Ecosystem services (ES), defined as benefits provided by the ecosystem to society, are essential to human well-being. However, it remains unclear how they will be affected by land-use changes due to lack of knowledge and data gaps. Therefore, understanding the response mechanism of ecosystem services to land-use change is critical for developing systematic and sound land planning. In this study, we aimed to explore the impacts of land-use change on the three ecosystem services, carbon storage (CS), flood regulation (FR), and soil conservation (SC), in the ecological conservation area of Beijing, China. We first projected land-use changes from 2015 to 2030, under three scenarios, i.e., Business as Usual (BAU), Ecological Land Protection (ELP), and Rapid Economic Development (RED), by interactively integrating the Markov model (Quantitative simulation) with the GeoSOS-FLUS model (Spatial arrangement), and then quantified the three ecosystem services by using a spatially explicit InVEST model. The results showed that built-up land would have the most remarkable growth during 2015–2030 under the RED scenario (2.52% increase) at the expense of cultivated and water body, while forest land is predicted to increase by 152.38 km² (1.36% increase) under the ELP scenario. The ELP scenario would have the highest amount of carbon storage, flood regulation, and soil conservation, due to the strict protection policy on ecological land. The RED scenario, in which a certain amount of cultivated land, water body, and forest land is converted to built-up land, promotes soil conservation but triggers greater loss of carbon storage and flood regulation capacity. The conversion between land-use types will affect trade-offs and synergies among ecosystem services, in which carbon storage would show significant positive correlation with soil conservation through the period of 2015 to 2030, under all scenarios. Together, our results provide a quantitative scientific report that policymakers and land managers can use to identify and prioritize the best practices to sustain ecosystem services, by balancing the trade-offs among services.

Thinning is a common management practice in forest ecosystems. However, understanding whether thinning treatment will change the availability of phosphorus (P) in soils, and the effect of thinning on the seasonal dynamics of soil P fractions, are still limited. The objective of the present study was to assess seasonal variations in soil P fractions under different forest thinning management strategies in a Larch (Larix spp.) plantation in northern China. To accomplish this, we examined soil P fractions, soil physical–chemical properties, and litter biomass under control (CK), light (LT), moderate (MT) and high thinning (HT) treatments. Data were collected during the growing season of 2017. We found that most P fractions varied seasonally at different soil depths, with the highest values occurring in the summer and autumn. When compared to CK, MT enhanced the inorganic P (P_i) concentration extracted by resin strip (R-P_i). Labile organic P (Labile P_o), moderately labile P and total P (TP) also increased in both MT and HT treatments irrespective of season. In contrast, less-labile P_i and P_o fractions were lower in LT than in CK, especially when examining deeper soil layers. Our results suggest that LT leads to a strong ability to utilize P_o and less-labile P_i. Moreover, the effect of thinning did not tend to increase with thinning intensity, P availability was maximized at the MT. Ultimately, we show that MT can improve soil P bioavailability and is recommended in Larix principis-rupprechtii Mayr. plantations of North China. Our results emphasize that the effect of thinning management on soil microenvironment is an important basis for evaluating soil nutrients such as soil P bioavailability.

Understanding the mechanisms governing forest community assembly across different growth stages is essential for revealing succession dynamics and guiding forest restoration. While much attention has been given to overstory trees, the understory regeneration layer, critical for forest succession, remains less explored, particularly regarding its stage-specific survival strategies and assembly processes. This study investigates the natural regeneration of Quercus variabilis forests in northern China, focusing on the transition from early to later growth stages. Our objectives were to (1) identify the phylogenetic and functional structures of regeneration communities at early and later stages, (2) explore their responses to environmental gradients, and (3) assess the roles of deterministic and stochastic processes in shaping community assembly. We integrated phylogenetic structure, functional traits, and environmental gradients to examine natural regeneration communities. The results revealed clear stage-dependent patterns: communities exhibited random phylogenetic and functional structures in the early growth stage, suggesting a dominant role of stochastic processes during early recruitment. In contrast, communities showed phylogenetic clustering and functional overdispersion in later growth stages, indicating the increasing influence of environmental filtering and interspecific competition as individuals developed. Generalized Dissimilarity Modeling (GDM) further revealed that dispersal limitation and pH were key predictors of phylogenetic β-diversity in the later growth stage, while total phosphorus drove functional β-diversity in the later growth stage. No significant predictors were found for β-diversity in the early stage. These findings highlight the shift from stochastic to deterministic processes during forest regeneration, emphasizing the stage-dependent nature of assembly mechanisms. Our study elucidates the stage-specific assembly rules of Q. variabilis forests and offers theoretical guidance for stage-targeted interventions in forest management to promote positive succession.

Understanding the ecological processes that shape spatial patterns across different growth stages is crucial for revealing the mechanisms of species coexistence and community dynamics. This study investigates the spatial patterns and associations between the regeneration layer and the overstory layer in Quercus variabilis forests in northern China. Using spatial point pattern analysis, we analyzed the distribution of 2761 seedlings and 449 adult trees across twelve 20 × 20 m plots. Our results revealed a consistent pattern where seedlings exhibited significant spatial aggregation, best fitted by a simple Thomas process with an average cluster radius of 3.89 m calculated across all plots, while adult trees displayed a complete spatial random distribution. A marked reduction in local density from seedlings to adults, indicated by a self-thinning index greater than 1 in most plots, provided evidence for density-dependent mortality during stand development. However, bivariate analysis detected no significant spatial association or mark correlation between adult trees and seedlings in most plots, suggesting limited interaction between these layers after initial seedling establishment. These findings demonstrate a clear transition from clustered regeneration to randomly distributed adults, which is consistent with the potential roles of dispersal limitation, habitat filtering and competition processes, with implications for the management and conservation of temperate Quercus forest ecosystems.