With industrialization and urbanization, the competition among land production, living, and ecological (PLE) spaces has intensified. Particularly in ecological reserves, competition among various types of land use restricts the coordinated development of PLE space. To explore spatial sustainable development, this study starts from a PLE spatial perspective, based on Landsat long time series images. Object-based image analysis (OBIA) and landscape index analysis were selected to monitor the spatial and temporal land use and landscape pattern changes in the Poyang Lake region (PYL region) from 1989 to 2020. The RF-Markov-FLUS coupled model was used to simulate spatial changes in 2030 under four scenarios: production space priority (PSP), living space priority (LSP), ecological space priority (ESP), and an integrated development (ID). Finally, the goal-problem-principle was used to enhance PLE space. The results showed that: (1) production space and ecological spaces decreased in general from 1989 to 2020 by 3% and 7%, respectively; living space increased by 11%. (2) From 1989 to 2020, the overall landscape spread in the Poyang Lake (PYL) area decreased, connectivity decreased, fragmentation increased, landscape heterogeneity increased, and landscape geometry became more irregular. (3) Compared with the other three scenarios, the ID scenario maintained steady production space growth in 2030, the expansion rate of living space slowed, and the area of ecological space decreased the least. (4) Spatial pattern optimization should start with three aspects: the transformation of the agricultural industry, improving the efficiency of urban land use, and establishing communities of “mountains, water, forests, fields, lakes and grasses”. The results provide scientific planning and suggestions for the future ecological protection of Poyang Lake area with multiple scenarios and perspectives.

Hydrological connectivity is important for maintaining the stability and function of wetland ecosystems. Small-scale hydrological connectivity restricts large-scale hydrological cycle processes. However, long-term evolutionary studies and quantitative evaluation of the hydrological connectivity of wetlands in the Poyang Lake area have not been sufficiently conducted. In this study, we collected 21 Landsat remote sensing images and extracted land use data from 1989 to 2020, introducing a morphological spatial pattern analysis model to assess the wetland hydrological connectivity. A comprehensive method for evaluating the hydrological connectivity of wetlands was established and applied to the Poyang Lake area. The results showed that, over the course of 31 years, the wetland landscape in the Poyang Lake area changed dramatically, and the wetland area has generally shown a decreasing and then increasing trend, among which the core wetland plays a dominant role in the hydrological connectivity of the Poyang Lake area. In addition, the hydrological connectivity decreases as the core wetland area decreases. From 1989 to 2005, the landscape in the Poyang Lake area focused mainly on the transition from wetland to non-wetland. From 2005 to 2020, the conversion of wetland landscape types shows a clear reversal compared to the previous period, showing a predominant shift from non-wetland to wetland landscapes. The eco-hydrological connectivity of the wetlands in the Poyang Lake area from 1989 to 2020 first decreased, and then increased after 2005. In the early stage of the study (1989−2005), we found that the connectivity of 0.3444 in 2005 was the lowest value in the study period. A resolution of 30 m and an edge effect width of 60 m were optimal for studying the hydrological connectivity of wetlands in the Poyang Lake area. The main drivers of the changes in hydrological connectivity were precipitation and the construction of large-scale water conservation projects, as well as changes in land use. This study provides a good basis for assessing hydrological connectivity in a meaningful way, and is expected to provide new insights for maintaining and restoring biodiversity and related ecosystem services in the Poyang Lake area.