Gait and physical fitness are related to cognitive function. A decrease in motor function and physical fitness can serve as an indicator of declining global cognitive function in older adults. This study aims to use machine learning (ML) to identify important features of gait and physical fitness to predict a decline in global cognitive function in older adults. A total of three hundred and six participants aged seventy-five years or older were included in the study, and their gait performance at various speeds and physical fitness were evaluated. Eight ML models were applied to data ranked by the p-value (LP) of linear regression and the importance gain (XI) of XGboost. Five optimal features were selected using elastic net on the LP data for men, and twenty optimal features were selected using support vector machine on the XI data for women. Thus, the important features for predicting a potential decline in global cognitive function in older adults were successfully identified herein. The proposed ML approach could inspire future studies on the early detection and prevention of cognitive function decline in older adults.
The elderly population in South Korea accounted for 15.5% of the total population in 2019. Thus, it is important to study the various elements governing the process of healthy aging. Therefore, this study investigated multiple prediction models to determine the health-related quality of life (HRQoL) in elderly adults based on the demographics, questionnaires, gait ability, and physical fitness. We performed eight physical fitness tests on 775 participants wearing shoe-type inertial measurement units and completing walking tasks at slower, preferred, and faster speeds. The HRQoL for physical and mental components was evaluated using a 36-item, short-form health survey. The prediction models based on multiple linear regression with feature importance were analyzed considering the best physical and mental components. We used 11 variables and 5 variables to form the best subset of features underlying the physical and mental components, respectively. We laid particular emphasis on evaluating the functional endurance, muscle strength, stress level, and falling risk. Furthermore, stress, insomnia severity, number of diseases, lower body strength, and fear of falling were taken into consideration in addition to mental-health-related variables. Thus, the study findings provide reliable and objective results to improve the understanding of HRQoL in elderly adults.
The stock index is actively used for the realization of profits using derivatives and via the hedging of assets; hence, the prediction of the index is important for market participants. As market uncertainty has increased during the COVID-19 pandemic and with the rapid development of data engineering, a situation has arisen wherein extensive amounts of information must be processed at finer time intervals. Addressing the prevalent issues of difficulty in handling multivariate high-frequency time-series data owing to multicollinearity, resource problems in computing hardware, and the gradient vanishing problem due to the layer stacking in recurrent neural network (RNN) series, a novel algorithm is developed in this study. For financial market index prediction with these highly complex data, the algorithm combines ResNet and a variable-wise attention mechanism. To verify the superior performance of the proposed model, RNN, long short-term memory, and ResNet18 models were designed and compared with and without the attention mechanism. As per the results, the proposed model demonstrated a suitable synergistic effect with the time-series data and excellent classification performance, in addition to overcoming the data structure constraints that the other models exhibit. Having successfully presented multivariate high-frequency time-series data analysis, this study enables effective investment decision making based on the market signals.
Market indices, such as the S&P 500, serve as compressed representations of complex constituent-level dynamics. This study proposes a zero-shot forecasting framework capable of predicting index-level trajectories without direct supervision from index data. By leveraging a Variational AutoEncoder (VAE), the model learns a latent mapping from constituent-level price movements and macroeconomic factors to index behavior, effectively bypassing the need for aggregated index labels during training. Using hourly OHLC data of S&P 500 constituents, combined with the U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yield and the CBOE Volatility Index, the model is trained solely on disaggregated inputs. Experimental results demonstrate that the VAE achieves superior accuracy in index-level forecasting compared to models trained directly on index targets, highlighting its effectiveness in capturing the implicit generative structure of index formation. These findings suggest that constituent-driven latent representations can provide a scalable and generalizable approach to modeling aggregate market indicators, offering a robust alternative to traditional direct supervision paradigms.
2 January 2024 in Measurement: Interdisciplinary Research and Perspectives