The prediction of ship location has become an increasingly popular research hotspot in the field of maritime transportation engineering, which benefits maritime safety supervision and security. Existing methods of ship location prediction based on motion characteristics have a large uncertainty and cannot guarantee trajectory prediction accuracy of the target ship. An improved method of location prediction using k-nearest neighbor (KNN) is proposed in this paper. An expanded circle area of the latest point of the target ship is first generated to find the reference points with similar movement characteristics in the constraints of distance and time intervals. Then, the top k-nearest neighbors are determined based on the degree of similarity. Relationships between the reference point of each neighbor and the latest points of the target ship are calculated. The predicted location of the target ship can then be determined by a weighted calculation of the locations of all neighbors at the predicted time and their relationships with the target ship. Experiments of ship location prediction in 10 min, 20 min, and 30 min were conducted. The correlation coefficient of the location prediction error for the three experiments was 0.992, 0.99, and 0.9875, respectively. The results show that ship location prediction with reference to multiple nearest neighbors with similar movements can provide better accuracy.
This study explores the control framework for the trajectory tracking problem concerning unmanned surface vessels (USVs) in the presence of time-varying communication delays. To address the aforementioned problem, a novel networked predictive sliding mode control architecture is proposed by integrating a discrete sliding mode control technique and predictive control scheme. By leveraging a first-order forward Euler discretization approach, a discrete-time model of USVs was initially formulated. Then, a virtual velocity controller was developed to convert the position tracking into expected velocity tracking, which was achieved by utilizing a sliding mode control. Subsequently, a networked predictive control technique was performed to compensate for the time-varying delays. Finally, theoretical analysis and extensive comparative simulation tests demonstrated that the proposed control scheme guaranteed complete compensation for time-varying delays while ensuring the stability of the closed-loop system.
This paper investigates the trajectory tracking control problem of unmanned surface vessel (USV) with time-varying communication delays by taking advantage of the discrete-time sliding mode control approach and networked predictive control strategy. To address the aforementioned problem, a novel networked predictive control scheme based on a discrete-time sliding mode is proposed. Forward Euler discretization technology is applied to construct the discrete-time model of the USV. Then, a virtual velocity controller is developed to convert the trajectory tracking into virtual velocity tracking which can be achieved by utilizing a sliding mode control. Subsequently, a networked predictive control technique is performed to make the compensation for time-varying delays. Finally, theoretical analysis and extensive comparative simulation tests demonstrate that the proposed control scheme guarantees complete compensation for time-varying delays while ensuring the stability of the closed-loop system.
Appointment-based lock scheduling can mitigate congestion at inland ship locks, but the inherent uncertainty in vessel arrivals frequently causes severe schedule degradation, disrupting the original lockage plans. To address this challenge, we develop an optimization framework that quantifies arrival-time uncertainty using a deep ensemble to generate generates reliable prediction intervals, and embeds a rescheduling mechanism for missed appointments within a multi-objective model. The model is solved with a hybrid heuristic that combines Differential Evolution, Variable Neighborhood Search, and Non-dominated Sorting Genetic Algorithm II (DE–VNS–NSGA-II). Compared to conventional evolutionary techniques, hybrid Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) approaches, and recent advanced algorithms (GSAA-RL and ADEA-KC), the proposed algorithm effectively overcomes premature convergence in highly constrained discrete scheduling spaces by leveraging DE for robust global exploration and VNS for deep local refinement. In simulations with 143 vessels, the approach reduced average waiting time by 18.51% (28.63 h to 23.33 h), lowered the schedule adjustment rate by 9.02% (0.331 to 0.301), and decreased lock-utilization loss by 5.06% (0.413 to 0.392) relative to a standard baseline. The results demonstrate more stable schedules and more efficient use of lock capacity under uncertainty, providing a data-driven decision-support tool for lock operators to dynamically mitigate disruptions and reallocate passage quotas at inland navigation hubs.