A new methodology for shallow landslide forecasting in wildfire burned areas is proposed by estimating the annual probability of rainfall threshold exceedance. For this purpose, extensive geological fieldwork was carried out in 122 landslides, which have been periodically activated in Western Greece, after the devastating wildfires that occurred in August 2007 and burned large areas in several parts of Western Greece. In addition, daily rainfall data covering more than 40 years has been collected and statistically processed to estimate the exceedance probability of the rainfall threshold above which these landslides are activated. The objectives of this study are to quantify the magnitude and duration of rainfall above which landslides in burned areas are activated, as well as to introduce a novel methodology on rainfall-induced landslide forecasting. It has been concluded that rainfall-induced landslide annual exceedance probability in the burned areas is higher when cumulative rainfall duration ranges from 6 to 9 days with local differences due to the prevailing geological conditions and landscape characteristics. The proposed methodology can be used as a basis for landslide forecasting in wildfire-affected areas, especially when triggered by rainfall, and can be further developed as a tool for preliminary landslide hazard assessment.

In August 2007 Ilia Prefecture suffered one of the most devastating wildfires that have ever happened on European level. Approximately 870km2 , mainly forest and agricultural land, were lost, more than 60 people were killed, hundreds were injured and many villages suffered extensive damage. Heavy rainfall and human activities, favoured by the loss of vegetation and the overall susceptibility of geological formations in landsliding, induced the manifestation or reactivation of various scale landslide phenomena. In order to investigate and mitigate the problem University of Patras was commissioned by the Region of Western Greece to undertake an Engineering Geological and Geotechnical investigation. Site investigation accomplished in seven municipalities focusing on several landslide events with serious socio-economic impact and as a result many small scale cases were identified. In each one of these cases large scale engineering geological mapping was conducted and remedial and protection measures were designed.

On the 8th of June 2008 an earthquake of magnitude Ms=6.5 occurred in Western Greece, affecting Achaia and Ilia Prefectures. According to state reports 2 casualties occurred, 214 people were injured and more than 15 villages and towns suffered extensive damages in properties and infrastructures. Among the secondary phenomena that were reported were extensive rockfalls that affected Santomeri village; a small village located on the western slope of the Scolis mountain. Large-sized limestone boulders, some reaching a volume up to 10m3 stroke houses and blocked roads, fortunately without casualties. The village was temporarily evacueated and the Laboratory of Engineering Geology was commissioned to undertake an Engineering Geological appraisal in order to investigate the extent of the rockfall events, assess the rockfall hazard and propose retention and protective measures so the area to be soon re-inhabited. After conducting a detailed engineering geological and geotechnical survey which included large scale engineering geological mapping, rockmass characterization and laboratory tests the inhabited area was initially divided in two zones of different rock fall risk level. By performing rockfall analyses in critical traverses a rock fall retention system, 325m long in total, comprising rock fall barrier was finally proposed.

Slope failures in overconsolidated hard clays present significant geotechnical challenges, particularly in stratified formations prone to pre-existing discontinuities. Despite extensive research on residual shear strength and fissuring in stiff clays, the role of undetected tension cracks and their interaction with hydrogeological conditions in temporary excavations remains underexplored. This study addresses this research gap through a detailed case study of a slope failure during an unsupported residential excavation on Corfu Island, Greece. The investigation aimed to identify the failure mechanism, assess the influence of geological discontinuities and groundwater conditions, and evaluate the contribution of residual shear strength to slope stability. The methodology combined field observations, laboratory testing (including unconfined compression and ring shear tests), and numerical modelling using both finite element (FEM) and limit equilibrium (LEM) approaches. The results revealed that a nearly vertical, pre-existing fissure—acting as a tension crack—and water infiltration along the clay–sandstone interface significantly reduced the factor of safety, triggering a planar slide. Both FEM and LEM analyses indicated that critical conditions for failure were reached with a residual friction angle of 19°, inclined sandstone layers at 15–17°, and hydrostatic pressure from groundwater accumulation. This study demonstrates the compounded destabilizing effects of undetected discontinuities and water pressures in stratified hard clays and underscores the necessity of comprehensive geotechnical assessments for temporary excavations, even in seemingly stable formations.