Tropical cyclones are among the most powerful and destructive meteorological systems on Earth. In this paper, we propose a novel deep learning model for tropical cyclone track prediction method. Specifically, the track task is regarded as a time series predicting challenge, and then a deep learning framework by a bidirectional gate recurrent unit network (BiGRU) with attention mechanism is developed for track prediction. This proposed model can excavate the effective information of the historical track in a deeper and more accurate way. Data experiments are conducted on tropical cyclone best-track data provided by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) from 1988 to 2017 in the northwestern Pacific Ocean. Results show that our model performs well for tracks of 6, 12, 24, 48, and 72 h in the future. The prediction results show that our proposed combined model is superior to state-of-the-art deep learning models, including a recurrent neural network (RNN), long short-term memory neural network (LSTM), gate recurrent unit network (GRU), and BiGRU without the use of attention mechanism. In comparison with the methods used by the China Meteorological Administration, Japan Meteorological Agency, and the JTWC, our method has obvious advantages in the mid- to long-term track forecasting, especially in the next 72 h.

Accurate and reliable wave significant wave height(SWH) prediction is an important task for marine and engineering applications. This study aims to develop a new deep learning algorithm to accurately predict the SWH of deep and distant ocean. In this study, we combine two methods, Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition (EEMD) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), to construct an EEMD-LSTM model, and explore the optimal parameters of the model through experiments. A total of 5328 hours of SWH data from November 30, 2020, to July 9, 2021, are used to train and test the model to predict the SWH for the future 1h, 3h, 6h, 12h, and 18h. The results show that the EEMD-LSTM model has the best results compared with other comparative models for short-term and medium- and long-term predictions. The RMSEs are 0.0204, 0.0279, 0.0452, 0.0941, and 0.1949 for the SWH prediction in the future 1, 3, 6, 12, and 18 h. It can be used as a rapid SWH prediction system to ensure navigation safety to a certain extent, which has great practical significance and application value.

Accurate detection of tropical cyclones (TCs) is important to prevent and mitigate natural disasters associated with TCs. Deep transfer learning methods have advantages in detection tasks, because they can further improve the stability and accuracy of the detection model. Therefore, on the basis of deep transfer learning, we propose a new detection framework of tropical cyclones (NDFTC) from meteorological satellite images by combining the deep convolutional generative adversarial networks (DCGAN) and You Only Look Once (YOLO) v3 model. The algorithm process of NDFTC consists of three major steps: data augmentation, a pre-training phase, and transfer learning. First, to improve the utilization of finite data, DCGAN is used as the data augmentation method to generate images simulated to TCs. Second, to extract the salient characteristics of TCs, the generated images obtained from DCGAN are inputted into the detection model YOLOv3 in the pre-training phase. Furthermore, based on the network-based deep transfer learning method, we train the detection model with real images of TCs and its initial weights are transferred from the YOLOv3 trained with generated images. Training with real images helps to extract universal characteristics of TCs and using transferred weights as initial weights can improve the stability and accuracy of the model. The experimental results show that the NDFTC has a better performance, with an accuracy (ACC) of 97.78% and average precision (AP) of 81.39%, in comparison to the YOLOv3, with an ACC of 93.96% and AP of 80.64%.

Ocean observation is essential for studying ocean dynamics, climate change, and carbon cycles. Due to the difficulty and high cost of in situ observations, existing ocean observations are inadequate, and satellite observations are mostly surface observations. Previous work has not adequately considered the spatio-temporal correlation within the ocean itself. This paper proposes a new method—convolutional long short-term memory network (ConvLSTM)—for the inversion of the ocean subsurface temperature and salinity fields with the sea surface satellite observations (sea surface temperature, sea surface salinity, sea surface height, and sea surface wind) and subsurface Argo reanalyze data. Given the time dependence and spatial correlation of the ocean dynamic parameters, the ConvLSTM model can improve inversion models’ robustness and generalizability by considering ocean variability’s significant spatial and temporal correlation characteristics. Taking the 2018 results as an example, our average inversion results in an overall normalized root mean square error (NRMSE) of 0.0568 °C/0.0027 PSS and a correlation coefficient (R) of 0.9819/0.9997 for subsurface temperature (ST)/subsurface salinity (SS). The results show that SSTA, SSSA SSHA, and SSWA together are valuable parameters for obtaining accurate ST/SS estimates, and the use of multiple channels in shallow seas is effective. This study demonstrates that ConvLSTM is superior in modeling the subsurface temperature and salinity fields, fully taking global ocean data’s spatial and temporal correlation into account, and outperforms the classic random forest and LSTM approaches in predicting subsurface temperature and salinity fields.

To address the systematic bias in the Global Forecast System (GFS) wind field forecasts, we utilize deep learning techniques. The developed MU - Diffusion framework, based on a diffusion model and MultiUnet (a multitasking Unet model), establishes a nonlinear relationship between GFS and the fifth-generation EC atmospheric reanalysis (ERA5) data. Focusing on the South China Sea region, this method corrects both wind speed and direction simultaneously. Using 2022 GFS data, we achieved average enhancements of 42% in wind speed and 38.3% in wind direction compared to the initial GFS data. Tests in typhoon conditions also confirm the excellent performance of this architecture.