Much of the driver distraction and inattention work to date has focused on concerns over drivers removing their eyes from the forward roadway to perform non-driving-related tasks, and its demonstrable link to safety consequences when these glances are timed at inopportune moments. This extensive literature has established, through the analyses of glance from naturalistic datasets, a clear relationship between eyes-off-road, lead vehicle closing kinematics, and near-crash/crash involvement. This paper looks at the role of driver expectation in influencing drivers' decisions about when and for how long to remove their eyes from the forward roadway in an analysis that consider the combined role of on- and off-road glances. Using glance data collected in the 100-Car Naturalistic Driving Study (NDS), near-crashes were examined separately from crashes to examine how momentary differences in glance allocation over the 25-s prior to a precipitating event can differentiate between these two distinct outcomes. Individual glance metrics of mean single glance duration (MSGD), total glance time (TGT), and glance count for off-road and on-road glance locations were analyzed. Output from the AttenD algorithm (Kircher and Ahlström, 2009) was also analyzed as a hybrid measure; in threading together on- and off-road glances over time, its output produces a pattern of glance behavior meaningful for examining attentional effects. Individual glance metrics calculated at the epoch-level and binned by 10-s units of time across the available epoch lengths revealed that drivers in near-crashes have significantly longer on-road glances, and look less frequently between on- and off- road locations in the moments preceding a precipitating event as compared to crashes. During on-road glances, drivers in near-crashes were found to more frequently sample peripheral regions of the roadway than drivers in crashes. Output from the AttenD algorithm affirmed the cumulative net benefit of longer on-road glances and of improved attention management between on- and off-road locations. The finding of longer on-road glances differentiating between safety-critical outcomes in the 100-Car NDS data underscores the importance of attention management in how drivers look both on and off the road. It is in the pattern of glances to and from the forward roadway that drivers obtained critical information necessary to inform their expectation of hazard potential to avoid a crash. This work may have important implications for attention management in the context of the increasing prevalence of in-vehicle demands as well as of vehicle automation.

Forward collision warning (FCW) systems typically employ forward sensing technologies to identify possible forward collisions and provide an alert to the driver in the event they have not recognized a threat. These systems have demonstrated safety benefits. However, because the base rate of collisions is low, sensitive FCW systems can provide a high rate of alarms in situations with no or low probability of collision, which may negatively impact driver responsiveness and satisfaction. We examined over 2000 naturally occurring FCWs in two modern vehicles as a part of a naturalistic driving study investigation into advanced vehicle technologies. Analysts used cabin and forward camera footage, as well as environmental characteristics, to judge the likelihood of a crash during each alert, which were used to model the likelihood of an alert representing a possible collision. Only nine FCWs were considered “crash possible and imminent”. Road-type, speed, traffic density, and deceleration profiles distinguished between alert severity. Modeling outcomes provide clues for reducing nuisance and false alerts, and the method of using subjective video annotation combined with vehicle kinematics shows promise for investigating FCW alerts in the real world.

Conventional approaches to modelling driver risk have incorporated measures such as driver gender, age, place of residence, vehicle model, and annual miles driven. However, in the last decade, research has shown that assessing a driver’s crash risk based on these variables does not go far enough—especially as advanced technology changes today’s vehicles, as well as the role and behavior of the driver. There is growing recognition that actual driver usage patterns and driving behavior, when it can be properly captured in modelling risk, offers higher accuracy and more individually tailored projections. However, several challenges make this difficult. These challenges include accessing the right types of data, dealing with high-dimensional data, and identifying the underlying structure of the variance in driving behavior. There is also the challenge of how to identify key variables for detecting and predicting risk, and how to combine them in predictive algorithms. This paper proposes a systematic feature extraction and selection framework for building Comprehensive Driver Profiles that serves as a foundation for driver behavior analysis and building whole driver profiles. Features are extracted from raw data using statistical feature extraction techniques, and a hybrid feature selection algorithm is used to select the best driver profile feature set based on outcomes of interest such as crash risk. It can give rise to individualized detection and prediction of risk, and can also be used to identify types of drivers who exhibit similar patterns of driving and vehicle/technology usage. The developed framework is applied to a naturalistic driving dataset—NEST, derived from the larger SHRP2 naturalistic driving study to illustrate the types of information about driver behavior that can be harnessed—as well as some of the important applications that can be derived from it.

Non-driving-related tasks (NDRTs) have the potential to affect safety in a number of ways, but the conditions under which drivers choose to engage in NDRTs has not been extensively studied. This analysis considers naturalistic driving data in which drivers were recorded driving and engaging in NDRTs at will for several weeks. Using human-annotated video captured from vehicle cabins, we examined the probabilities with which drivers engaged in NDRTs, and we examined the relationship between vehicle speed and NDRT probability, with the goal of modeling NDRT probability as a function of speed and type of NDRT observed. We found that tasks that contain significant visual and manual components, such as phone manipulation, show strong sensitivity to vehicle speed, while other tasks, such as phone conversation, show no effects of vehicle speed. These results suggest that there are systematic relationships between NDRT patterns and vehicle speed, and that the nature of these relationships is sensitive to the demands of the NDRT. The relationship between speed and NDRT probability has implications for understanding the effects of NDRTs on safety, but also for understanding how drivers may differ in terms of the strategies they employ to modulate their NDRT behaviors based upon driving demands.

Background: The persuasive systems design approach draws together theories around persuasive technology and their psychological foundations to form, alter and/or reinforce compliance, attitudes, and/or behaviors, which have been useful in building health and wellness apps. But with pandemics such as COVID and their ever-changing landscape, there is a need for such design processes to be even more time sensitive, while maintaining the inclusion of empirical evidence and rigorous testing that are the basis for the approach’s successful deployment and uptake. Objective: In response to this need, this study applied a recently developed rapid persuasive systems design (R-PSD) process to the development and testing of a COVID support app. The aim of this effort was to identify concrete steps for when and how to build new persuasion features on top of existing features in existing apps to support the changing landscape of target behaviors from COVID tracing and tracking, to long-term COVID support, information, and prevention. Methods: This study employed a two-fold approach to achieve this objective. First, a rapid persuasive systems design framework was implemented. A technology scan of current COVID apps was conducted to identify apps that had employed PSD principles, in the context of an ongoing analysis of behavioral challenges and needs that were surfacing in public health reports and other sources. Second, a test case of the R-PSD framework was implemented in the context of providing COVID support by building a COVID support app prototype. The COVID support prototype was then evaluated and tested to assess the effectiveness of the integrated approach. Results: The results of the study revealed the potential success that can be obtained from the application of the R-PSD framework to the development of rapid release apps. Importantly, this application provides the first concrete example of how the R-PSD framework can be operationalized to produce a functional, user-informed app under real-world time and resource constraints. Further, the persuasive design categories enabled the identification of essential persuasive features required for app development that are intended to facilitate, support, or precipitate behavior change. The small sample study facilitated the quick iteration of the app design to ensure time sensitivity and empirical evidence-based application improvements. The R-PSD approach can serve as a guided and practical design approach for future rapid release apps particularly in relation to the development of support apps for pandemics or other time-urgent community emergencies.