A large number of studies have dealt with the driven forces of land expansion, in which the remote sensing data and statistical data are most commonly used. The recent progress based on the statistical data have not been fully tested and discussed by the remote sensing data, and the remote sensing data used in the previous studies are usually interpreted within certain areas which is not convenient for global comparison. In this paper, the 30-m GlobalLand Cover Dataset (GlobeLand30) and socioeconomic data from 2000 to 2010 are adopted to investigate the factors driving impervious surface expansion in China based on a multilevel regression model. The GlobeLand30 provides a world-wide data framework which has a sound basis for regional comparison research. The variables are selected according to the existing research. Most, but not all, results are consistent with the previous studies when using impervious surface data of GlobeLand30. The main findings are: (1) the market demand caused by economic development, such as the increase in GDP from 2000 to 2010, plays a positive role in the expansion of developed land; (2) the land supply, as reflected by the ratio of the total of land transfer fees to fiscal revenue, also has a positive effect on the increase in impervious surfaces; (3) the percentage of the increase by private workers to the increase in total workers and certain other frequently-used variables are not relevant after controlling for land demand- and supply-related variables; and (4) the growth in impervious surfaces is related to the amount of the cultivated land, which implies the necessity for a more stringent farmland protection policy. Considering the need to compare across regions, we suggest that GlobeLand30 should be used for more studies to better understand the driving forces of land expansion.

A serious spatial inequality of educational opportunity in school enrollment persists worldwide. The use of random mechanisms in school allocation might improve spatial equality, with lotteries applied in some choice-based systems. China uses a proximity-based assignment, yet the optimization of spatial equality of educational opportunity by introducing a lottery has received little consideration. To achieve the maximum spatial equality of educational opportunity, in this study, a random proximity-based model was developed, and the swarm optimization method was used to solve the model. A case study in the Shijingshan district of Beijing was used to illustrate the model outputs. For comparison, a proximity-based model was also developed and solved. After introducing a lottery into a proximity-based enrollment system, the spatial disparity of educational opportunity was reduced by 70 percent. The average travel distance to school increased 3.5-fold but was still much less than the actual average distance of 4.3 km. Relaxing the maximum travel distance constraint could significantly improve spatial inequality. Although total equality was significantly improved, only 51 percent of students benefited from increased opportunities, which implies that the model could be adopted in a centralized institutional context, such as China, but might be ineffective in a democratic system.

Urban fire prevention is shifting from reactive response to proactive risk governance, yet current approaches often overlook risk-type heterogeneity, spatial dependencies, and underlying behavioral mechanisms, especially equitable risk distribution among vulnerable groups. To address this, this study integrates the Pressure–State–Response (PSR) model with environmental criminology theories (Routine Activity Theory (RAT) and Crime Pattern Theory (CPT)) to couple macro social causal chains with micro behavioral–spatial mechanisms. Using data from the digital urban management system of Shenzhen’s Guangming District in 2019, four fire risk event types are examined: electric bike charging violations (EB), unauthorized power wiring (PW), water heater misuse (WH), and aging gas pipelines (GP). Spatial error models explain 82–89% of the variance across fire risk event types, and spatial 5-fold cross-validation shows minimal performance decline (ΔR² = 0.03–0.08), confirming robust prediction without overfitting. Key findings include: (1) elderly proportion is significantly positively associated with WH and PW (coefficients = 2.64 and 3.06, p < 0.01); (2) restaurant density has a consistently positive association with all four risk types (coefficients = 0.24–0.60, p < 0.01); (3) functional diversity and connectivity exhibit dual patterns, showing negative associations with more visible, easily detectable violations (PW, GP) but positive relationships with relatively concealed behaviors (EB); (4) reported safety deficiencies display strong positive associations with all fire risk event types and can therefore serve as an effective early-warning indicator for broader fire risk. These results support risk-specific, equity-oriented prevention strategies that prioritize vulnerable groups and high-risk environments. The validated PSR–RAT/CPT framework provides a novel theoretical basis for targeted fire risk governance and advances safe, resilient, inclusive cities aligned with Sustainable Development Goal 11.