Recently, local governments have been using transportation card data to monitor the use of public transport and improve the service. However, local governments that are applying a single-fare scheme are experiencing difficulties in using data for accurate identification of real travel patterns or policy decision support due to missing information on alighting stops of users. This policy limits its functionality of utilizing data such as accurate identification of real travel patterns, policy decision support, etc. In order to overcome these limitations, various methods for estimating alighting stops have been developed. This study classifies trips with missing alighting stop information into trip four types and then applies appropriate alighting stop estimation methodology for each trip type in stages. The proposed method is evaluated by utilizing transportation card data of the Seoul metropolitan area and checking the accuracy for each standard of allowable error for sensitivity analysis. The analysis shows that the stage-by-stage estimation methodology based on the trip type proposed in this study can estimate users’ destinations more accurately than the methodologies of previous studies. Furthermore, based on the construction of nearly 100% valid tag data, this study differs from prior studies.

With the accelerated commercialization of autonomous vehicles, new accident types and complex risk factors have emerged beyond the scope of existing traffic safety management systems. This study aims to contribute to sustainable safety by establishing a quantitative basis for early recognition and response to high-risk situations in urban traffic environments where autonomous and conventional vehicles coexist. To this end, high-risk factors were identified through a combination of literature meta-analysis, accident history and image analysis, autonomous driving video review, and expert seminars. For analytical structuring, the six-layer scenario framework from the PEGASUS project was redefined. Using the analytic hierarchy process (AHP), 28 high-risk factors were identified. A risk prediction model framework was then developed, incorporating observational indicators derived from expert rankings. These indicators were structured as input variables for both road segments and autonomous vehicles, enabling spatial risk assessment through agent-based strategies. This space–object integration-based prediction model supports the early detection of high-risk situations, the designation of high-enforcement zones, and the development of preventive safety systems, infrastructure improvements, and policy measures. Ultimately, the findings offer a pathway toward achieving sustainable safety in mixed traffic environments during the initial deployment phase of autonomous vehicles.