Calibration and validation have long been a significant topic in traffic model development. In fact, when moving to dynamic traffic assignment (DTA) models, the need to dynamically update the demand and supply components creates a considerable burden on the existing calibration algorithms, often rendering them impractical. These calibration approaches are mostly restricted either due to non-linearity or increasing problem dimensionality. Simultaneous perturbation stochastic approximation (SPSA) has been proposed for the DTA model calibration, with encouraging results, for more than a decade. However, it often fails to converge reasonably with the increase in problem size and complexity. In this paper, we combine SPSA with principal components analysis (PCA) to form a new algorithm, we call, PC-SPSA. The PCA limits the search area of SPSA within the structural relationships captured from historical estimates in lower dimensions, reducing the problem size and complexity. We formulate the algorithm, demonstrate its operation, and explore its performance using an urban network of Vitoria, Spain. The practical issues that emerge from the scale of different variables and bounding their values are also analyzed through a sensitivity analysis using a non-linear synthetic function.
2 February 2022 in Transportation Research Part C: Emerging Technologies
In 2022, Ukraine is suffering an invasion which has resulted in acute impacts playing out over time and geography. This paper examines the impact of the ongoing disruption on traffic behavior using analytics as well as zonal-based network models. The methodology is a data-driven approach that utilizes obtained travel-time conditions within an evolutionary algorithm framework which infers origin–destination demand values in an automated process based on traffic assignment. Because of the automation of the implementation, numerous daily models can be approximated for multiple cities. The novelty of this paper versus the previously published core methodology includes an analysis to ensure the obtained data is appropriate, since some data sources were disabled because of the ongoing disruption. Further novelty includes a direct linkage of the analysis to the timeline of disruptions to examine the interaction in a new way. Finally, specific network metrics are identified which are particularly suited for conceptualizing the impact of conflict disruptions on traffic network conditions. The ultimate aim is to establish processes, concepts, and analysis to advance the broader activity of rapidly quantifying the traffic impacts of conflict scenarios.
20 December 2023 in Transportation Research Part C: Emerging Technologies
Different methodologies are being used to study the effects of autonomous vehicles (AVs) in mixed traffic to exhibit the interactions between autonomous and human-driven vehicles (HVs). Microscopic simulation tools are popular in such an assessment, as they offer the possibility to experiment in economical, robust, and optimistic ways. A lack of reliable real-world data (also known as natural data) to calibrate and evaluate the connected autonomous vehicle (CAV) simulation model is a major challenge. To deal with this situation, one interesting methodology could be to deal with the CAVs as conventional human-driven vehicles and predict their possible characteristics based on the simulation inputs. The conventional human-driven vehicles from the real world, in this methodology, come to act as a benchmark to offer the measure of effectiveness (MoE) for the calibration and validation. For the three most common driving behaviors, a sensitivity analysis of the behaviors of AVs and an effective assessment of CAVs in a mixed traffic environment were performed to explore the humanlike behaviors of the autonomous technology. The findings show that, up to a certain point, which is directly related to the quantity of interacting vehicles, the impact of CAVs is typically favorable. This study validates the approach and supports past studies by showing that CAVs perform better than AVs in terms of their traffic performance and safety aspects. On top of that, the sensitivity analysis shows that enhancements in the technology are required to obtain the maximum advantages.