Technology finance, which has attracted worldwide attention for the successful business development of small-and-medium enterprises (SMEs) or start-ups, has advanced an innovation or stagnation way-out resolution strategy for companies in line with the low-growth economic trends. Although the development of new technologies and the establishment of active R&D and commercialization strategies are essential factors in a company’s management sustainability, the activation of the technology market in practice is still in progress for its golden age. In this study, to promote a technology transfer-based company’s growth and to run technology-based various financial support activities, we develop and propose a new intelligent, deep learning-based technology valuation system that enables technology holders to estimate the economic values of their innovative technologies and further to establish a firm’s commercialization strategy. For the last years, the KIBO Patent Appraisal System (KPAS-II) herein proposed has been advanced by KIBO as a web-based, artificial intelligence (AI) and evaluation data applications valuation system that automatically calculates and estimates a technology’s feasible economic value by utilizing both the intrinsic and extrinsic index information of a patent and the commercialization entity’s business capabilities, and by applying to the discounted cash flow (DCF) method in valuation theory, and finally integrating with deep learning results based on the in-advance previously established patent DB and the financial DB. The KPAS-II proposed in this study can be said to have dramatically overcome the long-term preparation period and high levels of R&D and commercialization costs in terms of the limitations that the existing technology valuation method possesses by enhancing the reliability of approximate economic values from the deep learning results based on financial data and completed valuation data. In addition, it is expected that technology marketing coordinators, researchers, and non-specialty business agents, not limited to valuation experts, can easily estimate the economic values of their patents or technologies, and they can be actively utilized in a technology-based company’s decision-making and technologically dependent financial activities.

Due to recent advancements in industrialization, climate change and overpopulation, air pollution has become an issue of global concern and air quality is being highlighted as a social issue. Public interest and concern over respiratory health are increasing in terms of a high reliability of a healthy life or the social sustainability of human beings. Air pollution can have various adverse or deleterious effects on human health. Respiratory diseases such as asthma, the subject of this study, are especially regarded as ‘directly affected’ by air pollution. Since such pollution is derived from the combined effects of atmospheric pollutants and meteorological environmental factors, and it is not easy to estimate its influence on feasible respiratory diseases in various atmospheric environments. Previous studies have used clinical and cohort data based on relatively a small number of samples to determine how atmospheric pollutants affect diseases such as asthma. This has significant limitations in that each sample of the collections is likely to produce inconsistent results and it is difficult to attempt the experiments and studies other than by those in the medical profession. This study mainly focuses on predicting the actual asthmatic occurrence while utilizing and analyzing the data on both the atmospheric and meteorological environment officially released by the government. We used one of the advanced analytic models, often referred to as the vector autoregressive model (VAR), which traditionally has an advantage in multivariate time-series analysis to verify that each variable has a significant causal effect on the asthmatic occurrence. Next, the VAR model was applied to a deep learning algorithm to find a prediction model optimized for the prediction of asthmatic occurrence. The average error rate of the hybrid deep neural network (DNN) model was numerically verified to be about 8.17%, indicating better performance than other time-series algorithms. The proposed model can help streamline the national health and medical insurance system and health budget management in South Korea much more effectively. It can also provide efficiency in the deployment and management of the supply and demand of medical personnel in hospitals. In addition, it can contribute to the promotion of national health, enabling advance alerts of the risk of outbreaks by the atmospheric environment for chronic asthma patients. Furthermore, the theoretical methodologies, experimental results and implications of this study will be able to contribute to our current issues of global change and development in that the meteorological and environmental data-driven, deep-learning prediction model proposed hereby would put forward a macroscopic directionality which leads to sustainable public health and sustainability science.

Following the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic, the continued emergence of major variant viruses has caused enormous damage worldwide by generating social and economic ripple effects, and the importance of PHSMs (Public Health and Social Measures) is being highlighted to cope with this severe situation. Accordingly, there has also been an increase in research related to a decision support system based on simulation approaches used as a basis for PHSMs. However, previous studies showed limitations impeding utilization as a decision support system for policy establishment and implementation, such as the failure to reflect changes in the effectiveness of PHSMs and the restriction to short-term forecasts. Therefore, this study proposes an LSTM-Autoencoder-based decision support system for establishing and implementing PHSMs. To overcome the limitations of existing studies, the proposed decision support system used a methodology for predicting the number of daily confirmed cases over multiple periods based on multiple output strategies and a methodology for rapidly identifying varies in policy effects based on anomaly detection. It was confirmed that the proposed decision support system demonstrated excellent performance compared to models used for time series analysis such as statistical models and deep learning models. In addition, we endeavored to increase the usability of the proposed decision support system by suggesting a transfer learning-based methodology that can efficiently reflect variations in policy effects. Finally, the decision support system proposed in this study provides a methodology that provides multi-period forecasts, identifying variations in policy effects, and efficiently reflects the effects of variation policies. It was intended to provide reasonable and realistic information for the establishment and implementation of PHSMs and, through this, to yield information expected to be highly useful, which had not been provided in the decision support systems presented in previous studies.

최근 전 세계적으로 주목받고 있는 기술금융 지원정책은 저성장 기조의 경제 현황을 극복하기 위한 정부 부처 및 유관기관의 기업혁신 지원전략으로 부상하고 있다. 이에 힘입어 최근에는 기술가치 평가체계의 한계(장기간 · 고비용)를 개선한 웹 기반 지능형 평가시스템이 일부 평가기관을 중심으로 제공 중에 있으나, 여전히 사용자에게 전문적인 평가 지식을 요구한다는 점에서 한계가 존재한다. 본 논문에서는 기존 시스템의 정성평가 항목에 딥러닝 기반 추정을 적용, 현금흐름 산출로직에 연계하는 방안을 제시한다. 이는 일반적으로 준용되는 기술가치평가 방법론을 기반으로 이론적 타당성은 유지하되, 전문적 지식을 요구하는 세부지표점수들을 딥러닝 기반 추정을 적용함으로써 비전문가 수준에서도 손쉽게 보유 기술의 가치를 확인할 수 있는 수요자 편의성을 제공한다. 최종적으로 본 논문에서는 제안하는 인공신경망 기반 알고리즘을 통해 기업이 보유하고 있는 특허 또는 기술에 대해 객관적이고 신속한 평가를 수행할 수 있도록 하며, 기존 방법론이 내포하고 있던 장시간 · 고비용의 한계를 최소화하고 적시에 기술 기반 금융 활동에 대한 의사 결정을 지원할 수 있다는 점에서 그 활용성이 기대된다.

최근까지 수행된 해양수산 기술평가 사업은 해양수산 R&D 우수성과의 조기발굴을 통한 기술이전과 산업진흥을 도모해 왔다. 다수의 연구에서는 기술가치의 평가결과에 가장 큰 영향을 미치는 요인 중 하나인 매출액 추정방안이 도출되어 왔으나, 현 시점에서 데이터 기반으로 딥러닝을 적용하는 연구는 존재하지 않는다. 따라서, 해양수산 분야 업종별 기업·시장 환경 특성이 반영된 KED 데이터를 활용하여, 과거 연도별 기업 재무정보를 활용하여 이후 연도 매출이 어떤 양상을 보일지 추정하는 매출추정 예측 모형을 제안하고자 한다. 본 연구는 선형회귀, 머신러닝 모델, 딥러닝 모델 간 예측 성능 비교를 통해 딥러닝 모델이 가장 우수한 성능을 보임을 확인하였고, 기존 연구의 ‘매출액’ 추정 모델과 다르게 ‘매출성장률’ 추정을 모델링하여 활용하였다는 차별성에 주목하여, 향후 지능형 가치평가 시스템으로의 적용 이외에 기업 손익구조에 기반한 경영전략 수립, 금융시장에서의 기업가치평가(수익가치), 투자 전략 수립 등 다양한 분야에서 의사결정의 보조적 자료로 활용 가능할 것으로 기대된다.