ThyroSeq v2 claims high positive (PPV) and negative (NPV) predictive values in a wide range of pretest risks of malignancy in indeterminate thyroid nodules (ITNs) (categories B-III and B-IV of the Bethesda system). We evaluated ThyroSeq v2 performance in a cohort of patients with ITNs seen at our Academic Cancer Center from September 2014 to April 2016, in light of the new diagnostic criteria for non-invasive follicular thyroid neoplasm with papillary-like nuclear features (NIFTP). Our study included 182 patients (76% female) with 190 ITNs consecutively tested with ThyroSeq v2. Patient treatment followed our institutional thyroid nodule clinical pathway. Histologies of nodules with follicular variant papillary thyroid carcinoma or NIFTP diagnoses were reviewed, with reviewers blinded to molecular results. ThyroSeq v2 performance was calculated in nodules with histological confirmation. We identified a mutation in 24% (n = 45) of the nodules. Mutations in RAS were the most prevalent (n = 21), but the positive predictive value of this mutation was much lower (31%) than that in prior reports. In 102 resected ITNs, ThyroSeq v2 performance was as follows: sensitivity 70% (46–88), specificity 77% (66–85), PPV 42% (25–61) and NPV 91% (82–97). The performance in B-IV nodules was significantly better than that in B-III nodules (area under the curve 0.84 vs 0.57, respectively; P = 0.03), where it was uninformative. Further studies evaluating ThyroSeq v2 performance are needed, particularly in B-III.

In accordance with National Guidelines, we currently follow a linear approach to the diagnosis of thyroid nodules, with management decision based primarily on a cytological diagnosis following fine-needle aspiration biopsy. However, 25% of these biopsies render an indeterminate cytology, leaving uncertainty regarding appropriate management. Individualizing the risk of malignancy of these nodules could improve their management significantly. We summarize the current evidence on the relevance of clinical information, radiological features, cytological features, and molecular markers tests results and describe how these can be integrated to personalize the management of thyroid nodules with indeterminate cytology. Several factors can be used to stratify the risk of malignancy in thyroid nodules with indeterminate cytology. Male gender, large tumors (>4 cm), suspicious sonographic patterns, and the presence of nuclear atypia on the cytology are all associated with an increased cancer prevalence. The added value of current molecular markers in the risk stratification process needs further study because their performance seems compromised in some clinical settings and remains to be validated in others. Risk stratification is possible in thyroid nodules with indeterminate cytology using data that are often underused by current guidelines. Future guidelines should integrate these factors and personalize the recommended diagnostic and therapeutic approaches accordingly.

Background: The 2015 American Thyroid Association (ATA) guidelines recommend using a classification based on sonographic patterns to set the size-threshold for biopsies. Each pattern is associated with a distinct estimated rate of malignancy that, we hypothesize, should stratify the risk of malignancy of cytologically indeterminate thyroid nodules. Methods: Ultrasound images of 463 indeterminate thyroid nodules (38% atypia/follicular lesions of undetermined significance; 62% follicular neoplasms) with histological follow-up consecutively evaluated between 10/2008 and 06/2015 at our academic cancer center were independently evaluated by 3 observers and classified into one of the five sonographic patterns proposed by the ATA. Nodules with sonographic patterns not defined in the classification were grouped into a Non-ATA pattern category. Differences in clinical and histological findings between the sonographic patterns were assessed. The prevalence of malignancy and odds ratio for malignancy were calculated for each sonographic pattern (Low and Intermediate patterns were collapsed for the analysis). Results: The distribution of size and cytological diagnosis was significantly different between sonographic patterns (P<0.001). The overall rate of malignancy was 27%. The rate of malignancy for the Very-low, Low/Intermediate, High, and Non-ATA patterns were 0%, 19%, 56%, and 36%, respectively, all significantly different. Compared to the Low/Intermediate suspicion patterns, the odds ratio for malignancy were 2.35 for the Non-ATA, and 5.18 for the High suspicion patterns (P<0.001). The odds ratio of the Non-ATA pattern was 0.45 over the High suspicion pattern (P=0.04). Results were similar in both cytological categories and for each observer separately. Sonographic patterns were associated with distinct histopathological profiles (P<0.001). Conclusions: ATA sonographic patterns are associated with distinct clinical features and pathological outcomes, and effectively stratify the cancer risk in cytologically indeterminate thyroid nodules. Thus, the ATA sonographic patterns should be used not only to set the size-threshold for biopsy but also to personalize management after the biopsy.

Background: Indeterminate categories of thyroid cytopathology (categories B-III and B-IV of the Bethesda system) are integrated by a heterogeneous spectrum of cytological scenarios that are generally clustered for analysis and management recommendations. It has been suggested that aspirates exhibiting nuclear atypia have a higher risk of malignancy. This study aimed to assess whether cytologically indeterminate thyroid nodules with nuclear atypia have a significantly higher cancer risk than those without nuclear atypia. Methods: On June 30, 2016, PubMed and EMBASE were searched for articles in English or Spanish using a search strategy developed by an endocrinologist and a librarian. Case reports were excluded, and no date limits were used. The references of all included studies were also screened for relevant missing studies. Studies were included if the prevalences of malignancy of cytologically indeterminate thyroid nodules with histological confirmation with and without nuclear atypia were reported. Studies were excluded if they had: (i) nodules suspicious for malignancy; (ii) nodules with non-indeterminate (B-III or B-IV) cytology on repeated biopsy, if performed; (iii) nodules not consecutively evaluated; or (iv) cohorts overlapping with another larger series. Two investigators independently assessed the eligibility and risk of bias of the studies. PRISMA and MOOSE guidelines were followed. Summary data were extracted from published reports by one investigator and independently reviewed by another. Data were pooled using a random-effects model. Heterogeneity was explored using subgroup analysis and mixed-effect model meta-regression. The odds ratio for malignancy of cytologically indeterminate thyroid nodules with nuclear atypia over cytologically indeterminate thyroid nodules without nuclear atypia was calculated. Results: Of 2571 retrieved studies, 20 were eligible. The meta-analysis was conducted on summary data of 3532 cytologically indeterminate thyroid nodules: 1162 with and 2370 without nuclear atypia. The odds ratio for malignancy in cytologically indeterminate thyroid nodules with nuclear atypia was 3.63 [confidence interval 3.06–4.35]. There was no evidence of publication bias, and heterogeneity was insignificant (I² < 0.01%, p = 0.40). Conclusions: Nuclear atypia is a significant indicator of malignancy in cytologically indeterminate thyroid nodules and needs to be standardized and implemented into clinical practice.

Background: The 2015 American Thyroid Association (ATA) thyroid nodule guidelines recommend selecting nodules for biopsy based on a sonographic pattern classification. These patterns were developed based on features of differentiated thyroid cancer. This study aimed to evaluate the performance and the inter-observer agreement of this classification system in medullary thyroid carcinoma (MTC). Methods: The medical records of all patients with MTC evaluated at the authors' institution between 1998 and 2014 were retrospectively reviewed. Only patients with presurgical thyroid ultrasound available for review were included in the study. Five independent reviewers assessed the stored ultrasound images for composition, echogenicity, margins, presence of calcifications, and extrathyroidal extension for each nodule. The presence of suspicious lymph nodes was also evaluated when presurgical lateral neck ultrasound was available for review. Each nodule was classified according to the ATA sonographic patterns. Inter-observer agreement was calculated for each sonographic feature and for the sonographic patterns. To validate the findings, a systematic review of the literature and meta-analysis on the sonographic features of MTC was conducted. Results: In this institutional cohort, the inter-observer agreement for individual sonographic features was moderate to good (κ = 0.45–0.71), and for the ATA classification it was good (κ = 0.72). Ninety-seven percent (29/30) of the MTCs were classified in the intermediate or high suspicion patterns. A total of 249 MTCs were included in the meta-analysis. Based on pooled frequencies for solid composition and hypoechogenicity, >95% of MTCs would be classified at least in the intermediate suspicion pattern, warranting the lowest-size threshold for biopsy (≥1 cm). Conclusions: The sonographic patterns proposed by the ATA perform well in MTC, and inter-observer agreement is good to very good.

Objective: Several molecular marker tests are available to refine the diagnosis of thyroid nodules. Knowing the true prevalence of malignancy (PoM) within each cytological category is considered necessary to select the most appropriate test and to interpret results accurately. We describe our institutional PoM among cytological categories and report our experience with molecular markers. Design: Single-center retrospective study. Methods: We calculated the institutional PoM for each category of the Bethesda system (Bethesda) on all thyroid nodules with cytological evaluation from October 2008 to May 2014. We estimated the predictive values for Afirma, miRInform, and ThyroSeq v2, based on published sensitivity and specificity. Finally, we assessed our own experience with miRInform. Results: The PoMs for Bethesda III and IV categories were 21 and 28%, respectively. ThyroSeq v2 achieves the highest theoretical negative and positive predictive values (NPV and PPV) in Bethesda III (98 and 75%) and Bethesda IV categories (96 and 83%). At our institution, miRInform detected a mutation in 16% of 109 indeterminate nodules tested, all in Bethesda IV specimens. Histology was available in 56 (51%) nodules. The observed sensitivity and specificity in Bethesda IV specimens were 63 and 86%, yielding an NPV and a PPV of 75 and 77%, respectively. Conclusions: For our current Bethesda III and IV PoM, the actual performance of miRInform was worse than expected. Theoretically ThyroSeq v2 should have the best performance, but it could be affected in the same way as miRInform, given the similarities between the tests. Assessing the institutional performance of each test is necessary along with PoM individualization.