Miodrag Dusan Vukčević

Prof. Dr. Miodrag Dusan Vukčević


Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

4Years (2023-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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11 August 2023 in Diagnostics
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
MBMilica Brajkovic
Milica Brajkovic
MVMiodrag Dusan Vukčević
Miodrag Dusan Vukčević
SNSofija Nikolic
Sofija Nikolic
Marija KraišnikMarija Kraišnik
Marija Kraišnik
Marija BrankovićMarija Branković
Marija Branković
Marija ZdravkovićMarija Zdravković
Marija Zdravković
Introduction: Risk stratification in patients with COVID-19 is a challenging task. Early warning scores (EWSs) are commonly used tools in the initial assessment of critical patients. However, their utility in patients with COVID-19 is still undetermined. Aim: This study aimed to discover the most valuable predictive model among existing EWSs for ICU admissions and mortality in COVID-19 patients. Materials and methods: This was a single-center cohort study that included 3608 COVID-19 patients admitted to the University Clinical Hospital Center Bezanijska Kosa, Belgrade, Serbia, between 23 June 2020, and 14 April 2021. Various demographic, laboratory, and clinical data were collected to calculate several EWSs and determine their efficacy. For all 3608 patients, five EWSs were calculated (MEWS, NEWS, NEWS2, REMS, and qSOFA). Model discrimination performance was tested using sensitivity, specificity, and positive and negative predictive values. C statistic, representing the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, was used for the overall assessment of the predictive model. Results: Among the evaluated prediction scores for 3068 patients with COVID-19, REMS demonstrated the highest diagnostic performance with the sensitivity, PPV, specificity, and NPV of 72.1%, 20.6%, 74.9%, and 96.8%, respectively. In the multivariate logistic regression analysis, aside from REMS, age (p < 0.001), higher CT score (p < 0.001), higher values of urea (p < 0.001), and the presence of bacterial superinfection (p < 0.001) were significant predictors of mortality. Conclusions: Among all evaluated EWSs to predict mortality and ICU admission in COVID-19 patients, the REMS score demonstrated the highest efficacy.