Athanasios Ioannis Arvanitidis

Mr. Athanasios Ioannis Arvanitidis

University of Thessaly
orcid

Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

6Years (2021-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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21 November 2021 in Energies
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AAAthanasios Ioannis Arvanitidis
Athanasios Ioannis Arvanitidis
Dimitrios BargiotasDimitrios Bargiotas
Dimitrios Bargiotas
Aspassia DaskalopuluAspassia Daskalopulu
Aspassia Daskalopulu
VLVasileios M. Laitsos
Vasileios M. Laitsos
Lefteri H. TsoukalasLefteri H. Tsoukalas
Lefteri H. Tsoukalas
The modernization and optimization of current power systems are the objectives of research and development in the energy sector, which is motivated by the ever-increasing electricity demands. The goal of such research and development is to render power electronic equipment more controllable, to ensure maximal use of current circuits, system flexibility and efficiency, as well as the relatively easy integration of renewable energy resources at all voltage levels. The current revolution in communication technologies and the Internet of Things (IoT) offers us an opportunity to supervise and regulate the power grid, in order to achieve more reliable, efficient, and cost-effective services. One of the most critical aspects of efficient power system operation is the ability to predict energy load requirements, i.e., load forecasting. Load forecasting is essential for balancing demand and supply and for determining electricity prices. Typically, load forecasting has been supported through the use of Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs), which, once trained on a set of data, can predict future loads. The accuracy of the ANNs’ prediction depends on the quality and availability of the training data. In this paper, we propose novel data pre-processing strategies, which we apply to the data used to train an ANN, and subsequently evaluate the quality of the predictions it produces, to demonstrate the benefits gained. The proposed strategies and the obtained results are illustrated using consumption data from the Greek interconnected power system.

24 May 2023 in Energies
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Journal Article
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AAAthanasios Ioannis Arvanitidis
Athanasios Ioannis Arvanitidis
Vivek AgarwalVivek Agarwal
Vivek Agarwal
Miltiadis AlamaniotisMiltiadis Alamaniotis
Miltiadis Alamaniotis
Because of the growing concerns regarding climate change and energy sustainability, a transition toward a modern energy sector that reduces environmental effects while promoting social and economic growth has gained traction in recent years. Sustainable energy solutions, which include renewable and low-carbon sources such as nuclear energy and natural gas, could minimize emissions of greenhouse gases, enhance air and water quality, and encourage energy independence. Yet, the shift to a sustainable energy industry is fraught with difficulties, including governmental and regulatory obstacles, technological and economic limits, and societal acceptability hurdles. Addressing these issues would necessitate the development of long-term, durable, and cost-effective energy systems containing nuclear energy and associated with the generation of both electricity and other by-products required by industry. Integrated energy systems (IES) are a novel way to maximize the use of various energy resources and technologies in order to deliver dependable, efficient, and sustainable energy services. IES entail the integration of various energy systems, such as electricity, heating, cooling, and transportation, in respect to energy sustainability and a system’s resilience and flexibility. Their development and implementation require the cooperation of several parties, including energy providers and policymakers. This study provides a state-of-the-art literature review of the most creative nuclear-driven hybrid energy system applications and methodologies, from which the research challenges and prospects for effective IES implementation emerge.

10 February 2022 in Energies
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Journal Article
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AAAthanasios Ioannis Arvanitidis
Athanasios Ioannis Arvanitidis
Dimitrios BargiotasDimitrios Bargiotas
Dimitrios Bargiotas
Aspassia DaskalopuluAspassia Daskalopulu
Aspassia Daskalopulu
DKDimitrios Kontogiannis
Dimitrios Kontogiannis
Ioannis PanapakidisIoannis Panapakidis
Ioannis Panapakidis
Lefteri H. TsoukalasLefteri H. Tsoukalas
Lefteri H. Tsoukalas
The stable and efficient operation of power systems requires them to be optimized, which, given the growing availability of load data, relies on load forecasting methods. Fast and highly accurate Short-Term Load Forecasting (STLF) is critical for the daily operation of power plants, and state-of-the-art approaches for it involve hybrid models that deploy regressive deep learning algorithms, such as neural networks, in conjunction with clustering techniques for the pre-processing of load data before they are fed to the neural network. This paper develops and evaluates four robust STLF models based on Multi-Layer Perceptrons (MLPs) coupled with the K-Means and Fuzzy C-Means clustering algorithms. The first set of two models cluster the data before feeding it to the MLPs, and are directly comparable to similar existing approaches, yielding, however, better forecasting accuracy. They also serve as a common reference point for the evaluation of the second set of two models, which further enhance the input to the MLP by informing it explicitly with clustering information, which is a novel feature. All four models are designed, tested and evaluated using data from the Greek power system, although their development is generic and they could, in principle, be applied to any power system. The results obtained by the four models are compared to those of other STLF methods, using objective metrics, and the accuracy obtained, as well as convergence time, is in most cases improved.

25 October 2022 in Energies
Verified
Journal Article
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AAAthanasios Ioannis Arvanitidis
Athanasios Ioannis Arvanitidis
Dimitrios BargiotasDimitrios Bargiotas
Dimitrios Bargiotas
DKDimitrios Kontogiannis
Dimitrios Kontogiannis
AFAthanasios Fevgas
Athanasios Fevgas
Miltiadis AlamaniotisMiltiadis Alamaniotis
Miltiadis Alamaniotis
In recent decades, the traditional monopolistic energy exchange market has been replaced by deregulated, competitive marketplaces in which electricity may be purchased and sold at market prices like any other commodity. As a result, the deregulation of the electricity industry has produced a demand for wholesale organized marketplaces. Price predictions, which are primarily meant to establish the market clearing price, have become a significant factor to an energy company’s decision making and strategic development. Recently, the fast development of deep learning algorithms, as well as the deployment of front-end metaheuristic optimization approaches, have resulted in the efficient development of enhanced prediction models that are used for electricity price forecasting. In this paper, the development of six highly accurate, robust and optimized data-driven forecasting models in conjunction with an optimized Variational Mode Decomposition method and the K-Means clustering algorithm for short-term electricity price forecasting is proposed. In this work, we also establish an Inverted and Discrete Particle Swarm Optimization approach that is implemented for the optimization of the Variational Mode Decomposition method. The prediction of the day-ahead electricity prices is based on historical weather and price data of the deregulated Greek electricity market. The resulting forecasting outcomes are thoroughly compared in order to address which of the two proposed divide-and-conquer preprocessing approaches results in more accuracy concerning the issue of short-term electricity price forecasting. Finally, the proposed technique that produces the smallest error in the electricity price forecasting is based on Variational Mode Decomposition, which is optimized through the proposed variation of Particle Swarm Optimization, with a mean absolute percentage error value of 6.15%.

30 November 2021 in Energies
Verified
Journal Article
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VLVasileios M. Laitsos
Vasileios M. Laitsos
Dimitrios BargiotasDimitrios Bargiotas
Dimitrios Bargiotas
Aspassia DaskalopuluAspassia Daskalopulu
Aspassia Daskalopulu
AAAthanasios Ioannis Arvanitidis
Athanasios Ioannis Arvanitidis
Lefteri H. TsoukalasLefteri H. Tsoukalas
Lefteri H. Tsoukalas
The growing demand for electricity runs counter to European-level goals, which include activities aimed at sustainable development and environmental protection. In this context, efficient consumption of electricity attracts much research interest nowadays. One environment friendly solution to meet increased demand lies in the deployment of Renewable Energy Sources (RES) in the network and in mobilizing the active participation of consumers in reducing the peak of demand, thus smoothing the overall load curve. This paper addresses the issue of efficient and economical use of electricity from the Demand Side Management (DSM) perspective and presents an implementation of a fully-parameterized and explicitly constrained incentive-based demand response program The program uses the Particle Swarm Optimization algorithm and demonstrates the potential advantages of integrating RES while supporting two-way communication between energy production and consumption and two-way power exchange between the main grid and the RES.

17 February 2022 in Energies
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
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DKDimitrios Kontogiannis
Dimitrios Kontogiannis
Dimitrios BargiotasDimitrios Bargiotas
Dimitrios Bargiotas
Aspassia DaskalopuluAspassia Daskalopulu
Aspassia Daskalopulu
AAAthanasios Ioannis Arvanitidis
Athanasios Ioannis Arvanitidis
Lefteri H. TsoukalasLefteri H. Tsoukalas
Lefteri H. Tsoukalas
The evolution of electricity markets has led to increasingly complex energy trading dynamics and the integration of renewable energy sources as well as the influence of several external market factors contributed towards price volatility. Therefore, day-ahead electricity price forecasting models, typically using some kind of neural network, play a crucial role in the optimal behavior of market agents. The most prominent models and benchmarks rely on improving the accuracy of predictions and the time for convergence by some sort of a priori processing of the dataset that is used for the training of the neural network, such as hyperparameter tuning and feature selection techniques. What has been overlooked so far is the possible benefit of a posteriori processing, which would consider the effects of parameters that could refine the predictions once they have been made. Such a parameter is the estimation of the residual training error. In this study, we investigate the effect of residual training error estimation for the day-ahead price forecasting task and propose an error compensation deep neural network model (ERC–DNN) that focuses on the minimization of prediction error, while reinforcing error stability through the integration of an autoregression module. The experiments on the Nord Pool power market indicated that this approach yields improved error metrics when compared to the baseline deep learning structure in different training scenarios, and the refined predictions for each hourly sequence shared a more stable error profile. The proposed method contributes towards the development of more flexible hybrid neural network models and the potential integration of the error estimation module in future benchmarks, given a small and interpretable set of hyperparameters.