This study assessed the impact of assimilating the Fengyun-4A (FY-4A) Advanced Geosynchronous Radiation Imager (AGRI) observations on the Super Typhoon “In-Fa” event based on the Weather Research and Forecasting Data Assimilation (WRFDA) system of the three-dimensional variational data assimilation (3DVAR) method. It was found that the two water vapor channels 9–10 from the full-disk AGRI datasets yield relatively stable results in terms of the track forecast of In-Fa. A new cloud-detection method using a Particle Filter (PF) was firstly employed to remove the cloud-affected observations by identifying the channel’s weighting function. Compared to the other cloud-detection schemes based on the AGRI “Cloud_Binary_Mask” (CLM) products, the PF method is conducive to reducing the track error of typhoon prediction after improving the utilization of observations under clear-sky conditions. Furthermore, the proposed cycling assimilation scheme has a potential positive effect on the intensity forecast of In-Fa. It seems that assimilating the FY-4A AGRI radiance data improves the predictability of Typhoon In-Fa by adjusting the atmospheric environment.
HIRAS-II is the hyperspectral detector carried on FengYun-3E which is the world’s first meteorological satellite in dawn–dusk orbit. It fills the observation gaps during the dawn and dusk periods of polar orbit meteorological satellites, enabling a 100% global data coverage and assimilation of polar orbit satellite data within each 6 h window for numerical weather forecasting models. With 3053 vertical detection channels, it provides high-resolution vertical temperature and humidity information, thus playing an important role in improving the forecast skills of the global medium-range weather prediction models. This study assimilated data from 56 CO2 channels of FY-3E HIRAS into the CMA-GFS 4DVAR system. Two sets of experiments, FY3EHIRAS and CTRL, were designed, conducting a one-month cycle assimilation test to evaluate the impact of assimilating FY-3E HIRAS data on CMA-GFS analysis and forecasting. Using the ECMWF reanalysis data ERA5 as a reference, the study demonstrated that after assimilating data from FY-3E HIRAS’s 56 CO2 channels, there was a certain extent of improvement in the temperature field at almost all model levels. The RMSE notably reduced in the southern hemisphere’s temperature analysis field near the surface and at 500 hPa by 3.5% and 2%, respectively. The most significant improvement in the entire temperature analysis field was observed in the tropical region, followed by the southern and then the northern hemisphere. Additionally, there was a reduction in RMSE for the height and wind fields, showing considerable improvement compared to the CTRL experiment. Overall, assimilating the FY-3E HIRAS data led to positive improvements in the forecasting skills for temperature, wind fields, and height fields in both the southern and northern hemispheres. The forecasting effectiveness was slightly lower in the tropical region but displayed an overall neutral-to-positive effect.
Atmospheric motion vectors (AMVs) derived from images of the geostationary satellite, Fengyun-4A (FY-4A), can provide high-spatiotemporal-resolution wind observations in the atmospheric middle and upper levels. To explore the potential benefits of these data for the numerical forecasting of severe weather events, the characteristics of FY-4A AMVs in different channels were analyzed and three groups of assimilation experiments were conducted in this study. The impacts of FY-4A AMVs on the forecasts of the rainstorm that occurred in Henan province in China on 20 July 2021, were investigated based on the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model. The results show that FY-4A AMVs with a higher quality indicator (QI) exhibited a lower error characteristic at the cost of a reduced sample size. The assimilation of FY-4A AMVs reduced the error of the upper-level wind fields in 24 h forecasts. A positive impact could also be obtained for 10 m wind in 24 h forecasts, with an improvement of up to 9.74% for the mean bias and 3.0% for the root-mean-square error due to the inclusion of FY-4A AMVs with a QI > 70. Assimilating the AMVs with a QI > 80, there was an overall positive impact on the CSI score skills of 6 h accumulated precipitation above 1.0 mm in the 24 h forecast. A significant improvement could be found in the forecasting of heavy rainfall above 25.0 mm after 6 h of the forecast. The spatial distribution of the 24 h accumulated heavy rainfall zone was closer to the observations with the assimilation of the FY-4A AMVs. The adjustment of the initial wind fields resulting from the FY-4A AMVs brought a clear benefit to the quantitative precipitation forecasting skills in the event of the Henan 7.20 rainstorm; however, the AMV data assimilation still had difficulty in capturing the hourly maximum rainfall and intensity well.
Cloud contamination is a critical source of errors in the data assimilation of hyperspectral infrared radiance (IR). Therefore, it is necessary to filter out cloudy observations. In this study, we review and summarize the principles and research progress of cloud detection methods for the hyperspectral IR in the past two decades. Based on the impact of IR data utilization on cloud detection results, cloud detection methods are categorized into five types, namely clear field-of-view (FOV) detection, clear channel detection, three-dimensional cloud detection, cloud-clearing and deep learning methods. Clear FOV methods and clear channel methods aim to identify the purely clear FOVs and spectral channels that are not affected by clouds, respectively. Cloud-clearing methods are used to reconstruct clear-column radiance for cloudy observations. Deep learning cloud detection methods can quickly learn the mapping relationship between infrared hyperspectral radiation characteristics and FOV cloud distribution from a large amount of infrared radiative information with known FOV cloud labels. In this paper, we discuss and provide an outlook on the key issues in current hyperspectral IR cloud detection. Specifically, we analyze and summarize the factors affecting cloud detection, such as surface background information, vertical cloud distribution, hyperspectral IR channel selection, improvements in cloud detection algorithms and model applicability. The results indicate the use of deep learning methods offer advantages in detection accuracy and algorithm efficiency of hyperspectral IR cloud detection.
The ever-increasing capacity of numerical weather prediction (NWP) models requires accurate flow information at higher spatial and temporal resolutions. The atmospheric motion vectors (AMVs) extracted from the Advanced Geostationary Radiation Imager (AGRI) mounted on the Fengyun-4A (FY-4A) satellite can provide information about atmospheric flow fields on small scales. This study focused on the assimilation of FY-4A AMVs and its impact on forecasts in the regional NWP system of the China Meteorological Administration—Beijing (CAM-BJ). The statistical characterization of FY-4A AMVs was firstly analyzed, and an optimal observation error in each vertical level was obtained. Three groups of retrospective runs over a one-month period were conducted, and the impact of assimilating the AMVs with different strategies on the forecasts of the CMA-BJ system were compared and evaluated. The results suggested that the optimal observation errors reduced the standard deviation of the background departures for U and V wind, leading to an improvement in the standard deviation in the corresponding analysis departures of about 8.3% for U wind and 7.3% for V wind. Assimilating FY-4A AMV data with a quality indicator (QI) above 80 and the optimal observation errors reduced the error of upper wind forecast in the CMA-BJ system. A benefit was also obtained in the error of surface wind forecast after 6 h of the forecasts, although it was not significant. For rainfall forecast with different thresholds, the score skills increased slightly after 6 h of the forecasts. There was an overall improvement for the overprediction of 24 h accumulated precipitation forecast including the AMVs, even when conventional observations were relatively rich. The application of FY-4A AMVs with a QI > 80 and adjustment to observation errors has a positive impact on the upper wind forecast in the CMA-BJ system, improving the score skill of rainfall forecasting.
Accurate precipitation detection is one of the most important factors in satellite data assimilation, due to the large uncertainties associated with precipitation properties in radiative transfer models and numerical weather prediction (NWP) models. In this paper, a method to achieve remote sensing of precipitation and classify its intensity over land using a co-located ground-based radar network is described. This method is intended to characterize the O−B biases for the microwave humidity sounder -2 (MWHS-2) under four categories of precipitation: precipitation-free (0–5 dBZ), light precipitation (5–20 dBZ), moderate precipitation (20–35 dBZ), and intense precipitation (>35 dBZ). Additionally, O represents the observed brightness temperature (TB) of the satellite and B is the simulated TB from the model background field using the radiative transfer model. Thresholds for the brightness temperature differences between channels, as well as the order relation between the differences, exhibited a good estimation of precipitation. It is demonstrated that differences between observations and simulations were predominantly due to the cases in which radar reflectivity was above 15 dBZ. For most channels, the biases and standard deviations of O−B increased with precipitation intensity. Specifically, it is noted that for channel 11 (183.31 ± 1 GHz), the standard deviations of O−B under moderate and intense precipitation were even smaller than those under light precipitation and precipitation-free conditions. Likewise, abnormal results can also be seen for channel 4 (118.75 ± 0.3 GHz).