Travel time information is used as input or auxiliary data for tasks such as dynamic navigation, infrastructure planning, congestion control, and accident detection. Various data-driven Travel Time Prediction (TTP) methods have been proposed in recent years. One of the most challenging tasks in TTP is developing and selecting the most appropriate prediction algorithm. The existing studies that empirically compare different TTP models only use a few models with specific features. Moreover, there is a lack of research on explaining TTPs made by black-box models. Such explanations can help to tune and apply TTP methods successfully. To fill these gaps in the current TTP literature, using three data sets, we compare three types of TTP methods (ensemble tree-based learning, deep neural networks, and hybrid models) and ten different prediction algorithms overall. Furthermore, we apply XAI (Explainable Artificial Intelligence) methods (SHAP and LIME) to understand and interpret models’ predictions. The prediction accuracy and reliability for all models are evaluated and compared. We observed that the ensemble learning methods, i.e., XGBoost and LightGBM, are the best performing models over the three data sets, and XAI methods can adequately explain how various spatial and temporal features influence travel time.
The airfreight industry of shipping goods with special handling needs, also known as special cargo, often deals with non-transparent data and outdated technology, resulting in significant inefficiency. A special cargo ontology is a means of extracting, structuring, and storing domain knowledge and representing the concepts and relationships that can be processed by computers. This ontology can be used as the base of semantic data retrieval in many artificial intelligence applications, such as planning for special cargo shipments. Domain information extraction is an essential task in implementing and maintaining special cargo ontology. However, the absence of domain information makes instantiating the cargo ontology challenging. We propose a relation representation learning approach based on a hierarchical attention-based multi-task model and leverage it in the special cargo domain. The proposed relation representation learning architecture is applied for identifying and categorizing samples of various relation types in the special cargo ontology. The model is trained with domain-specific documents on a number of semantic tasks that vary from lightweight tasks in the bottom layers to the heavyweight tasks in the top layers of the model in a hierarchical setting. Therefore, it conveys complementary input features and learns a rich representation. We also train a domain-specific relation representation model that relies only on an entity-linked corpus of cargo shipment domain. These two relation representation models are then employed in a supervised multi-class classifier called Special Cargo Relation Extractor (SCRE). The results of the experiments show that the proposed relation representation models can represent the complex semantic information of the special cargo domain efficiently.
The airfreight industry of shipping goods with special handling needs, also known as special cargo, suffers from nontransparent shipping processes, resulting in inefficiency. The LARA project (Lane Analysis and Route Advisor) aims at addressing these limitations and bringing innovation in special cargo route planning so as to improve operational deficiencies and customer services. In this chapter, we discuss the special cargo domain knowledge elicitation and modeling into an ontology. We also present research into cargo incidents, namely, automatic classification of incidents in free-text reports and experiments in detecting significant features associated with specific cargo incident types. Our work mainly addresses two of the main technical priority areas defined by the European Big Data Value (BDV) Strategic Research and Innovation Agenda, namely, the application of data analytics to improve data understanding and providing optimized architectures for analytics of data-at-rest and data-in-motion, the overall goal is to develop technologies contributing to the data value chain in the logistics sector. It addresses the horizontal concerns Data Analytics, Data Processing Architectures, and Data Management of the BDV Reference Model. It also addresses the vertical dimension Big Data Types and Semantics.