The Poiqu River basin is an area of concentration for glaciers and glacial lakes in the central Himalayas, where 147 glacial lakes were identified, based on perennial remote sensing images, with lake area ranging from 0.0002 to 5.5 km2 – a total of 19.89 km2. Since 2004, the retreat rate of glacier has reached as high as 5.0 km2 a−1, while the growth rate of glacial lake has reached 0.24 km2 a−1. We take five typical lakes as our case study and find that the retreat of glacier area reaches 31.2 %, while the glacial lake area has expanded by 166 %. Moreover, we reconstruct the topography of the lake basin to calculate the water capacity and propose a water balance equation (WBE) to explore the lake evolution. By applying the WBE to the five lakes, we calculate the water supplies of the last few years and compare this with the results of field surveys, which are in agreement, within an error of only 1.86 % on average. The WBE also reveals that the water supplies to the lake depend strongly on the altitude. Lakes at low altitudes are supplied by glacier melting, and lakes at high altitudes are supplied by snowmelts. The WBE is not only applicable for predicting future changes in glacial lakes under climate warming conditions but is also useful for assessing water resources from rivers in the central Himalayas.
Due to the inability of remote sensing satellites to monitor avalanches in real time, this study focuses on the glaciers in the rear edge of Jialongcuo, Tibet, and uses infrasound sensors to conduct real-time monitoring of ice avalanches. The following conclusions are drawn: (1) In terms of waveform, compared to background noise, ice avalanche events have a slight left deviation and a slightly steep shape; compared to wind, rain, and floods events, ice avalanche events have less obvious kurtosis and skewness. (2) In terms of frequency distribution, the infrasound frequency generated by ice avalanche events is mainly distributed in the range of 1.5 Hz to 9.5 Hz; compared to other events, ice avalanche events differ some in frequency characteristics. (3) The model based on information entropy and marginal spectral frequency distribution characteristics of infrasound have higher accuracy in signal classification and recognition, as they can better represent the differences between infrasound signals of different events than other features. (4) Compared with the K-nearest neighbor algorithm and classification tree algorithm, the support vector machine and BP (Back Propagation) neural network algorithm are more suitable for identifying infrasound signals in the Jialongcuo ice avalanche. The research results can provide theoretical support for the application of infrasound-based ice avalanche monitoring technology.
Earthquake-induced landslide has various spatial characteristics that can be effectively described with the frequency–area curve. Nevertheless, the widely used power-law curve does not reflect well the spatial features of the distribution, and the power exponent does not show the association with the background factors. There is a lack of standards for building the relationship, and its implication on the spatial distribution of landslides has never been analyzed. In this study, we propose a new form of frequency distribution and explore the parameters in the typical watersheds along the highway from Dujiangyan to Wenchuan in the Wenchuan earthquake region. The obtained parameters are related to the landslide density and proportions of the large-scale landslides. Furthermore, a hot spot analysis of landslides in the watersheds is conducted to assess the relationship between the parameters and the spatial cluster patterns of landslides. The hot spots highlight the size and distance of landslide areas that cluster together, whereas the distribution parameters reflect the density and proportions of landslides. This research introduces a new method to analyze the distribution of landslides and their association with the spatial features, which can be applied to the landslide distribution in relation to other influential factors.
The shear failure of rock is a major cause of rock slope instability and consequent landslides. To determine the forming mechanism of infrasonic waves during the loss of stability of sandstone slopes, experiments were carried out using a shear loading device and an infrasonic monitoring device. In the experiments, infrasonic wave events were identified, and the characteristic parameters of infrasonic waves were extracted to analyze the features of the infrasonic wave response during the shear failure of sandstone. The study results show that: (1) the whole process of shear failure was associated with infrasound events. A normalized energy cumulative coefficient of over 0.6 and a normalized infrasound rate of over 0.89 are the key time nodes for alarming landslide; (2) with an increase in sample size, the shear resistance of the sample increases logarithmically, the total energy of infrasound events increases exponentially, and the average dominant frequency of infrasound events decreases linearly; and (3) with an increase in axial pressure, the shear of the rock increases almost linearly, the number of infrasound events increases linearly, and the average dominant frequency of infrasound events increases exponentially. The research results provide important guidance for the dynamic monitoring and evaluation of the stability of sandstone slopes and can provide a theoretical reference for landslide alarming of sandstone slopes using infrasonic waves.
Susceptibility assessment of landslides over a large area depends on the basic spatial unit of mapping, each unit is assumed to have unique assessment value, so the division of mapping unit is directly related to the evaluation rate, grid cell or slope unit are usually be used in many researches. Grid cell divide the study region into regular squares of predefined size, each cell is assigned a value of influence factor. Slope unit based on hydrology divides the region by ridge and valley lines, which is more related to geological environment and it is hard to identify the subbasin boundary. Both units are used in this study for the assessment of small shallow and clustered landslides in vegetated slopes in Malipo, southwest China. Google earth map on February 7, 2019 was used to interpret the landslides. ArcGIS 10.2 software was used to produce landslide inventory map and obtained 1435 landslides in the study area; most frequent landslide areas are in the range of 62m2 to 900m2. Field survey was carried out to verify uncertain factors and measure moisture soil content. Soil moisture content (SMC) map was obtained by Kriging Interpolation methods based on the field measured soil moisture content of 48 sample points. Information value (IV) model was used to generate landslide susceptibility assessment map and improved information value (IIV) model was used to determine whether the mapping unit with or without landslide. Seven factors, including slope angle, slope aspect, elevation, normalized difference vegetation Index (NDVI), Soil Moisture Content (SMC), distance to river and road were used as landslide influence factors. The Area under curve (AUC) values of the slope unit IIV, IV and grid cell were 0.814, 0.802 and 0.702 respectively for success rate. For prediction rate, the AUC values of the slope unit and grid cell were 0.803(IIV), 0.790(IV) and 0.699 respectively. Slope unit is more suitable than grid cell for assessing susceptibility of Small, Shallow and Cluster Landslide (Fig.1). Improved information value model can increase the accuracy of susceptibility assessment model for this characteristic landslide.Keywords: Landslide susceptibility assessment; Slope unit; Grid cell; Information value (a) (b) Figure 1 Landslide susceptibility maps (a)Slope unit-based and (b)Grid cell-based