Eduardo Augusto Gonçalves Barbosa

Prof. Eduardo Augusto Gonçalves Barbosa

Centro Universitário de Sete Lagoas
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orcid

Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

5Years (2022-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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22 February 2022 in Vaccines
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
Alcides Volpato Carneiro Castro e SilvaAlcides Volpato Carneiro Castro e Silva
Alcides Volpato Carneiro Castro e Silva
ABAmerico Bernardes
Americo Bernardes
Eduardo Augusto Gonçalves BarbosaEduardo Augusto Gonçalves Barbosa
Eduardo Augusto Gonçalves Barbosa
Igor Aparecido Santana das ChagasIgor Aparecido Santana das Chagas
Igor Aparecido Santana das Chagas
Wesley DáttiloWesley Dáttilo
Wesley Dáttilo
SRSérvio Pontes Ribeiro
Sérvio Pontes Ribeiro
One hundred years after the flu pandemic of 1918, the world faces an outbreak of a new severe acute respiratory syndrome, caused by a novel coronavirus. With a high transmissibility, the pandemic has spread worldwide, creating a scenario of devastation in many countries. By the middle of 2021, about 3% of the world population had been infected and more than 4 million people had died. Different from the H1N1 pandemic, which had a deadly wave and ceased, the new disease is maintained by successive waves, mainly produced by new virus variants and the small number of vaccinated people. In the present work, we create a version of the SIR model using the spatial localization of persons, their movements, and considering social isolation probabilities. We discuss the effects of virus variants, and the role of vaccination rate in the pandemic dynamics. We show that, unless a global vaccination is implemented, we will have continuous waves of infections.
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