences.
Salt hydrate-based phase-change materials are considered promising for future heat storage applications in residential heating/cooling systems. Smooth phase transition from the liquid to solid phase and vice versa is essential for effective heat exchanger; however, supercooling in salt hydrates delays the onset of liquid–solid phase transition. We investigate the molecular level mechanism of supercooling in sodium sulfate decahydrate (SSD). SSD is a complex salt hydrate whose properties are governed by electrostatic forces that include pure Coulombic interactions as well as hydrogen bonds. Experimentally, we examine the importance of a nucleator in reducing supercooling temperatures. We investigated the effect of various mass concentrations of a borax nucleator on a decrease of supercooling temperatures. Molecular dynamics simulation techniques are used to obtain a basic understanding of supercooling in SSD. We observe that by introducing borax as a nucleator, there is a decrease in the supercooling temperature before nucleation. Our molecular dynamics simulations show that long-range electrostatics between sodium and sulfate ion pairs and that with polar water molecules is responsible for delayed nucleation in SSD that results in supercooling, and also, dynamics of charged molecules slows down. The lack of crystallization leads to amorphous structures in supercooled SSD.