Colin Chibaya

Dr. Colin Chibaya

orcid

Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

20Years (2007-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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18 March 2023 in Applied Sciences
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
ENEli Bila Nimy
Eli Bila Nimy
MMMoeketsi Mosia
Moeketsi Mosia
CCColin Chibaya
Colin Chibaya
The utilization of learning analytics to identify at-risk students for early intervention has exhibited promising results. However, most predictive models utilized to address this issue have been based on non-probabilistic machine learning models. In response, this study incorporated probabilistic machine learning for two reasons: (1) to facilitate the inclusion of domain knowledge, and (2) to enable the quantification of uncertainty in model parameters and predictions. The study developed a five-stage, probabilistic logistic regression model to identify at-risk students at different stages throughout the academic calendar. Rather than predicting a student’s final or exam mark, the model was focused on predicting the at-risk probabilities for subsequent assessments—specifically, the probability of a student failing an upcoming assessment. The model incorporated student engagement data from Moodle, as well as demographic and student performance data. The study’s findings indicate that the significance and certainty of student engagement and demographic variables decreased after incorporating student-performance variables, such as assignments and tests. The most effective week for identifying at-risk students was found to be week 6, when the accuracy was 92.81%. Furthermore, the average level of uncertainty exhibited by the models decreased by 60% from stage 3 to 5, indicating more reliable predictions at later than earlier stages. The study highlights the potential of a probabilistic machine learning model to aid instructors and practitioners in identifying at-risk students, and thereby to enhance academic outcomes.

5 February 2025 in Information
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
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ANAndisani Nemavhola
Andisani Nemavhola
CCColin Chibaya
Colin Chibaya
Serestina ViririSerestina Viriri
Serestina Viriri
This study provides a comparative evaluation of face recognition databases and Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) architectures used in training and testing face recognition systems. The databases span from early datasets like Olivetti Research Laboratory (ORL) and Facial Recognition Technology (FERET) to more recent collections such as MegaFace and Ms-Celeb-1M, offering a range of sizes, subject diversity, and image quality. Older databases, such as ORL and FERET, are smaller and cleaner, while newer datasets enable large-scale training with millions of images but pose challenges like inconsistent data quality and high computational costs. The study also examines CNN architectures, including FaceNet and Visual Geometry Group 16 (VGG16), which show strong performance on large datasets like Labeled Faces in the Wild (LFW) and VGGFace, achieving accuracy rates above 98%. In contrast, earlier models like Support Vector Machine (SVM) and Gabor Wavelets perform well on smaller datasets but lack scalability for larger, more complex datasets. The analysis highlights the growing importance of multi-task learning and ensemble methods, as seen in Multi-Task Cascaded Convolutional Networks (MTCNNs). Overall, the findings emphasize the need for advanced algorithms capable of handling large-scale, real-world challenges while optimizing accuracy and computational efficiency in face recognition systems.

26 May 2020 in Algorithms
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
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LDLucky Oghenechodja Daniel
Lucky Oghenechodja Daniel
CSCaston Sigauke
Caston Sigauke
CCColin Chibaya
Colin Chibaya
RMRendani Mbuvha
Rendani Mbuvha
Wind offers an environmentally sustainable energy resource that has seen increasing global adoption in recent years. However, its intermittent, unstable and stochastic nature hampers its representation among other renewable energy sources. This work addresses the forecasting of wind speed, a primary input needed for wind energy generation, using data obtained from the South African Wind Atlas Project. Forecasting is carried out on a two days ahead time horizon. We investigate the predictive performance of artificial neural networks (ANN) trained with Bayesian regularisation, decision trees based stochastic gradient boosting (SGB) and generalised additive models (GAMs). The results of the comparative analysis suggest that ANN displays superior predictive performance based on root mean square error (RMSE). In contrast, SGB shows outperformance in terms of mean average error (MAE) and the related mean average percentage error (MAPE). A further comparison of two forecast combination methods involving the linear and additive quantile regression averaging show the latter forecast combination method as yielding lower prediction accuracy. The additive quantile regression averaging based prediction intervals also show outperformance in terms of validity, reliability, quality and accuracy. Interval combination methods show the median method as better than its pure average counterpart. Point forecasts combination and interval forecasting methods are found to improve forecast performance.

8 January 2025 in Human Behavior and Emerging Technologies
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
ANAndisani Nemavhola
Andisani Nemavhola
Serestina ViririSerestina Viriri
Serestina Viriri
CCColin Chibaya
Colin Chibaya
Deep learning has led to the creation of facial recognition technologies using convolutional neural networks (CNNs). This preliminary study explores the application of CNN architectures in face recognition to gain a deeper understanding of the challenges and methodologies in the field. The study systematically reviewed relevant literature using the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic reviews and Meta‐Analyses extension for Scoping Reviews (PRISMA‐ScR) framework. Out of 3622 eligible papers, 266 were included in the review, with 47% proposing new techniques and 1% focusing on method implementation and comparison. Most studies used images rather than video as training or testing data, with 78% using clean data and only 7% utilizing occluded and clean data. It was observed that traditional CNN architectures were predominantly employed. The study identified a lack of research on the implementation and definition of CNN architectures, the development of facial recognition models using both clean and occluded images and videos, and the exploration of nontraditional CNN architectures. The challenges affecting facial recognition included occlusion, distance from the camera, camera angle, and lighting conditions. This preliminary assessment provides an insight into the use of CNN in face recognition and suggests that nontraditional CNN architectures could be further explored in future research.

10 December 2024 in Analytics
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
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LVLindokuhle Vithi
Lindokuhle Vithi
CCColin Chibaya
Colin Chibaya
This bibliometric review investigates the advancements in machine learning techniques for predictive maintenance, focusing on the use of Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) and Support Vector Machines (SVMs) for fault detection in wheelset axle bearings. Using data from Scopus and Web of Science, the review analyses key trends, influential publications, and significant contributions to the field from 2000 to 2024. The findings highlight the performance of ANNs in handling large datasets and modelling complex, non-linear relationships, as well as the high accuracy of SVMs in fault classification tasks, particularly with small-to-medium-sized datasets. However, the study also identifies several limitations, including the dependency on high-quality data, significant computational resource requirements, limited model adaptability, interpretability challenges, and practical implementation complexities. This review provides valuable insights for researchers and engineers, guiding the selection of appropriate diagnostic models and highlighting opportunities for future research. Addressing the identified limitations is crucial for the broader adoption and effectiveness of machine learning-based predictive maintenance strategies across various industrial contexts.

3 April 2024 in International Journal of Research in Business and Social Science (2147- 4478)
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
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VMVengai Musanga
Vengai Musanga
CCColin Chibaya
Colin Chibaya
SVSerestina Viriri
Serestina Viriri
This scoping review aims to explore various Deep Learning and Symbolic Artificial Intelligence (AI) models that can be integrated into explainable hybrid AI for the purpose of detecting COVID-19 based on Computerized Tomography (CT) scans. We followed the PRISMA-ScR framework as the foundation for our scoping review protocol. Our approach included a thorough search across 13 databases, complemented by an additional random internet search for relevant articles. Due to the voluminous number of articles returned, the search was further narrowed using the keywords: Deep Learning, Symbolic AI and Hybrid AI. These keywords were used because they are more visible in the earmarked literature. A screening of all articles by title was performed to remove duplicates. The final screening process centered on the publication year, ensuring that all considered articles fell within the range of 2019 to 2023, inclusive. Subsequently, abstract or text synthesis was conducted. Our search query retrieved a total of 3,312 potential articles from the thirteen databases, and an additional 12 articles from a random internet search, resulting in a cumulative count of 3,324 identified articles. After the deduplication and screening steps, 260 articles met our inclusion criteria. These articles were categorized based on the year of publication, the type of aim, and the type of AI used. An analysis of the year of publication revealed a linear trend, indicating growth in the field of Hybrid AI. Out of the five aim categories identified, we deliberately excluded articles that lacked a specified aim. It's noteworthy that 3% of the articles focused on the integration of AI models. The low percentage value suggests that the integration aspect is overlooked, thereby transcripting the integration of Deep Learning and symbolic AI into hybrid AI as an area worth exploring. This scoping review gives an overview of how a Deep Learning and Symbolic AI-based framework has been used in the detection of COVID-19 based on CT scans.