Accurate flight trajectory prediction is a crucial and challenging task in air traffic control, especially for maneuver operations. Modern data-driven methods are typically formulated as a time series forecasting task and fail to retain high accuracy. Meantime, as the primary modeling method for time series forecasting, frequency-domain analysis is underutilized in the flight trajectory prediction task. In this work, an innovative wavelet transform-based framework is proposed to perform time-frequency analysis of flight patterns to support trajectory forecasting. An encoder-decoder neural architecture is developed to estimate wavelet components, focusing on the effective modeling of global flight trends and local motion details. A real-world dataset is constructed to validate the proposed approach, and the experimental results demonstrate that the proposed framework exhibits higher accuracy than other comparative baselines, obtaining improved prediction performance in terms of four measurements, especially in the climb and descent phase with maneuver control. Most importantly, the time-frequency analysis is confirmed to be effective to achieve the flight trajectory prediction task.
The booming air transportation industry inevitably burdens air traffic controllers’ workload, causing unexpected human factor-related incidents. Current air traffic control systems fail to consider spoken instructions for traffic prediction, bringing significant challenges in detecting human errors during real-time traffic operations. Here, we present an automation paradigm integrating controlling intent into the information processing loop through the spoken instruction-aware flight trajectory prediction framework. A 3-stage progressive multi-modal learning paradigm is proposed to address the modality gap between the trajectory and spoken instructions, as well as minimize the data requirements. Experiments on a real-world dataset show the proposed framework achieves flight trajectory prediction with high predictability and timeliness, obtaining over 20% relative reduction in mean deviation error. Moreover, the generalizability of the proposed framework is also confirmed by various model architectures. The proposed framework can formulate full-automated information processing in real-world air traffic applications, supporting human error detection and enhancing aviation safety.
In this work, a deep Gaussian process (DGP) based framework is proposed to improve the accuracy of predicting flight trajectory in air traffic research, which is further applied to implement a probabilistic conflict detection algorithm. The Gaussian distribution is applied to serve as the probabilistic representation for illustrating the transition patterns of the flight trajectory, based on which a stochastic process is generated to build the temporal correlations among flight positions, i.e., Gaussian process (GP). Furthermore, to deal with the flight maneuverability of performing controller’s instructions, a hierarchical neural network architecture is proposed to improve the modeling representation for nonlinear features. Thanks to the intrinsic mechanism of the GP regression, the DGP model has the ability of predicting both the deterministic nominal flight trajectory (NFT) and its confidence interval (CI), denoting by the mean and standard deviation of the prediction sequence, respectively. The CI subjects to a Gaussian distribution, which lays the data foundation of the probabilistic conflict detection. Experimental results on real data show that the proposed trajectory prediction approach achieves higher prediction accuracy compared to other baselines. Moreover, the conflict detection approach is also validated by a obtaining lower false alarm and more prewarning time.
2 June 2025 in IEEE Transactions on Neural Networks and Learning Systems
Accurate recognition of named entities from spoken instructions remains a significant challenge for automatic speech recognition (ASR) techniques in air traffic control (ATC), which limits the reliability of ASR-based applications. A promising solution to overcome this challenge is to integrate prior contextual knowledge into ASR since it contains rich named entities used in ATC communications. Although existing studies have investigated ATC-related contextual ASR techniques, there is a lack of benchmarks to evaluate the advantages of different approaches. In this article, a comprehensive comparative study is presented to explore effective contextual ASR approaches for the ATC domain. Specifically, several typical contextual ASR approaches are introduced in ATC to conduct a comprehensive comparison. Moreover, a novel contextual ASR model, denoted CATCNet, is presented to dedicatedly address the domain-specific problems in ATC, such as limited resources, fast speech, and volatile noise. Several evaluation metrics are proposed to validate the performance of comparison approaches based on the practical requirements of ATC efforts. Extensive experiments are conducted across two real-world ATC speech corpora to build the benchmark. The experimental results demonstrated that integrating context knowledge is effective in improving the recognition performance of named entities. Crucially, the proposed CATCNet outperforms other baseline models by confirming all technical improvements, achieving 80.0% and 86.54% instruction recognition accuracy (IRA) on the ATCSpeech and C-ATCSpeech corpora, respectively. It is believed that this work not only overcomes the bottleneck of ASR performance in the ATC domain, but also provides an applicable solution for ATC-related ASR applications.
2 September 2021 in IEEE Transactions on Human-Machine Systems
In this work, a deep learning-based framework is proposed to implement an autonomous pilot agent (APA), which serves as a human pseudo-pilot to assist air traffic controller (ATCO) training. A novel paradigm, including speech recognition, language understanding, pilot repetition generation (PRG), and text-to-speech (TTS), is designed to formulate the framework pipeline, which also incorporates a simulation system interface. We mainly focus on the PRG and TTS models to address the ATC specificities in this work. The neural architecture is proposed to generate the text repetition instruction by using a sequence-to-sequence text mapping. The Transformer block is improved to implement a high-efficient TTS model, in which the nonautoregressive mechanism is applied to achieve the parallel synthesis. A dedicated phoneme vocabulary is designed to cope with the multilingual issue in the ATC domain and address the out-of-vocabulary problem. With the APA framework, a virtual training mode is proposed to complete the training task without the limitation of time and location. Experimental results on a real-world dataset show that the proposed APA framework replaces the human pilot with considerable high confidence in a real-time manner during the simulation training. Most importantly, the APA framework and the virtual training system are able to cope with the dilemma of physical attendance (like COVID-19) and improve the equipment utilization capacity for the ATCO training.
24 March 2024 in Proceedings of the AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence
Flight Trajectory Prediction (FTP) is an essential task in Air Traffic Control (ATC), which can assist air traffic controllers in managing airspace more safely and efficiently. Existing approaches generally perform multi-horizon FTP tasks in an autoregressive manner, thereby suffering from error accumulation and low-efficiency problems. In this paper, a novel framework, called FlightBERT++, is proposed to i) forecast multi-horizon flight trajectories directly in a non-autoregressive way, and ii) improve the limitation of the binary encoding (BE) representation in the FlightBERT. Specifically, the FlightBERT++ is implemented by a generalized encoder-decoder architecture, in which the encoder learns the temporal-spatial patterns from historical observations and the decoder predicts the flight status for the future horizons. Compared with conventional architecture, an innovative horizon-aware contexts generator is dedicatedly designed to consider the prior horizon information, which further enables non-autoregressive multi-horizon prediction. Moreover, a differential prompted decoder is proposed to enhance the capability of the differential predictions by leveraging the stationarity of the differential sequence. The experimental results on a real-world dataset demonstrated that the FlightBERT++ outperformed the competitive baselines in both FTP performance and computational efficiency.