Alan Tepley

Dr. Alan Tepley


Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

15Years (2012-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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18 April 2020 in Journal of Ecology
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Journal Article
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KMKendra K. McLauchlan
Kendra K. McLauchlan
PHPhilip E. Higuera
Philip E. Higuera
JMJessica Miesel
Jessica Miesel
BRBrendan Rogers
Brendan Rogers
JSJennifer Schweitzer
Jennifer Schweitzer
AWAdam C. Watts
Adam C. Watts
Fire is a powerful ecological and evolutionary force that regulates organismal traits, population sizes, species interactions, community composition, carbon and nutrient cycling and ecosystem function. It also presents a rapidly growing societal challenge, due to both increasingly destructive wildfires and fire exclusion in fire‐dependent ecosystems. As an ecological process, fire integrates complex feedbacks among biological, social and geophysical processes, requiring coordination across several fields and scales of study. Here, we describe the diversity of ways in which fire operates as a fundamental ecological and evolutionary process on Earth. We explore research priorities in six categories of fire ecology: (a) characteristics of fire regimes, (b) changing fire regimes, (c) fire effects on above‐ground ecology, (d) fire effects on below‐ground ecology, (e) fire behaviour and (f) fire ecology modelling. We identify three emergent themes: the need to study fire across temporal scales, to assess the mechanisms underlying a variety of ecological feedbacks involving fire and to improve representation of fire in a range of modelling contexts. Synthesis: As fire regimes and our relationships with fire continue to change, prioritizing these research areas will facilitate understanding of the ecological causes and consequences of future fires and rethinking fire management alternatives.

27 April 2017 in Global Change Biology
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Journal Article
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ATAlan Tepley
Alan Tepley
JTJonathan R. Thompson
Jonathan R. Thompson
HEHoward E. Epstein
Howard E. Epstein
KAKristina J. Anderson‐Teixeira
Kristina J. Anderson‐Teixeira

6 March 2023 in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
KDKimberley T. Davis
Kimberley T. Davis
Marcos RoblesMarcos Robles
Marcos Robles
KKKerry B. Kemp
Kerry B. Kemp
PHPhilip E. Higuera
Philip E. Higuera
TCTeresa Chapman
Teresa Chapman
JCJohn L. Campbell
John L. Campbell
Increasing fire severity and warmer, drier postfire conditions are making forests in the western United States (West) vulnerable to ecological transformation. Yet, the relative importance of and interactions between these drivers of forest change remain unresolved, particularly over upcoming decades. Here, we assess how the interactive impacts of changing climate and wildfire activity influenced conifer regeneration after 334 wildfires, using a dataset of postfire conifer regeneration from 10,230 field plots. Our findings highlight declining regeneration capacity across the West over the past four decades for the eight dominant conifer species studied. Postfire regeneration is sensitive to high-severity fire, which limits seed availability, and postfire climate, which influences seedling establishment. In the near-term, projected differences in recruitment probability between low- and high-severity fire scenarios were larger than projected climate change impacts for most species, suggesting that reductions in fire severity, and resultant impacts on seed availability, could partially offset expected climate-driven declines in postfire regeneration. Across 40 to 42% of the study area, we project postfire conifer regeneration to be likely following low-severity but not high-severity fire under future climate scenarios (2031 to 2050). However, increasingly warm, dry climate conditions are projected to eventually outweigh the influence of fire severity and seed availability. The percent of the study area considered unlikely to experience conifer regeneration, regardless of fire severity, increased from 5% in 1981 to 2000 to 26 to 31% by mid-century, highlighting a limited time window over which management actions that reduce fire severity may effectively support postfire conifer regeneration.

26 March 2018 in Journal of Ecology
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Journal Article
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ATAlan Tepley
Alan Tepley
ETEnrique Thomann
Enrique Thomann
TVThomas T. Veblen
Thomas T. Veblen
GPGeorge L. W. Perry
George L. W. Perry
AHAndres Holz
Andres Holz
KAKristina J. Anderson‐Teixeira
Kristina J. Anderson‐Teixeira

29 January 2013 in Global Ecology and Biogeography
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
DMDavid B McWethy
David B McWethy
PHP. E. Higuera
P. E. Higuera
CWC. Whitlock
C. Whitlock
TVT. T. Veblen
T. T. Veblen
DBDavid M.J.S. Bowman
David M.J.S. Bowman
ATAlan Tepley
Alan Tepley
Aim: The increased incidence of large fires around much of the world in recent decades raises questions about human and non‐human drivers of fire and the likelihood of increased fire activity in the future. The purpose of this paper is to outline a conceptual framework for examining where human‐set fires and feedbacks are likely to be most pronounced in temperate forests world‐wide and to establish and test a methodology for evaluating this framework using palaeoecological records.Location: Tasmania, north‐western USA, southern South America and New Zealand.Methods: We outline a conceptual framework for predicting the sensitivity of ecosystems to human impacts on fire regimes and then use a circum‐Pacific comparison of existing historical reconstructions of fire, climate, human settlement and vegetation to evaluate this approach.Results: Previous research investigating important controls on fire activity shows that the sensitivity of temperate ecosystems to human‐set fires is modulated by the frequency of natural fire occurrence, fuel moisture and fuel type and availability. Palaeoecological data from four temperate regions suggest that the effects of anthropogenic burning are greatest where fire is naturally rare, vegetation is poorly adapted to fire and fuel biomass is abundant and contiguous. Alternatively, where fire activity is naturally high and vegetation is well adapted to fire, evidence of human influence on fire and vegetation is less obvious.Main conclusions: Palaeofire records suggest that the most dynamic and persistent ecosystem transitions occur where human activities increase landscape flammability through fire–vegetation feedbacks. Rapid forest transitions in biomass‐rich ecosystems such as New Zealand and areas of Tasmania and southern South America illustrate how landscapes experiencing few fires can shift past tipping points to become fire‐prone landscapes with new alternative stable state communities. Comparisons of palaeoecological data from different regions with similar biophysical gradients but different human settlement histories can provide new opportunities for understanding ecosystem vulnerability to fire–climate–human interactions.

15 October 2021 in Global Change Biology
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
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KAKristina J. Anderson‐Teixeira
Kristina J. Anderson‐Teixeira
VHValentine Herrmann
Valentine Herrmann
CRChristine Rollinson
Christine Rollinson
BGBianca Gonzalez
Bianca Gonzalez
EGErika B. Gonzalez‐Akre
Erika B. Gonzalez‐Akre
PZPieter A. Zuidema
Pieter A. Zuidema
Tree rings provide an invaluable long‐term record for understanding how climate and other drivers shape tree growth and forest productivity. However, conventional tree‐ring analysis methods were not designed to simultaneously test effects of climate, tree size, and other drivers on individual growth. This has limited the potential to test ecologically relevant hypotheses on tree growth sensitivity to environmental drivers and their interactions with tree size. Here, we develop and apply a new method to simultaneously model nonlinear effects of primary climate drivers, reconstructed tree diameter at breast height (DBH), and calendar year in generalized least squares models that account for the temporal autocorrelation inherent to each individual tree's growth. We analyze data from 3811 trees representing 40 species at 10 globally distributed sites, showing that precipitation, temperature, DBH, and calendar year have additively, and often interactively, influenced annual growth over the past 120 years. Growth responses were predominantly positive to precipitation (usually over ≥3‐month seasonal windows) and negative to temperature (usually maximum temperature, over ≤3‐month seasonal windows), with concave‐down responses in 63% of relationships. Climate sensitivity commonly varied with DBH (45% of cases tested), with larger trees usually more sensitive. Trends in ring width at small DBH were linked to the light environment under which trees established, but basal area or biomass increments consistently reached maxima at intermediate DBH. Accounting for climate and DBH, growth rate declined over time for 92% of species in secondary or disturbed stands, whereas growth trends were mixed in older forests. These trends were largely attributable to stand dynamics as cohorts and stands age, which remain challenging to disentangle from global change drivers. By providing a parsimonious approach for characterizing multiple interacting drivers of tree growth, our method reveals a more complete picture of the factors influencing growth than has previously been possible.