Climate change can lead to and intensify drought disasters. Quantifying the vulnerability of disaster-affected elements is significant for understanding the mechanisms that transform drought intensity into eventual loss. This study proposed a growth-stage-based drought vulnerability index (GDVI) of soybean using meteorological, groundwater, land use, and field experiment data and crop growth model simulation. The CROPGRO-Soybean model was used to simulate crop growth and water deficit. Four growth stages were considered since the sensitivity of soybean to drought is strictly related to the growth stage. The GDVI was applied to the Huaibei Plain, Anhui Province, China, with the goal of quantifying the spatiotemporal characteristics of soybean drought vulnerability in typical years and growth stages. The results show that: (1) The sensitivity of leaf-related parameters exceeded that of other parameters during the vegetative growth stage, whereas the top weight and grain yield showed a higher sensitivity in the reproductive growth stage; (2) A semi-logarithmic law can describe the relationship between the drought sensitivity indicators and the GDVI during the four growth stages. The pod-filling phase is the most vulnerable stage for water deficit and with the highest loss upper limit (over 70%); (3) The 2001 and 2002 seasons were the driest time during 1997−2006. Fuyang and Huainan Cities were more vulnerable to drought than other regions on the Huaibei Plain in 2001, while Huaibei and Suzhou Cities were the most susceptible areas in 2002. The results could provide effective decision support for the categorization of areas vulnerable to droughts.
14 May 2025 in Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies
Flooding is the most pervasive hydrological disaster globally. This study presents a comprehensive analysis of torrential rain and flood characteristics across three major urban agglomerations (CY, MRYR, and YRD) in the Yangtze River Basin from 1991 to 2020. Utilizing satellite-derived microwave SSM/I data and CHIRPS precipitation datasets, this study examines the impacts of urbanization and climate change on flood risk patterns. The results showed: (1) In 1998, the MRYR had the highest flood risk due to heavy rainfall and poor flood control, but by 2020, risk shifted to the CY with rapid urbanization and more rainfall, while the YRD maintained the lowest risk due to advanced flood control. (2) The relationship between impervious surface area and flood risk varied by region. The CY showed a negative correlation (−0.41), suggesting effective flood mitigation through topography and infrastructure; the MRYR had a slight positive correlation (0.12), indicating increased risks from urban expansion; and the YRD’s weak negative correlation (−0.18) reflected strong flood control systems. This research underscores the imperative of strategic urban planning and effective water resource management to mitigate future flood risks and contributes valuable insights to ongoing efforts in flood disaster prevention and control within the Yangtze River Basin.
Urban floods are a common urban disaster that threaten the economy and development of cities. Sponge cities can improve flood resistance ability and reduce floods by setting low-impact development measures (LID). Evaluating flood reduction benefits is the basic link in the construction of sponge cities. Therefore, it is of great significance to evaluate the benefits of sponge cities from the perspective of different rain patterns. In this study, we investigated the urban runoff of various rainfall patterns in Mianyang city using the Strom Water Management Model (SWMM). We employed 2–100-year return periods and three different temporal rainfall downscaling methods to evaluate rain patterns and simulate urban runoff in Mianyang, with and without the implementation of sponge city measures. After calibration, model performance was validated using multi-source data concerning flood peaks and inter-annual variations in flood magnitude. Notably, the effects of peak rainfall patterns on historical floods were generally greater than the effects of synthetic rainfalls generated by temporal downscaling. Compared to the rainfall patterns of historical flood events, the flood protection capacities of sponge cities can be easily overestimated when using the synthetic rainfall patterns generated by temporal downscaling. Overall, an earlier flood peak was associated with better flood sponge city protection capacity. In this context, the results obtained in this study provide useful reference information about the impact of rainfall pattern on urban flood control by LID, and can be used for sponge city design in other part of China.