Accurate rainfall forecasting in watersheds is of indispensable importance for predicting streamflow and flash floods. This paper investigates the accuracy of several forecasting technologies based on Wavelet Packet Decomposition (WPD) in monthly rainfall forecasting. First, WPD decomposes the observed monthly rainfall data into several subcomponents. Then, three data-based models, namely Back-propagation Neural Network (BPNN) model, group method of data handing (GMDH) model, and autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model, are utilized to complete the prediction of the decomposed monthly rainfall series, respectively. Finally, the ensemble prediction result of the model is formulated by summing the outputs of all submodules. Meanwhile, these six models are employed for benchmark comparison to study the prediction performance of these conjunction methods, which are BPNN, WPD-BPNN, GMDH, WPD-GMDH, ARIMA, and WPD-ARIMA models. The paper takes monthly data from Luoning and Zuoyu stations in Luoyang city of China as the case study. The performance of these conjunction methods is tested by four quantitative indexes. Results show that WPD can efficiently improve the forecasting accuracy and the proposed WPD-BPNN model can achieve better prediction results. It is concluded that the hybrid forecast model is a very efficient tool to improve the accuracy of mid- and long-term rainfall forecasting.

The joint flood control operation of reservoir groups is a complex engineering problem with a large number of constraints and interdependent decision variables. Its solution has the characteristics of strong constraint, multi-stage, nonlinearity, and high dimension. In order to solve this problem, this paper proposes a hybrid slime mold and arithmetic optimization algorithm (HSMAAOA) combining stochastic reverse learning. Since ancient times, harnessing the Yellow River has been a major event for the Chinese nation to rejuvenate the country and secure the country. Today, flood risk is still the greatest threat to the Yellow River basin. This paper chooses five reservoirs in the middle and lower reaches of the Yellow River as the research object, takes the water level of each reservoir in each period as the decision variable, and takes the peak clipping of Huayuankou control point as the objective to build an optimization model. Then, HSMAAOA is used to solve the problem, and the results are compared with those of the slime mold algorithm (SMA) and particle swarm optimization (PSO). The peak clipping rates of the three algorithms are 52.9% (HSMAAOA), 48.69% (SMA), and 47.55% (PSO), respectively. The results show that the HSMAAOA algorithm is better than other algorithms. This paper provides a new idea to solve the problem of the optimal operation of reservoir flood controls.

Reservoir flood control scheduling is a challenging optimization task, particularly due to the complexity of various constraints. This paper proposes an innovative algorithm design approach to address this challenge. Combining the basic walrus optimization algorithm with the adaptive ε-constraint method and introducing the SPM chaotic mapping for population initialization, spiral search strategy, and local enhancement search strategy based on Cauchy mutation and reverse learning significantly enhances the algorithm's optimization performance. On this basis, innovate an adaptive approach ε A New Algorithm for Constraints and Multi Strategy Optimization Improvement (ε-IWOA). To validate the performance of the ε-IWOA algorithm, 24 constrained optimization test functions are used to test its optimization capabilities and effectiveness in solving constrained optimization problems. Experimental results demonstrate that the ε-IWOA algorithm exhibits excellent optimization ability and stable performance. Taking the Taolinkou Reservoir, Daheiting Reservoir, and Panjiakou Reservoir in the middle and lower reaches of the Luanhe River Basin as a case study, this paper applies the ε-IWOA algorithm to practical reservoir scheduling problems by constructing a three-reservoir flood control scheduling system with Luanxian as the control point. A comparative analysis is conducted with the ε-WOA, ε-DE and ε-PSO (particle swarm optimization) algorithms.The experimental results indicate that ε-IWOA algorithm performs the best in optimization, with the occupied flood control capacity of the three reservoirs reaching 89.32%, 90.02%, and 80.95%, respectively. The control points in Luan County can reduce the peak by 49%.This provides a practical and effective solution method for reservoir optimization scheduling models. This study offers new ideas and solutions for flood control optimization scheduling of reservoir groups, contributing to the optimization and development of reservoir scheduling work.

The optimal control problem of reservoir group flood control is a complex, nonlinear, high-dimensional, multi-peak extremum problem with many complex constraints and interdependent decision variables. The traditional algorithm is slow and easily falls into the local optimum when solving the problem of the flood control optimization of reservoir groups. The intelligent algorithm has the characteristics of fast computing speed and strong searching ability, which can make up for the shortcomings of the traditional algorithm. In this study, the improved sparrow algorithm (ISSA) combining Cauchy mutation and reverse learning strategy is used to solve the flood control optimization problem of reservoir groups. This study takes Sanmenxia Reservoir and Xiaolangdi Reservoir on the mainstream of the Yellow River as the research object and Huayuankou as the downstream control point to establish a joint flood control optimization operation model of cascade reservoirs. The results of the improved sparrow algorithm (ISSA), particle swarm optimization (POS) and sparrow algorithm (SSA) are compared and analyzed. The results show that when the improved ISSA algorithm is used to solve the problem, the maximum flood peak flow of the garden entrance control point is 11,676.3 m³, and the peak cutting rate is 48%. The optimization effect is obviously better than the other two algorithms. This study provides a new and effective way to solve the problem of flood control optimization of reservoir groups.