Background: Genome-wide association studies have identified common genetic risk variants in many loci associated with multiple cancers. We sought to systematically evaluate the utility of these risk variants in identifying high-risk individuals for eight common cancers.Methods: We constructed polygenic risk scores (PRS) using genome-wide association studies–identified risk variants for each cancer. Using data from 400 812 participants of European descent in a population-based cohort study, UK Biobank, we estimated hazard ratios associated with PRS using Cox proportional hazard models and evaluated the performance of the PRS in cancer risk prediction and their ability to identify individuals at more than a twofold elevated risk, a risk level comparable to a moderate-penetrance mutation in known cancer predisposition genes.Results: During a median follow-up of 5.8 years, 14 584 incident case patients of cancers were identified (ranging from 358 epithelial ovarian cancer case patients to 4430 prostate cancer case patients). Compared with those at an average risk, individuals among the highest 5% of the PRS had a two- to threefold elevated risk for cancer of the prostate, breast, pancreas, colorectal, or ovary, and an approximately 1.5-fold elevated risk of cancer of the lung, bladder, or kidney. The areas under the curve ranged from 0.567 to 0.662. Using PRS, 40.4% of the study participants can be classified as having more than a twofold elevated risk for at least one site-specific cancer.Conclusions: A large proportion of the general population can be identified at an elevated cancer risk by PRS, supporting the potential clinical utility of PRS for personalized cancer risk prediction.

Significance Statement: African Americans are at increased risk of CKD in part due to high-risk (HR) variants in the apolipoprotein L1 (APOL1) gene, termed G1/G2. A different APOL1 variant, p.N264K, reduced the risk of CKD and ESKD among carriers of APOL1 HR variants to levels comparable with individuals with APOL1 low-risk variants in an analysis of 121,492 participants of African ancestry from the Million Veteran Program (MVP). Functional genetic studies in cell models showed that APOL1 p.N264K blocked APOL1 pore-forming function and ion channel conduction and reduced toxicity of APOL1 HR mutations. Pharmacologic inhibitors that mimic this mutation blocking APOL1-mediated pore formation may be able to prevent and/or treat APOL1-associated kidney disease. Background: African Americans are at increased risk for nondiabetic CKD in part due to HR variants in the APOL1 gene. Methods: We tested whether a different APOL1 variant, p.N264K, modified the association between APOL1 HR genotypes (two copies of G1/G2) and CKD in a cross-sectional analysis of 121,492 participants of African ancestry from the MVP. We replicated our findings in the Vanderbilt University Biobank (n=14,386) and National Institutes of Health All of Us (n=14,704). Primary outcome was CKD and secondary outcome was ESKD among nondiabetic patients. Primary analysis compared APOL1 HR genotypes with and without p.N264K. Secondary analyses included APOL1 low-risk genotypes and tested for interaction. In MVP, we performed sequential logistic regression models adjusting for demographics, comorbidities, medications, and ten principal components of ancestry. Functional genomic studies expressed APOL1 HR variants with and without APOL1 p.N264K in cell models. Results: In the MVP cohort, 15,604 (12.8%) had two APOL1 HR variants, of which 582 (0.5%) also had APOL1 p.N264K. In MVP, 18,831 (15%) had CKD, 4177 (3%) had ESKD, and 34% had diabetes. MVP APOL1 HR, without p.N264K, was associated with increased odds of CKD (odds ratio [OR], 1.72; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.60 to 1.85) and ESKD (OR, 3.94; 95% CI, 3.52 to 4.41). In MVP, APOL1 p.N264K mitigated the renal risk of APOL1 HR, in CKD (OR, 0.43; 95% CI, 0.28 to 0.65) and ESKD (OR, 0.19; CI 0.07 to 0.51). In the replication cohorts meta-analysis, APOL1 p.N264K mitigated the renal risk of APOL1 HR in CKD (OR, 0.40; 95% CI, 0.18 to 0.92) and ESKD (OR, 0.19; 95% CI, 0.05 to 0.79). In the mechanistic studies, APOL1 p.N264K blocked APOL1 pore-forming function and ion channel conduction and reduced toxicity of APOL1 HR variants. Conclusions: APOL1 p.N264K is associated with reduced risk of CKD and ESKD among carriers of APOL1 HR to levels comparable with individuals with APOL1 low-risk genotypes.

In modern epidemiological and clinical studies, the covariates of interest may involve genome sequencing, biomarker assay, or medical imaging and thus are prohibitively expensive to measure on a large number of subjects. A cost-effective solution is the two-phase design, under which the outcome and inexpensive covariates are observed for all subjects during the first phase and that information is used to select subjects for measurements of expensive covariates during the second phase. For example, subjects with extreme values of quantitative traits were selected for whole-exome sequencing in the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute (NHLBI) Exome Sequencing Project (ESP). Herein, we consider general two-phase designs, where the outcome can be continuous or discrete, and inexpensive covariates can be continuous and correlated with expensive covariates. We propose a semiparametric approach to regression analysis by approximating the conditional density functions of expensive covariates given inexpensive covariates with B-spline sieves. We devise a computationally efficient and numerically stable EM-algorithm to maximize the sieve likelihood. In addition, we establish the consistency, asymptotic normality, and asymptotic efficiency of the estimators. Furthermore, we demonstrate the superiority of the proposed methods over existing ones through extensive simulation studies. Finally, we present applications to the aforementioned NHLBI ESP. Supplementary materials for this article are available online

Bladder carcinoma (BLCA) is a highly heterogeneous disease, and the underlying biological behavior is still poorly understood. Here, single-cell RNA sequencing was performed on four clinical samples of different grades from three patients, and 26,792 cell transcriptomes were obtained revealing different tumor ecosystems. We found that N-glycan biosynthesis pathway was activated in high-grade tumor, but TNF-related pathway was activated in cystitis glandularis. The tumor microenvironment (TME) of different samples showed great heterogeneity. Notably, cystitis glandularis was dominated by T cells, low-grade and high-grade tumors by macrophages, while TME in patient with high-grade relapse by stromal cells. Our research provides single-cell transcriptome profiles of cystitis glandularis and BLCA in different clinical states, and the biological program revealed by single-cell data can be used as biomarkers related to clinical prognosis in independent cohorts.