In this paper, the authors propose the SDR risk measure to consider the degree of dispersion of an extreme loss in addition to its expected value., Original Research, shortfall, risk, Risk measurement, Risk measures
1 September 2013 in Journal of Risk Model Validation
In this paper we propose an expected shortfall (ES) backtesting approach that uses the dispersion of a truncated distribution..., Original Research, Expected shortfall, Backtesting, Value-at-risk (VAR), Monte Carlo simulation
1 December 2021 in Revista Contabilidade & Finanças
The aim of this study is to analyze how economic uncertainty and monetary policy affect investor sentiment in Brazil. Investor sentiment is an important element in the finance, economics, and accounting literature and its impact on financial markets is widely documented. However, understanding the variables that affect it remains an important challenge, and this research seeks to explore this gap within the Brazilian context. The study provides initial evidence regarding the impact of economic uncertainty and monetary policy on investor sentiment in Brazil. The findings documented here provide theoretical, managerial, and social contributions, with a possible impact on the areas of finance, economics, and accounting. Monthly data were used relating to four mechanisms of transmission of economic uncertainty and of monetary policy (interest rate, exchange rate, inflation rate, economic uncertainty index) and to the consumer confidence index as a proxy for investor sentiment (covering the period from January of 2006 to March of 2020). An autoregressive distributed lag model was estimated to capture short- and long-term relationships between the variables. The results indicate that investor sentiment is affected by economic uncertainty and by the main mechanisms of transmission of monetary policy to different extents and in the different time horizons. The evidence suggests that investors, policymakers, and monetary authorities should consider sentiment as a signal, whether for altering investment portfolios or for anticipating economic trends. It also provides support for focusing on economic and monetary policy in the National Financial Education Strategy (Estratégia Nacional de Educação Financeira - ENEF) recently adopted in Brazil
1 December 2001 in Revista de Administração Contemporânea
As transformações na economia internacional vêm atingindo em grande escala o setor bancário brasileiro. Para verificar o nível de competição no setor, e para investigar o desempenho comparativo entre os bancos brasileiros, aplicou-se o método da análise por envoltória de dados. Foram utilizados dados sobre o montante de capital dos proprietários, capital de terceiros, receita total e resultado do semestre de 144 instituições bancárias do país. Os bancos foram agrupados em três categorias: grande, médio e pequeno porte. Foi utilizada a abordagem da matriz BCG para enquadrar os diversos indicadores de eficiência operacional e de rentabilidade. Os resultados sugerem que os bancos de grande porte são os de melhor desempenho e os de pequeno porte os de pior desempenho.