The array of complex and evolving patient data has limited clinical decision making in the emergency department (ED). This study introduces an advanced deep learning algorithm designed to enhance real-time prediction accuracy for integration into a novel Clinical Decision Support System (CDSS). A retrospective study was conducted using data from a level 1 tertiary hospital. The algorithm’s predictive performance was evaluated based on in-hospital cardiac arrest, inotropic circulatory support, advanced airway, and intensive care unit admission. We developed an artificial intelligence (AI) algorithm for CDSS that integrates multiple data modalities, including vitals, laboratory, and imaging results from electronic health records. The AI model was trained and tested on a dataset of 237,059 ED visits. The algorithm’s predictions, based solely on triage information, significantly outperformed traditional logistic regression models, with notable improvements in the area under the precision-recall curve (AUPRC). Additionally, predictive accuracy improved with the inclusion of continuous data input at shorter intervals. This study suggests the feasibility of using AI algorithms in diverse clinical scenarios, particularly for earlier detection of clinical deterioration. Future work should focus on expanding the dataset and enhancing real-time data integration across multiple centers to further optimize its application within the novel CDSS.
Intermittent manual measurement of vital signs may not rapidly predict sepsis development in febrile patients admitted to the emergency department (ED). We aimed to evaluate the predictive performance of a wireless monitoring device that continuously measures heart rate (HR) and respiratory rate (RR) and a machine learning analysis in febrile but stable patients in the ED. We analysed 468 patients (age, ≥18 years; training set, n = 277; validation set, n = 93; test set, n = 98) having fever (temperature >38 °C) and admitted to the isolation care unit of the ED. The AUROC of the fragmented model with device data was 0.858 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.809–0.908), and that with manual data was 0.841 (95% CI, 0.789–0.893). The AUROC of the accumulated model with device data was 0.861 (95% CI, 0.811–0.910), and that with manual data was 0.853 (95% CI, 0.803–0.903). Fragmented and accumulated models with device data detected clinical deterioration in febrile patients at risk of septic shock 9 h and 5 h 30 min earlier, respectively, than those with manual data. Continuous vital sign monitoring using a wearable device could accurately predict clinical deterioration and reduce the time to recognise potential clinical deterioration in stable ED patients with fever.
Intracranial hemorrhage is a critical emergency that requires prompt and accurate diagnosis in the emergency department (ED). Deep learning technology can assist in interpreting non-enhanced brain CT scans, but its real-world impact on clinical decision-making is uncertain. This study assessed a deep learning-based intracranial hemorrhage detection algorithm (DLHD) in a simulated clinical environment with ten emergency medical professionals from a tertiary hospital’s ED. The participants reviewed CT scans with clinical information in two steps: without and with DLHD. Diagnostic performance was measured, including sensitivity, specificity, accuracy, and the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve. Consistency in clinical decision-making was evaluated using the kappa statistic. The results demonstrated that DLHD minimally affected experienced participants’ diagnostic performance and decision-making. In contrast, inexperienced participants exhibited significantly increased sensitivity (59.33–72.67%, p < 0.001) and decreased specificity (65.49–53.73%, p < 0.001) with the algorithm. Clinical decision-making consistency was moderate among inexperienced professionals (k = 0.425) and higher among experienced ones (k = 0.738). Inexperienced participants changed their decisions more frequently, mainly due to the algorithm’s false positives. The study highlights the need for thorough evaluation and careful integration of deep learning tools into clinical workflows, especially for less experienced professionals.
1 December 2020 in The American Journal of Emergency Medicine
Models for predicting acute myocardial infarction (AMI) at the prehospital stage were developed and their efficacy compared, based on variables identified from a nationwide systematic emergency medical service (EMS) registry using conventional statistical methods and machine learning algorithms. Patients in the EMS cardiovascular registry aged >15 years who were transferred from the public EMS to emergency departments in Korea from January 2016 to December 2018 were enrolled. Two datasets were constructed according to the hierarchical structure of the registry. A total of 184,577 patients (Dataset 1) were included in the final analysis. Among them, 72,439 patients (Dataset 2) were suspected to have AMI at prehospital stage. Between the models derived using the conventional logistic regression method, the B-type model incorporated AMI-specific variables from the A-type model and exhibited a superior discriminative ability (p = 0.02). The models that used extreme gradient boosting and a multilayer perceptron yielded a higher predictive performance than the conventional logistic regression-based models for analyses that used both datasets. Each machine learning algorithm yielded different classification lists of the 10 most important features. Therefore, prediction models that use nationwide prehospital data and are developed with appropriate structures can improve the identification of patients who require timely AMI management.
Background: The American Heart Association guidelines recommend switching chest compression providers at least every 2 min depending on their fatigue during cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR). Although the provider's heart rate is widely used as an objective indicator for detecting fatigue, the accuracy of this measure is debatable. Objectives: This study was designed to determine whether real-time heart rate is a measure of fatigue in compression providers. Study design: A simulation-based prospective interventional study including 110 participants. Methods: Participants performed chest compressions in pairs for four cycles using advanced cardiovascular life support simulation. Each participant's heart rate was measured using wearable healthcare devices, and qualitative variables regarding individual compressions were obtained from computerized devices. The primary outcome was correct depth of chest compressions. The main exposure was the change in heart rate, defined as the difference between the participant's heart rate during individual compressions and that before the simulation was initiated. Results: With a constant compression duration for one cycle, the overall accuracy of compression depth significantly decreased with increasing heart rate. Female participants displayed significantly decreased accuracy of compression depth with increasing heart rate (odds ratio [OR]: 0.97; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.95–0.98; P < .001). Conversely, male participants displayed significantly improved accuracy with increasing heart rate (OR: 1.03; 95% CI: 1.02–1.04; P < .001). Conclusion: Increasing heart rate could reflect fatigue in providers performing chest compressions with a constant duration for one cycle. Thus, provider rotation should be considered according to objectively measured fatigue during CPR.