In this two-part paper, the impact of level-II Weather Surveillance Radar-1988 Doppler (WSR-88D) reflectivity and radial velocity data on the prediction of a cluster of tornadic thunderstorms in the Advanced Regional Prediction System (ARPS) model are studied. Radar reflectivity data are used primarily in a cloud analysis procedure that retrieves the amount of hydrometeors and adjusts in-cloud temperature, moisture, and cloud fields, while radial velocity data are analyzed through a three-dimensional variational (3DVAR) scheme that contains a mass divergence constraint in the cost function. In Part I, the impact of the cloud analysis and modifications to the scheme are examined while Part II focuses on the impact of radial velocity and the mass divergence constraint. The case studied is that of the 28 March 2000 Fort Worth, Texas, tornado outbreaks. The same case was studied by Xue et al. using the ARPS Data Analysis System (ADAS) and an earlier version of the cloud analysis procedure with WSR-88D level-III data. Since then, several modifications to the cloud analysis procedure, including those to the in-cloud temperature adjustment and the analysis of precipitation species, have been made. They are described in detail with examples. The assimilation and predictions use a 3-km grid nested inside a 9-km one. The level-II reflectivity data are assimilated, through the cloud analysis, at 10-min intervals in a 1-h period that ends a little over 1 h preceding the first tornado outbreak. Experiments with different settings within the cloud analysis procedure are examined. It is found that the experiment using the improved cloud analysis procedure with reflectivity data can capture the important characteristics of the main tornadic thunderstorm more accurately than the experiment using the early version of cloud analysis. The contributions of different modifications to the above improvements are investigated.

In this paper, a new method of dual-Doppler radar wind analysis based on a three-dimensional variational data assimilation (3DVAR) approach is proposed. In it, a cost function, including background term and radial observation term, is minimized through a limited memory, quasi-Newton conjugate-gradient algorithm with the mass continuity equation imposed as a weak constraint. In the method, the background error covariance matrix, though simple in this case, is modeled by a recursive filter. Furthermore, the square root of this matrix is used to precondition the minimization problem. The current method is applied to Doppler radar observation of a supercell storm, and the analysis results are compared to a conceptual model and previous research. It is shown that the horizontal circulations, both within and around the storms, as well as the strong updraft and the associated downdraft, are well analyzed. Because no explicit integration of the anelastic mass continuity equation is involved, error accumu... Abstract In this paper, a new method of dual-Doppler radar wind analysis based on a three-dimensional variational data assimilation (3DVAR) approach is proposed. In it, a cost function, including background term and radial observation term, is minimized through a limited memory, quasi-Newton conjugate-gradient algorithm with the mass continuity equation imposed as a weak constraint. In the method, the background error covariance matrix, though simple in this case, is modeled by a recursive filter. Furthermore, the square root of this matrix is used to precondition the minimization problem. The current method is applied to Doppler radar observation of a supercell storm, and the analysis results are compared to a conceptual model and previous research. It is shown that the horizontal circulations, both within and around the storms, as well as the strong updraft and the associated downdraft, are well analyzed. Because no explicit integration of the anelastic mass continuity equation is involved, error accumu...

Dense networks of short-range radars capable of mapping storms and detecting atmospheric hazards are described. Composed of small X-band (9.4 GHz) radars spaced tens of kilometers apart, these networks defeat the Earth curvature blockage that limits today's long-range weather radars and enables observing capabilities fundamentally beyond the operational state-of-the-art radars. These capabilities include multiple Doppler observations for mapping horizontal wind vectors, subkilometer spatial resolution, and rapid-update (tens of seconds) observations extending from the boundary layer up to the tops of storms. The small physical size and low-power design of these radars permits the consideration of commercial electronic manufacturing approaches and radar installation on rooftops, communications towers, and other infrastructure elements, leading to cost-effective network deployments. The networks can be architected in such a way that the sampling strategy dynamically responds to changing weather to ... Abstract Dense networks of short-range radars capable of mapping storms and detecting atmospheric hazards are described. Composed of small X-band (9.4 GHz) radars spaced tens of kilometers apart, these networks defeat the Earth curvature blockage that limits today's long-range weather radars and enables observing capabilities fundamentally beyond the operational state-of-the-art radars. These capabilities include multiple Doppler observations for mapping horizontal wind vectors, subkilometer spatial resolution, and rapid-update (tens of seconds) observations extending from the boundary layer up to the tops of storms. The small physical size and low-power design of these radars permits the consideration of commercial electronic manufacturing approaches and radar installation on rooftops, communications towers, and other infrastructure elements, leading to cost-effective network deployments. The networks can be architected in such a way that the sampling strategy dynamically responds to changing weather to ...

The NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed (HWT) conducts annual spring forecasting experiments organized by the Storm Prediction Center and National Severe Storms Laboratory to test and evaluate emerging scientific concepts and technologies for improved analysis and prediction of hazardous mesoscale weather. A primary goal is to accelerate the transfer of promising new scientific concepts and tools from research to operations through the use of intensive real-time experimental forecasting and evaluation activities conducted during the spring and early summer convective storm period. The 2010 NOAA/HWT Spring Forecasting Experiment (SE2010), conducted 17 May through 18 June, had a broad focus, with emphases on heavy rainfall and aviation weather, through collaboration with the Hydrometeorological Prediction Center (HPC) and the Aviation Weather Center (AWC), respectively. In addition, using the computing resources of the National Institute for Computational Sciences at the University of Tennessee, the Center for A... The NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed (HWT) conducts annual spring forecasting experiments organized by the Storm Prediction Center and National Severe Storms Laboratory to test and evaluate emerging scientific concepts and technologies for improved analysis and prediction of hazardous mesoscale weather. A primary goal is to accelerate the transfer of promising new scientific concepts and tools from research to operations through the use of intensive real-time experimental forecasting and evaluation activities conducted during the spring and early summer convective storm period. The 2010 NOAA/HWT Spring Forecasting Experiment (SE2010), conducted 17 May through 18 June, had a broad focus, with emphases on heavy rainfall and aviation weather, through collaboration with the Hydrometeorological Prediction Center (HPC) and the Aviation Weather Center (AWC), respectively. In addition, using the computing resources of the National Institute for Computational Sciences at the University of Tennessee, the Center for A...