Vahid reza Hosseini

Prof. Dr. Vahid reza Hosseini


Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

6Years (2021-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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9 May 2022 in Nonlinear Dynamics
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
PDF file
VHVahid reza Hosseini
Vahid reza Hosseini
WZWennan Zou
Wennan Zou

28 September 2021 in Entropy
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
AKArash Sioofy Khoojine
Arash Sioofy Khoojine
MSMahdi Shadabfar
Mahdi Shadabfar
VHVahid reza Hosseini
Vahid reza Hosseini
HKHadi Kordestani
Hadi Kordestani
Predicting the way diseases spread in different societies has been thus far documented as one of the most important tools for control strategies and policy-making during a pandemic. This study is to propose a network autoregressive (NAR) model to forecast the number of total currently infected cases with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in Iran until the end of December 2021 in view of the disease interactions within the neighboring countries in the region. For this purpose, the COVID-19 data were initially collected for seven regional nations, including Iran, Turkey, Iraq, Azerbaijan, Armenia, Afghanistan, and Pakistan. Thenceforth, a network was established over these countries, and the correlation of the disease data was calculated. Upon introducing the main structure of the NAR model, a mathematical platform was subsequently provided to further incorporate the correlation matrix into the prediction process. In addition, the maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) was utilized to determine the model parameters and optimize the forecasting accuracy. Thereafter, the number of infected cases up to December 2021 in Iran was predicted by importing the correlation matrix into the NAR model formed to observe the impact of the disease interactions in the neighboring countries. In addition, the autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) was used as a benchmark to compare and validate the NAR model outcomes. The results reveal that COVID-19 data in Iran have passed the fifth peak and continue on a downward trend to bring the number of total currently infected cases below 480,000 by the end of 2021. Additionally, 20%, 50%, 80% and 95% quantiles are provided along with the point estimation to model the uncertainty in the forecast.

30 March 2022 in The European Physical Journal Special Topics
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
PDF file
AKArash Sioofy Khoojine
Arash Sioofy Khoojine
MMMojtaba Mahsuli
Mojtaba Mahsuli
MSMahdi Shadabfar
Mahdi Shadabfar
VHVahid reza Hosseini
Vahid reza Hosseini
HKHadi Kordestani
Hadi Kordestani

15 September 2026 in European Journal of Mechanics - B/Fluids
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
MBMarzieh Biglari
Marzieh Biglari
VHVahid reza Hosseini
Vahid reza Hosseini